IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jlands/v13y2024i3p364-d1356621.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Agricultural Yield Responses to Climate Variabilities in West Africa: A Food Supply and Demand Analysis

Author

Listed:
  • Martin Schultze

    (Department of Sustainable Landscape Development, Institute for Geosciences and Geography, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Von-Seckendorff-Platz 4, 06120 Halle, Germany)

  • Stephen Kankam

    (Department of Sustainable Landscape Development, Institute for Geosciences and Geography, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Von-Seckendorff-Platz 4, 06120 Halle, Germany
    Hen Mpoano (Our Coast), 38. J Cross Cole Street, Windy Ridge Extension, Takoradi P.O. Box AX 296, Ghana)

  • Safiétou Sanfo

    (West African Science Service Centre on Climate Change and Adapted Land-Use (WASCAL), Competence Centre, Blvd Moammar El-Khadafi, Ouagadougou 06 BP 9507, Burkina Faso
    Laboratoire de Développement Agricole et Transformation de l’Agriculture [Laboratory of Agricultural Development and Transformation], Université Thomas Sankara, Ouagadougou 03 BP 7210, Burkina Faso)

  • Christine Fürst

    (Department of Sustainable Landscape Development, Institute for Geosciences and Geography, Martin Luther University Halle-Wittenberg, Von-Seckendorff-Platz 4, 06120 Halle, Germany
    German Centre for Integrative Biodiversity Research (iDiv) Halle-Jena-Leipzig, Puschstraße 4, 04103 Leipzig, Germany)

Abstract

Agricultural productivity is expected to decrease under changing climate conditions that correspond to the stability of West African food systems. Although numerous studies have evaluated impacts of climate variability on crop yields, many uncertainties are still associated with climate extremes as well as the rapid population growth and corresponding dietary lifestyle. Here, we present a food supply and demand analysis based on the relationship between climate change, crop production, and population growth in three sites from southwestern Burkina Faso to southwestern Ghana. Climate and agricultural time series were analyzed by using boxplots mixed with a Mann–Kendall trend test and Sen’s slope. Food balance sheets were calculated by estimating the demand using a population growth model linked to food supply with local consumption patterns. We found almost insignificant rainfall and temperature trends for both sites in the Sudano-Guinean savannah. Conversely, the climate regime of southwestern Ghana revealed a strong significant increasing temperature over time. Crop yield trends demonstrated that maize and sorghum were significantly enhanced in both study areas of the Sudano-Guinean savannah. Southwestern Ghana depicted a different crop pattern where cassava and plantain showed a strong upward yield trend. The grouped food balance sheets across the regions illustrated a surplus for the Sudano-Guinean savannah while southwestern Ghana exhibited a deficit. Despite the growing yield of various crops, food demand is outpacing regional production.

Suggested Citation

  • Martin Schultze & Stephen Kankam & Safiétou Sanfo & Christine Fürst, 2024. "Agricultural Yield Responses to Climate Variabilities in West Africa: A Food Supply and Demand Analysis," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(3), pages 1-22, March.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:3:p:364-:d:1356621
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/3/364/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2073-445X/13/3/364/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Abel Chemura & Dumisani Kutywayo & Danisile Hikwa & Christoph Gornott, 2022. "Climate change and cocoyam (Colocasia esculenta (L.) Schott) production: assessing impacts and potential adaptation strategies in Zimbabwe," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 27(6), pages 1-20, August.
    2. Mohammed Tanko & Salifu Ismaila & Saeed Abu Sadiq, 2019. "Planting for Food and Jobs (PFJ): A panacea for productivity and welfare of rice farmers in Northern Ghana," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 7(1), pages 1693121-169, January.
    3. Dimitri Defrance & Benjamin Sultan & Mathieu Castets & Adjoua Moise Famien & Christian Baron, 2020. "Impact of Climate Change in West Africa on Cereal Production Per Capita in 2050," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(18), pages 1-19, September.
    4. Patricia Pinamang Acheampong & Monica Addison & Camillus Abawiera Wongnaa, 2022. "Assessment of impact of adoption of improved cassava varieties on yields in Ghana: An endogenous switching approach," Cogent Economics & Finance, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 10(1), pages 2008587-200, December.
    5. Houessionon, P. & Fonta, W. M. & Bossa, A. Y. & Sanfo, S. & Thiombiano, N. & Zahonogo, P. & Yameogo, T. B. & Balana, Bedru, "undated". "Economic valuation of ecosystem services from small-scale agricultural management interventions in Burkina Faso: a discrete choice experiment approach," Papers published in Journals (Open Access) H048370, International Water Management Institute.
    6. Balana, Bedru B. & Sanfo, Safietou & Barbier, Bruno & Williams, Timothy & Kolavalli, Shashidhara, 2019. "Assessment of flood recession agriculture for food security in Northern Ghana: An optimization modelling approach," Agricultural Systems, Elsevier, vol. 173(C), pages 536-543.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Sita Kone & Aminata Balde & Pam Zahonogo & Safietou Sanfo, 2024. "A systematic review of recent estimations of climate change impact on agriculture and adaptation strategies perspectives in Africa," Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies for Global Change, Springer, vol. 29(2), pages 1-26, February.
    2. Tesfaye, Meneyahel Z. & Balana, Bedru B. & Bizimana, Jean-Claude, 2021. "Assessment of smallholder farmers’ demand for and adoption constraints to small-scale irrigation technologies: Evidence from Ethiopia," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 250(C).
    3. Kamaldeen Mohammed & Evans Batung & Moses Kansanga & Hanson Nyantakyi-Frimpong & Isaac Luginaah, 2021. "Livelihood diversification strategies and resilience to climate change in semi-arid northern Ghana," Climatic Change, Springer, vol. 164(3), pages 1-23, February.
    4. Han-Shen Chen & Chu-Wei Chen, 2019. "Economic Valuation of Green Island, Taiwan: A Choice Experiment Method," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-17, January.
    5. Ying Wang & Qiang Zhang, 2024. "Distribution characteristics of drought and flood hazards in northern China against the background of climate warming," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 120(7), pages 5987-6009, May.
    6. Sylvester Amoako Agyemang & Tomáš Ratinger & Miroslava Bavorová, 2022. "The Impact of Agricultural Input Subsidy on Productivity: The Case of Ghana," The European Journal of Development Research, Palgrave Macmillan;European Association of Development Research and Training Institutes (EADI), vol. 34(3), pages 1460-1485, June.
    7. Agossadou, A.J. & Fiamohe, R. & Tossou, H. & Kinkpe, T., 2018. "Agribusiness opportunities for youth in Nigeria: Farmers perceptions and willingness to pay for mechanized harvesting equipment," 2018 Conference, July 28-August 2, 2018, Vancouver, British Columbia 277553, International Association of Agricultural Economists.
    8. Tanko, Mohammed & Amfo, Bismark & Shafiwu, Adinan Bahahudeen, 2023. "Social norms perspective of agriculture technology adoption and welfare in Ghana: Extending multinomial endogenous treatment effect model," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    9. Mamadou Sanogo & Roland Yonaba & Abdou Lawane & Malicki Zorom & Fonzia Tassembédo & Hamed Ali Sahad & Isidore Bazié, 2024. "Do Runoff Water Harvesting Ponds Affect Farmers Cropping Choices? Insights from Smallholders in the West African Sahel," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-18, September.
    10. Robert Ugochukwu Onyeneke & Emeka Emmanuel Osuji & Ifeoma Quinette Anugwa & Nneka Maris Chidiebere-Mark, 2024. "Impacts of biocapacity, climate change, food vulnerability, readiness and adaptive capacity on cereal crops yield: evidence from Africa," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 26(5), pages 11979-12003, May.
    11. Linh Nguyen & Russ,Jason Daniel & Triyana,Margaret Maggie, 2023. "The Effect of Agricultural Input Subsidies on Productivity: A Meta-Analysis," Policy Research Working Paper Series 10399, The World Bank.
    12. Adam Płachciak & Jakub Marcinkowski, 2022. "Humanitarian Assistance in G5 Sahel: Social Sustainability Context of Macrologistics Potential," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(14), pages 1-25, July.
    13. Christoph Schulze & Katarzyna Zagórska & Kati Häfner & Olimpia Markiewicz & Mikołaj Czajkowski & Bettina Matzdorf, 2024. "Using farmers' ex ante preferences to design agri‐environmental contracts: A systematic review," Journal of Agricultural Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 44-83, February.
    14. Akolgo, James Anaba & Osei-Asare, Yaw B. & Sarpong, Daniel Bruce & Asem, Freda Elikplim & Quaye, Wilhemina, 2024. "Examining the Nexus between Dry Season Vegetable Production and Household Food Security in the Upper East Region of Ghana," International Journal of Food and Agricultural Economics (IJFAEC), Alanya Alaaddin Keykubat University, Department of Economics and Finance, vol. 12(01), January.
    15. Tanko, Mohammed, 2022. "Nexus of risk preference, culture and religion in the adoption of improved rice varieties: Evidence from Northern Ghana," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C).
    16. Tanko, Mohammed & Ismaila, Salifu, 2021. "How culture and religion influence the agriculture technology gap in Northern Ghana," World Development Perspectives, Elsevier, vol. 22(C).
    17. Evelyne Gbénou-Sissinto & Ygué P. Adegbola & Gauthier Biaou & Roch C. Zossou, 2018. "Farmers’ Willingness to Pay for New Storage Technologies for Maize in Northern and Central Benin," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 10(8), pages 1-21, August.
    18. Dilys S. MacCarthy & Myriam Adam & Bright S. Freduah & Benedicta Yayra Fosu-Mensah & Peter A. Y. Ampim & Mouhamed Ly & Pierre S. Traore & Samuel G. K. Adiku, 2021. "Climate Change Impact and Variability on Cereal Productivity among Smallholder Farmers under Future Production Systems in West Africa," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(9), pages 1-22, May.
    19. Nguru, Wilson & Abera, Wuletawu & Ouedraogo, Issa & Chege, Christine & Kane, Babacar & Bougouma, Katiana & Mwongera, Caroline, 2023. "Spatial estimation of flood residual water cultivation (FRWC) potential for food security in Sédhiou and Tambacounda regions of Sénégal," Agricultural Water Management, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    20. Ismaila, Salifu & Tanko, Mohammed, 2021. "Exploring relative deprivation theory in the rice industry: Planting for Food and Jobs (PFJ) in northern Ghana," Technology in Society, Elsevier, vol. 65(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:13:y:2024:i:3:p:364-:d:1356621. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.