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Linking Flood Risk Mitigation and Food Security: An Analysis of Land-Use Change in the Metropolitan Area of Rome

Author

Listed:
  • Davide Marino

    (Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise, 86090 Pesche, Italy)

  • Margherita Palmieri

    (Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise, 86090 Pesche, Italy)

  • Angelo Marucci

    (Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise, 86090 Pesche, Italy)

  • Mariangela Soraci

    (Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research (ISPRA), 00144 Rome, Italy)

  • Antonio Barone

    (Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise, 86090 Pesche, Italy)

  • Silvia Pili

    (Department of Biosciences and Territory, University of Molise, 86090 Pesche, Italy)

Abstract

Land consumption and climate change have intensified natural disasters in urban areas. In response to these emergencies under the European 2030 Agenda, Sustainable Development Goals have been established to improve ecosystem protection and increase resilience and adaptation to natural disasters globally (Goal 13 “Climate action” and Goal 15 “Life on land”). In order to implement governance tools appropriately, it is necessary to know the relationships among the drivers, the changes in the state of urban ecosystems and agro-ecosystems, and the impact on the supply of goods and services at spatial and temporal scales. In this paper, Land-Use and Land-Cover Changes (LULCCs) in the metropolitan area of Rome have been investigated, with the purpose of detecting the synergistic variations in the supply of the flood mitigation and agricultural production ecosystem services (ES). The methodology is based on a GIS (Geographic Information System) analysis that identifies the transformation processes and permanencies related to land-cover. The variation in flood mitigation services was quantified through the use of the Urban Flood Risk Mitigation Model (UFRM) from the InVEST (Integrated Valuation of Ecosystem Services and Tradeoffs) suite, while the variation in agricultural production through productivity coefficients was associated with changes in land-uses. Finally, an analysis of LULC-induced synergies and trade-offs between the two services was performed. The results show a net negative change in ES supply, caused mainly by urbanization at the expense of agricultural land. This decrease in ES supply is not offset by other LULCC transitions. In addition, the analysis of synergies and trade-offs between flood mitigation ES and agricultural production ES (in arable land, orchards, vineyards, and olive groves) shows that the reduction of agricultural land negatively affects both ES. The innovative contribution of this paper lies in setting an integrated methodology that is able to investigate how LULCC influences both hydraulic safety and food security. Findings can be useful to support planning of enhancing the role of agriculture in metropolitan areas.

Suggested Citation

  • Davide Marino & Margherita Palmieri & Angelo Marucci & Mariangela Soraci & Antonio Barone & Silvia Pili, 2023. "Linking Flood Risk Mitigation and Food Security: An Analysis of Land-Use Change in the Metropolitan Area of Rome," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(2), pages 1-23, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:12:y:2023:i:2:p:366-:d:1050238
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

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    2. Bonoua Faye & Guoming Du & Edmée Mbaye & Chang’an Liang & Tidiane Sané & Ruhao Xue, 2023. "Assessing the Spatial Agricultural Land Use Transition in Thiès Region, Senegal, and Its Potential Driving Factors," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-20, March.
    3. Davide Marino & Antonio Barone & Angelo Marucci & Silvia Pili & Margherita Palmieri, 2023. "Impact of Land Use Changes on Ecosystem Services Supply: A Meta Analysis of the Italian Context," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(12), pages 1-24, December.
    4. Ana Kadić & Biljana Maljković & Katarina Rogulj & Jelena Kilić Pamuković, 2025. "Green Infrastructure’s Role in Climate Change Adaptation: Summarizing the Existing Research in the Most Benefited Policy Sectors," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(9), pages 1-26, May.
    5. Anahita Azadgar & Lucyna Nyka & Stefano Salata, 2024. "Advancing Urban Flood Resilience: A Systematic Review of Urban Flood Risk Mitigation Model, Research Trends, and Future Directions," Land, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-26, December.

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