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Land Cover Change and Flood Risk in a Peri-Urban Environment of the Metropolitan Area of Rome (Italy)

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  • Fabio Recanatesi

    (Tuscia University)

  • Andrea Petroselli

    (Tuscia University)

Abstract

Land cover change (LCC) is the most important factor in causing ecosystems services (ES) loss. In Mediterranean basins, coastal areas historically suffer from great anthropic pressure. These changes influence runoff, and municipal authorities often cannot estimate the impact of complex land cover transitions. In such context, the great urban and industrial development of the towns surrounding the city of Rome (Italy) represents a paradigmatic case study. In this paper, land cover evolution in a watershed located in a peri-urban environment has been studied in terms of LCC and the consequential flood risk. The information concerning land cover transformations was analyzed in following time scenarios: 1954, 1967 and 2018. The identification of occurred rainfall events, and the application of a combined hydrological and hydraulic modelling, allowed the estimation of flooded areas and volumes. The obtained results allowed to quantify the increase in the flood risk, that was more pronounced in the part of the selected area that has been more extensively interested by the soil sealing. The increase in the flood risk was larger in the hypothesis of a rainfall occurring when the soil is dry, like it can happen for the common case of summer precipitations.

Suggested Citation

  • Fabio Recanatesi & Andrea Petroselli, 2020. "Land Cover Change and Flood Risk in a Peri-Urban Environment of the Metropolitan Area of Rome (Italy)," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 34(14), pages 4399-4413, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:spr:waterr:v:34:y:2020:i:14:d:10.1007_s11269-020-02567-8
    DOI: 10.1007/s11269-020-02567-8
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Shanshan Hu & Yunyun Fan & Tao Zhang, 2020. "Assessing the Effect of Land Use Change on Surface Runoff in a Rapidly Urbanized City: A Case Study of the Central Area of Beijing," Land, MDPI, vol. 9(1), pages 1-15, January.
    2. M. Nagarajan & George Basil, 2014. "Remote sensing- and GIS-based runoff modeling with the effect of land-use changes (a case study of Cochin corporation)," Natural Hazards: Journal of the International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, Springer;International Society for the Prevention and Mitigation of Natural Hazards, vol. 73(3), pages 2023-2039, September.
    3. Ciro Apollonio & Gabriella Balacco & Antonio Novelli & Eufemia Tarantino & Alberto Ferruccio Piccinni, 2016. "Land Use Change Impact on Flooding Areas: The Case Study of Cervaro Basin (Italy)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 8(10), pages 1-18, October.
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    Cited by:

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    2. Giacomo Bernello & Elena Mondino & Lucia Bortolini, 2022. "People’s Perception of Nature-Based Solutions for Flood Mitigation: The Case of Veneto Region (Italy)," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-13, April.
    3. Ciro Apollonio & Andrea Petroselli & Flavia Tauro & Manuela Cecconi & Chiara Biscarini & Claudio Zarotti & Salvatore Grimaldi, 2021. "Hillslope Erosion Mitigation: An Experimental Proof of a Nature-Based Solution," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-14, May.
    4. Gergely Tóth & Eva Ivits & Gundula Prokop & Mirko Gregor & Jaume Fons-Esteve & Roger Milego Agràs & Emanuele Mancosu, 2022. "Impact of Soil Sealing on Soil Carbon Sequestration, Water Storage Potentials and Biomass Productivity in Functional Urban Areas of the European Union and the United Kingdom," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, June.
    5. Megdouda Smail & Zoubir Boubaker & Mohamed Sbabdji & Habib Mouaissa & Bimare Kombate, . "Detecting land use/land cover changes and forest degradation: A case study of the lower Soummam valley, northern Algeria," Journal of Forest Science, Czech Academy of Agricultural Sciences, vol. 0.
    6. Biao Zhang & Dian Shao & Zhonghu Zhang, 2022. "Spatio-Temporal Evolution Dynamic, Effect and Governance Policy of Construction Land Use in Urban Agglomeration: Case Study of Yangtze River Delta, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-36, May.
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