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The Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban-Rural Coordinated Development and Its Driving Forces in Yangtze River Delta

Author

Listed:
  • Daizhong Tang

    (School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)

  • Mengyuan Mao

    (School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)

  • Jiangang Shi

    (School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)

  • Wenwen Hua

    (School of Economics and Management, Tongji University, Shanghai 200092, China)

Abstract

This paper conducts an analytical study on the urban-rural coordinated development (URCD) in the Yangtze River Delta urban agglomeration (YRDUA), and uses data from 2000–2015 of 27 central cities to study the spatial and temporal evolution patterns of URCD and to discover the influencing factors and driving forces behind it through PCA, ESDA and spatial regression models. It reveals that URCD of the YRDUA shows an obvious club convergence phenomenon during the research duration. The regions with high-level URCD gather mainly in the central part of the urban agglomeration, while the remaining regions mostly have low-level URCD, reflecting the regional aggregation phenomenon of spatial divergence. At the same time, we split URCD into efficiency and equity: urban-rural efficient development (URED) also exhibits similar spatiotemporal evolution patterns, but the patterns of urban-rural balanced development (URBD) show some variability. Finally, by analyzing the driving forces in major years during 2000–2015, it can be concluded that: (i) In recent years, influencing factors such as government financial input and consumption no longer play the main driving role. (ii) Influencing factors such as industrialization degree, fixed asset investment and foreign investment even limit URCD in some years. The above results also show that the government should redesign at the system level to give full play to the contributing factors depending on the actual state of development in different regions and promote the coordinated development of urban and rural areas. The results of this study show that the idea of measuring URCD from two dimensions of efficiency and equity is practical and feasible, and the spatial econometric model can reveal the spatial distribution heterogeneity and time evolution characteristics of regional development, which can provide useful insights for urban-rural integration development of other countries and regions.

Suggested Citation

  • Daizhong Tang & Mengyuan Mao & Jiangang Shi & Wenwen Hua, 2021. "The Spatio-Temporal Analysis of Urban-Rural Coordinated Development and Its Driving Forces in Yangtze River Delta," Land, MDPI, vol. 10(5), pages 1-21, May.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jlands:v:10:y:2021:i:5:p:495-:d:550011
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    2. Cui, Wenyue & Tang, Jie, 2023. "Innovation convergence clubs and their driving factors within urban agglomeration," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 121(C).
    3. Fei Su & Jiaqi Luo & Hang Liu & Lei Tong & Yuan Li, 2022. "Assessment and Promotion Strategy of Rural Resilience in Yangtze River Delta Region, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(9), pages 1-21, April.
    4. Han Zhang & Dongli Wu, 2022. "The Impact of Transport Infrastructure on Rural Industrial Integration: Spatial Spillover Effects and Spatio-Temporal Heterogeneity," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-18, July.
    5. Lei Zhang & Jie Tang & Meisa Xu & Daliang Zhang & Haixiao Chen & Dayong Zhang, 2024. "Spatial-temporal evolution of population aging in the yangtze river delta urban agglomeration of China," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 19(2), pages 1-15, February.
    6. Huxiao Zhu & Xiangjun Ou & Zhen Yang & Yiwen Yang & Hongxin Ren & Le Tang, 2022. "Spatiotemporal Dynamics and Driving Forces of Land Urbanization in the Yangtze River Delta Urban Agglomeration," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(8), pages 1-21, August.
    7. Wenzhu Zhou & Dawei Wang & Yiwen Zhang & Hanjing Xu, 2025. "Predicting Rural Industrial Transformation via Coupling Coordination Between Polder-Based Spatial Features and Industrial Development," Land, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-23, April.
    8. Wei Zhao & Changjun Jiang, 2022. "Analysis of the Spatial and Temporal Characteristics and Dynamic Effects of Urban-Rural Integration Development in the Yangtze River Delta Region," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-22, July.

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