IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jjrfmx/v18y2025i9p486-d1739499.html

Decarbonization Commitment, Political Connections, and Firm Value: Evidence from China

Author

Listed:
  • Yun Liu

    (Faculty of Business, The Hong Kong Polytechnic University, Hong Kong 999077, China)

  • Yuchang Cao

    (Social Science Division, University of Chicago, Chicago, IL 60637, USA)

  • Jingyao Huang

    (Industrial and Commercial Bank of China Guangzhou, Guangzhou 510000, China)

Abstract

On 22 September 2020, China announced an ambitious decarbonization commitment, leading to significant stock market reactions. Using a comprehensive dataset of China’s listed firms and a manually updated political connections index, we employ an event study approach with regression analysis to examine the effects of political connections and industry heterogeneity on firm value following the announcement. Our analysis reveals several key findings: First, there were overall negative market reactions to the announcement. Second, political connections negatively impact firm value by acting as a “grabbing hand” in China’s private sector, as private firms with strong political ties often prioritize political agendas over shareholders’ profit maximization objectives. Third, the adverse effects of political connections are industry-specific, with firms in the environmental protection and decarbonization sectors being more vulnerable to environmental policies. Lastly, we observe a limited moderating effect of the economic development of the firm’s host province. Our results are robust across different estimation techniques, model specifications, and major financial announcements such as quarterly financial statements, M&A, and dividend offering.

Suggested Citation

  • Yun Liu & Yuchang Cao & Jingyao Huang, 2025. "Decarbonization Commitment, Political Connections, and Firm Value: Evidence from China," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 18(9), pages 1-20, September.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:18:y:2025:i:9:p:486-:d:1739499
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/18/9/486/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1911-8074/18/9/486/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hu, Rui & Karim, Khondkar & Lin, Karen Jingrong & Tan, Jinsong, 2020. "Do investors want politically connected independent directors? Evidence from their forced resignations in China," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 61(C).
    2. Alexandre Garel & Arthur Petit-Romec, 2021. "Investor rewards to environmental responsibility: Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Post-Print hal-03204216, HAL.
    3. Wenfeng Wu & Chongfeng Wu & Oliver M. Rui, 2012. "Ownership and the Value of Political Connections: Evidence from China," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 18(4), pages 695-729, September.
    4. Garel, Alexandre & Petit-Romec, Arthur, 2021. "Investor rewards to environmental responsibility: Evidence from the COVID-19 crisis," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 68(C).
    5. Adhikari, Ajay & Derashid, Chek & Zhang, Hao, 2006. "Public policy, political connections, and effective tax rates: Longitudinal evidence from Malaysia," Journal of Accounting and Public Policy, Elsevier, vol. 25(5), pages 574-595.
    6. Gupta, Sonam & Innes, Robert, 2014. "Private politics and environmental management," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 68(2), pages 319-339.
    7. Ruwei Tian & Xin Li, 2025. "Dynamic impact of climate risks on financial systemic risk: Evidence from China," International Review of Finance, International Review of Finance Ltd., vol. 25(1), March.
    8. Chen, Xing & Lin, Boqiang, 2021. "Towards carbon neutrality by implementing carbon emissions trading scheme: Policy evaluation in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    9. Guo, Mengmeng & Kuai, Yicheng & Liu, Xiaoyan, 2020. "Stock market response to environmental policies: Evidence from heavily polluting firms in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 306-316.
    10. K. Dhanda & Laura Hartman, 2011. "The Ethics of Carbon Neutrality: A Critical Examination of Voluntary Carbon Offset Providers," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 100(1), pages 119-149, April.
    11. Tang, Xuesong & Lin, Yan & Peng, Qing & Du, Jun & Chan, Kam C., 2016. "Politically connected directors and firm value: Evidence from forced resignations in China," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 37(C), pages 148-167.
    12. Frye, Timothy & Shleifer, Andrei, 1997. "The Invisible Hand and the Grabbing Hand," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 87(2), pages 354-358, May.
    13. Fama, Eugene F, 1970. "Efficient Capital Markets: A Review of Theory and Empirical Work," Journal of Finance, American Finance Association, vol. 25(2), pages 383-417, May.
    14. H. R. Seddighi & W. Nian, 2004. "The Chinese stock exchange market: operations and efficiency," Applied Financial Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 14(11), pages 785-797.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. López-Iturriaga, Félix J. & Santana Martín, Domingo Javier, 2019. "The payout policy of politically connected firms: Tunnelling or reputation?," The North American Journal of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 50(C).
    2. Bai, Tao & Xu, Youzong & Pan, Xiao, 2026. "Political connection formation and firm performance: Evidence from China," Economic Analysis and Policy, Elsevier, vol. 89(C), pages 626-640.
    3. Rashid Ameer & Radiah Othman, 2023. "Stock market reactions to US Consumer Product Safety Commission enforcement actions," Accounting and Finance, Accounting and Finance Association of Australia and New Zealand, vol. 63(3), pages 3709-3735, September.
    4. Feng Liu & Hui Lin & Huiying Wu, 2018. "Political Connections and Firm Value in China: An Event Study," Journal of Business Ethics, Springer, vol. 152(2), pages 551-571, October.
    5. Li, Qian & Wang, Shihao & Song, Victor, 2023. "Product competition, political connections, and the costs of high leverage," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 74(C).
    6. Dutordoir, Marie & Li, Shuyu & Neto, João Quariguasi Frota, 2025. "When green is no longer a win - new evidence on the shareholder value effects of green bond offerings11The authors would like to thank Konstantinos Bozos, Samit Gupta, Antony Potter, Hai-Anh Tran, and participants at the 2023 British Academy of Manag," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 107(C).
    7. Bilei Zhou & Jie (Michael) Guo & Jun Hua & Angelos J. Doukas, 2015. "Does State Ownership Drive M&A Performance? Evidence from China," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 21(1), pages 79-105, January.
    8. Ting Ren & Youzhi Xiao & Xinguo Yu & Hongyan Yang & Jianmei Ge, 2020. "Resignation of officials as independent directors and firm performance," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-21, December.
    9. Florackis, Chris & Fu, Xi & Wang, Jingjing, 2023. "Political connections, environmental violations and punishment: Evidence from heavily polluting firms," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. Mohamed Marie & Adel Elgharbawy & Rami Salem, 2026. "Unlocking value: exploring the impact of ESG performance and board gender diversity on mitigating stock price crash risk," International Journal of Disclosure and Governance, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 23(2), pages 436-457, June.
    11. Zengji Song & Abraham Nahm & Zongyi Zhang, 2015. "The value of partial state ownership in publicly listed private sector enterprises: evidence from China," Post-Communist Economies, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 27(3), pages 336-353, September.
    12. Imen Khanchel & Naima Lassoued & Rym Gargoury, 2023. "CSR and firm value: is CSR valuable during the COVID 19 crisis in the French market?," Journal of Management & Governance, Springer;Accademia Italiana di Economia Aziendale (AIDEA), vol. 27(2), pages 575-601, June.
    13. Torsten Ehlers & Ulrike Elsenhuber & Kumar Jegarasasingam & Eric Jondeau, 2022. "Deconstructing ESG Scores: How to Invest with Your own Criteria," Swiss Finance Institute Research Paper Series 22-23, Swiss Finance Institute.
    14. Deli Wang & Yan Wang & Minxian Zhou, 2025. "Can environmental tax promote green M&A in emerging market firms? Evidence from China's heavy polluters," Business Ethics, the Environment & Responsibility, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 34(4), pages 1450-1474, October.
    15. Muñiz, José Antonio & Larkin, Charles & Corbet, Shaen, 2026. "The influence of employee health and safety policies on the value of the organization," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 138930, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    16. Michail Karoglou, 2009. "Stock Market Efficiency before and after a Financial Liberalisation Reform," Journal of Emerging Market Finance, Institute for Financial Management and Research, vol. 8(3), pages 315-340, September.
    17. He, Lerong & Wan, Hong & Zhou, Xin, 2014. "How are political connections valued in China? Evidence from market reaction to CEO succession," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 36(C), pages 141-152.
    18. Zhi Wang & Miao Yu, 2022. "Political embeddedness and firms' growth," Kyklos, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 75(1), pages 127-153, February.
    19. Sascha Kolaric, 2024. "The impact of climate litigation and activism on stock prices: the case of oil and gas majors," Review of Managerial Science, Springer, vol. 18(11), pages 3141-3172, November.
    20. Jun Xie & Kenichi Yoshida & Shuning Chen & Alexander Ryota Keeley & Hidemichi Fujii & Shunsuke Managi, 2026. "Inclusive Wealth and ESG Practices: Financial Impacts in a Global Context," Asian Economic Policy Review, Japan Center for Economic Research, vol. 21(1), pages 24-38, January.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jjrfmx:v:18:y:2025:i:9:p:486-:d:1739499. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager The email address of this maintainer does not seem to be valid anymore. Please ask MDPI Indexing Manager to update the entry or send us the correct address (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.