IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jijerp/v20y2023i3p2338-d1049516.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Impact of Driver’s Age and Gender, Built Environment, and Road Conditions on Crash Severity: A Logit Modeling Approach

Author

Listed:
  • Dongkwan Lee

    (Gangwon Institute, Chuncheon 24265, Republic of Korea)

  • Jean-Michel Guldmann

    (Department of City and Regional Planning, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA)

  • Burkhard von Rabenau

    (Department of City and Regional Planning, The Ohio State University, Columbus, OH 43210, USA)

Abstract

The purpose of this research is (1) to investigate the relationship between crash severity and the age and gender of the at-fault driver, the socio-economic characteristics of the surrounding environment, and road conditions, and (2) to explain the probability of a bodily injury crash, including fatality, with the alternative being a property damage only crash. In contrast to earlier research that has focused on young and old drivers, age is considered here on its lifetime continuum. A logit model is adopted and the gender and age of the at-fault drivers are part of the independent explanatory variables. The unit of analysis is the individual crash. Since age is a continuous variable, this analysis shows more precisely how age impacts accident severity and identifies when age has little effect. According to the results, the type of vehicle, timing of the crash, type of road and intersection, road condition, regional and locational factors, and socio-economic characteristic have a significant impact on crashes. Regarding the effect of age, when an accident occurs the probability of bodily injury or fatality is 0.703 for female drivers, and 0.718 for male drivers at 15 years of age. These probabilities decline very slightly to 0.696 and 0.711, respectively, around 33 years of age, then very slightly increase to 0.697 and 0.712, respectively, around 47.5 years of age. The results show that age affects crash severity following a polynomial curve. While the overall pattern is one of a downward trend with age, this trend is weak until the senior years. The policy implications of the results are discussed.

Suggested Citation

  • Dongkwan Lee & Jean-Michel Guldmann & Burkhard von Rabenau, 2023. "Impact of Driver’s Age and Gender, Built Environment, and Road Conditions on Crash Severity: A Logit Modeling Approach," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-22, January.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:20:y:2023:i:3:p:2338-:d:1049516
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/20/3/2338/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1660-4601/20/3/2338/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Daniel J. Graham & Stephen Glaister, 2003. "Spatial Variation in Road Pedestrian Casualties: The Role of Urban Scale, Density and Land-use Mix," Urban Studies, Urban Studies Journal Limited, vol. 40(8), pages 1591-1607, July.
    2. Pradeep Kumar Hanumegowda & Sakthivel Gnanasekaran, 2022. "Prediction of Work-Related Risk Factors among Bus Drivers Using Machine Learning," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(22), pages 1-20, November.
    3. Hanson, Christopher S. & Noland, Robert B. & Brown, Charles, 2013. "The severity of pedestrian crashes: an analysis using Google Street View imagery," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 33(C), pages 42-53.
    4. Shraddha Sagar & Nikiforos Stamatiadis & Rachel Codden & Marco Benedetti & Larry Cook & Motao Zhu, 2022. "Socioeconomic and Demographic Factors Effect in Association with Driver’s Medical Services after Crashes," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(15), pages 1-10, July.
    5. Dongkwan Lee & Jean-Michel Guldmann & Burkhard von Rabenau, 2018. "Interactions between the built and socio-economic environment and driver demographics: spatial econometric models of car crashes in the Columbus Metropolitan Area," International Journal of Urban Sciences, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 17-37, January.
    6. Ohashi, Hiroshi & Kim, Tae-Seung & Oum, Tae Hoon & Yu, Chunyan, 2005. "Choice of air cargo transshipment airport: an application to air cargo traffic to/from Northeast Asia," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 11(3), pages 149-159.
    7. Angelo Rampinelli & Juan Felipe Calderón & Carola A. Blazquez & Karen Sauer-Brand & Nicolás Hamann & José Ignacio Nazif-Munoz, 2022. "Investigating the Risk Factors Associated with Injury Severity in Pedestrian Crashes in Santiago, Chile," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 19(17), pages 1-21, September.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Dongkwan Lee & Jean-Michel Guldmann & Choongik Choi, 2019. "Factors Contributing to the Relationship between Driving Mileage and Crash Frequency of Older Drivers," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(23), pages 1-13, November.
    2. Chao, Ching-Cheng & Yu, Po-Cheng, 2013. "Quantitative evaluation model of air cargo competitiveness and comparative analysis of major Asia-Pacific airports," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 30(C), pages 318-326.
    3. Carman K.M. Lee & Shuzhu Zhang & Kam K.H. Ng, 2019. "Design of An Integration Model for Air Cargo Transportation Network Design and Flight Route Selection," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(19), pages 1-12, September.
    4. Ahlfeldt, Gabriel M. & Pietrostefani, Elisabetta, 2019. "The economic effects of density: A synthesis," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 111(C), pages 93-107.
    5. Prato, Carlo G. & Kaplan, Sigal & Patrier, Alexandre & Rasmussen, Thomas K., 2019. "Integrating police reports with geographic information system resources for uncovering patterns of pedestrian crashes in Denmark," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 10-23.
    6. Saeed, Naima & Larsen, Odd I., 2010. "An application of cooperative game among container terminals of one port," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 203(2), pages 393-403, June.
    7. Nathaniel Bell & Nadine Schuurman, 2010. "GIS and Injury Prevention and Control: History, Challenges, and Opportunities," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 7(3), pages 1-16, March.
    8. Tham Siew Yean, 2010. "ASEAN Open Skies and the Implications for Airport Development Strategy in Malaysia," Chapters, in: Douglas H. Brooks & Susan F. Stone (ed.), Trade Facilitation and Regional Cooperation in Asia, chapter 2, Edward Elgar Publishing.
    9. Yuen, Andrew & Zhang, Anming & Hui, Yer Van & Leung, Lawrence C. & Fung, Michael, 2017. "Is developing air cargo airports in the hinterland the way of the future?," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 61(C), pages 15-25.
    10. Matsumoto, Hidenobu & Domae, Koji, 2019. "Assessment of competitive hub status of cities in Europe and Asia from an international air traffic perspective," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 78(C), pages 88-95.
    11. Chi, Guangqing & Porter, Jeremy R. & Cosby, Arthur G. & Levinson, David, 2013. "The impact of gasoline price changes on traffic safety: a time geography explanation," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 1-11.
    12. Tibor Sipos & Anteneh Afework Mekonnen & Zsombor Szabó, 2021. "Spatial Econometric Analysis of Road Traffic Crashes," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(5), pages 1-16, February.
    13. Zhang, Yingheng & Li, Haojie & Ren, Gang, 2022. "Quantifying the social impacts of the London Night Tube with a double/debiased machine learning based difference-in-differences approach," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 288-303.
    14. Siew Yean Tham, 2010. "ASEAN Open Skies and the Implications for Airport Development Strategy in Malaysia," Working Papers id:3093, eSocialSciences.
    15. Dongkwan Lee & Jean-Michel Guldmann & Burkhard von Rabenau, 2018. "Interactions between the built and socio-economic environment and driver demographics: spatial econometric models of car crashes in the Columbus Metropolitan Area," International Journal of Urban Sciences, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 22(1), pages 17-37, January.
    16. Yeo, Gi-Tae & Wang, Ying & Chou, Chien-Chang, 2013. "Evaluating the competitiveness of the aerotropolises in East Asia," Journal of Air Transport Management, Elsevier, vol. 32(C), pages 24-31.
    17. Bianka Dettmer & Andreas Freytag & Peter Draper, 2013. "Check-in, departure and arrival times: Air cargo in Southern Africa?," Jena Economics Research Papers 2013-018, Friedrich-Schiller-University Jena.
    18. Jones, Peter & Lucas, Karen, 2012. "The social consequences of transport decision-making: clarifying concepts, synthesising knowledge and assessing implications," Journal of Transport Geography, Elsevier, vol. 21(C), pages 4-16.
    19. Ahfeldt, Gabriel M. & Pietrostefani, Elisabetta, 2017. "The compact city in empirical research: A quantitative literature review," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 83638, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Arsalan Esmaili & Kayvan Aghabayk & Nirajan Shiwakoti, 2022. "Latent Class Cluster Analysis and Mixed Logit Model to Investigate Pedestrian Crash Injury Severity," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(1), pages 1-29, December.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:20:y:2023:i:3:p:2338-:d:1049516. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.