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A System Dynamics Model for Urban Residential Building Stock towards Sustainability: The Case of Jinan, China

Author

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  • Dong Yang

    (Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

  • Mengyuan Dang

    (Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

  • Lingwen Sun

    (Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

  • Feng Han

    (Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

  • Feng Shi

    (Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

  • Hongbo Zhang

    (Institute of Science and Technology for Development of Shandong, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

  • Hongjun Zhang

    (Energy Research Institute of Shandong Academy of Sciences, Qilu University of Technology (Shandong Academy of Sciences), Jinan 250100, China)

Abstract

Resource and environmental issues related to urban building systems have recently become a hot research topic in the field of urban environmental management research. Taking Jinan city as an example, this paper establishes a system dynamic model for an urban residential building stock system. The simulated results show that the urban residential building stock will be 1.99 × 10 8 m 2 in 2050; and the annual total demolition buildings will be at 3.36 × 10 6 m 2 in 2082. Policy measures were developed based on four important action fields such as per capita floor area (PCFA), the building structure proportion of new construction, lifetime of the residential building, and the recycling of the C&D waste. Among these approaches, the set of policy measures focusing on the recycling of C&D waste appears to be more effective in reducing environmental and resource impacts than the other three fields. It is also found that the recycling of brick and concrete waste plays a considerable role in reducing environment and resource impacts due to the development of urban residential building stock with the lapse of time.

Suggested Citation

  • Dong Yang & Mengyuan Dang & Lingwen Sun & Feng Han & Feng Shi & Hongbo Zhang & Hongjun Zhang, 2021. "A System Dynamics Model for Urban Residential Building Stock towards Sustainability: The Case of Jinan, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-23, September.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jijerp:v:18:y:2021:i:18:p:9520-:d:632270
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. An Huang & Li Tian & Qing Li & Yongfu Li & Jianghao Yu & Yuan Gao & Jing Xia, 2023. "Land-Use Planning Serves as a Critical Tool for Improving Resources and Environmental Carrying Capacity: A Review of Evaluation Methods and Application," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-20, January.
    2. Zaiyu Fan & Zhen Zhong, 2023. "Spatial Morphological Characteristics and Evolution of Policy-Oriented Urban Agglomerations—Take the Yangtze River Middle Reaches Urban Agglomeration as an Example," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(18), pages 1-20, September.

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