IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/bla/inecol/v26y2022i1p44-57.html

Machine learning‐based stocks and flows modeling of road infrastructure

Author

Listed:
  • Babak Ebrahimi
  • Leonardo Rosado
  • Holger Wallbaum

Abstract

This paper introduces a new method to account for the stocks and flows of road infrastructure at the national level based on material flow accounting (MFA). The proposed method closes some of the current shortcomings in road infrastructures that were identified through MFA: (1) the insufficient implementation of prospective analysis, (2) heavy use of archetypes as a way to represent road infrastructure, (3) inadequate attention to the inclusion of dissipative flows, and (4) limited coverage of the uncertainties. The proposed dynamic bottom‐up MFA method was tested on the Norwegian road network to estimate and predict the material stocks and flows between 1980 and 2050. Here, a supervised machine learning model was introduced to estimate the road infrastructure instead of archetypical mapping of different roads. The dissipation of materials from the road infrastructure based on tire–pavement interaction was incorporated. Moreover, this study utilizes iterative classified and regression trees, lifetime distributions, randomized material intensities, and sensitivity analyses to quantify the uncertainties.

Suggested Citation

  • Babak Ebrahimi & Leonardo Rosado & Holger Wallbaum, 2022. "Machine learning‐based stocks and flows modeling of road infrastructure," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(1), pages 44-57, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:26:y:2022:i:1:p:44-57
    DOI: 10.1111/jiec.13232
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://doi.org/10.1111/jiec.13232
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1111/jiec.13232?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Helen A. Hamilton & Eva Brod & Ola S. Hanserud & Erik O. Gracey & Magnus I. Vestrum & Anne Bøen & Franciska S. Steinhoff & Daniel B. Müller & Helge Brattebø, 2016. "Investigating Cross-Sectoral Synergies through Integrated Aquaculture, Fisheries, and Agriculture Phosphorus Assessments: A Case Study of Norway," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 20(4), pages 867-881, August.
    2. Paul Gontia & Liane Thuvander & Babak Ebrahimi & Victor Vinas & Leonardo Rosado & Holger Wallbaum, 2019. "Spatial analysis of urban material stock with clustering algorithms: A Northern European case study," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 23(6), pages 1328-1343, December.
    3. Andreas Mayer & Willi Haas & Dominik Wiedenhofer & Fridolin Krausmann & Philip Nuss & Gian Andrea Blengini, 2019. "Measuring Progress towards a Circular Economy: A Monitoring Framework for Economy‐wide Material Loop Closing in the EU28," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 23(1), pages 62-76, February.
    4. Jukka Hoffrén & Jyrki Luukkanen & Jari Kaivo‐oja, 2000. "Decomposition Analysis of Finnish Material Flows: 1960–1996," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 4(4), pages 105-125, October.
    5. Jan Kovanda & Miroslav Havranek & Tomas Hak, 2007. "Calculation of the“Net Additions to Stock” Indicator for the Czech Republic Using a Direct Method," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 11(4), pages 140-154, October.
    6. Willi Haas & Fridolin Krausmann & Dominik Wiedenhofer & Markus Heinz, 2015. "How Circular is the Global Economy?: An Assessment of Material Flows, Waste Production, and Recycling in the European Union and the World in 2005," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 19(5), pages 765-777, October.
    7. Augiseau, Vincent & Barles, Sabine, 2017. "Studying construction materials flows and stock: A review," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 153-164.
    8. Hiroki Tanikawa & Tomer Fishman & Keijiro Okuoka & Kenji Sugimoto, 2015. "The Weight of Society Over Time and Space: A Comprehensive Account of the Construction Material Stock of Japan, 1945–2010," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 19(5), pages 778-791, October.
    9. Dominik Wiedenhofer & Julia K. Steinberger & Nina Eisenmenger & Willi Haas, 2015. "Maintenance and Expansion: Modeling Material Stocks and Flows for Residential Buildings and Transportation Networks in the EU25," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 19(4), pages 538-551, August.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Luke Cullen & Andrea Marinoni & Jonathan Cullen, 2024. "Machine learning for gap‐filling in greenhouse gas emissions databases," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(4), pages 636-647, August.
    2. John Ryter & Karan Bhuwalka & Michelena O'Rourke & Luca Montanelli & David Cohen‐Tanugi & Richard Roth & Elsa Olivetti, 2024. "Understanding key mineral supply chain dynamics using economics‐informed material flow analysis and Bayesian optimization," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(4), pages 709-726, August.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Wiedenhofer, Dominik & Fishman, Tomer & Lauk, Christian & Haas, Willi & Krausmann, Fridolin, 2019. "Integrating Material Stock Dynamics Into Economy-Wide Material Flow Accounting: Concepts, Modelling, and Global Application for 1900–2050," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 121-133.
    2. Claudia Cucchi & Ramzy Kahhat & Matías Gutiérrez & Alexis Dueñas & Carlos Mesta & Samy García & Johann Fellner, 2024. "Understanding the evolution of cities through urban stocks: A comparative analysis of Andean and coastal urban areas in Peru," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(4), pages 813-827, August.
    3. Miatto, Alessio & Schandl, Heinz & Wiedenhofer, Dominik & Krausmann, Fridolin & Tanikawa, Hiroki, 2017. "Modeling material flows and stocks of the road network in the United States 1905–2015," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 127(C), pages 168-178.
    4. Keisuke Yoshida & Keijiro Okuoka & Alessio Miatto & Liselotte Schebek & Hiroki Tanikawa, 2019. "Estimation of Mining and Landfilling Activities with Associated Overburden through Satellite Data: Germany 2000–2010," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(3), pages 1-17, July.
    5. Miatto, Alessio & Schandl, Heinz & Tanikawa, Hiroki, 2017. "How important are realistic building lifespan assumptions for material stock and demolition waste accounts?," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 122(C), pages 143-154.
    6. Yupeng Liu & Wei-Qiang Chen & Tao Lin & Lijie Gao, 2019. "How Spatial Analysis Can Help Enhance Material Stocks and Flows Analysis?," Resources, MDPI, vol. 8(1), pages 1-8, March.
    7. Yupeng Liu & Jiajia Li & Wei‐Qiang Chen & Lulu Song & Shaoqing Dai, 2022. "Quantifying urban mass gain and loss by a GIS‐based material stocks and flows analysis," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(3), pages 1051-1060, June.
    8. Chenling Fu & Yan Zhang & Tianjie Deng & Ichiro Daigo, 2022. "The evolution of material stock research: From exploring to rising to hot studies," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(2), pages 462-476, April.
    9. Liang Yuan & Weisheng Lu & Fan Xue & Maosu Li, 2023. "Building feature‐based machine learning regression to quantify urban material stocks: A Hong Kong study," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 27(1), pages 336-349, February.
    10. Juan Antonio Duro & Alejandro Perez‐Laborda & Markus Löw & Sarah Matej & Barbara Plank & Fridolin Krausmann & Dominik Wiedenhofer & Helmut Haberl, 2024. "Spatial patterns of built structures co‐determine nations’ level of resource demand," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(2), pages 289-302, April.
    11. Edgar Battand Towa Kouokam & Vanessa Zeller & Wouter Achten, 2021. "Assessing the circularity of regions: Stakes of trade of waste for treatment," ULB Institutional Repository 2013/332186, ULB -- Universite Libre de Bruxelles.
    12. Marco Bianchi & Carlos Tapia & Ikerne del Valle, 2020. "Monitoring domestic material consumption at lower territorial levels: A novel data downscaling method," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 24(5), pages 1074-1087, October.
    13. Mathieu, Valentin & Roda, Jean-Marc, 2023. "A meta-analysis on wood trade flow modeling concepts," Forest Policy and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).
    14. Rafaela Tirado & Adélaïde Aublet & Sylvain Laurenceau & Mathieu Thorel & Mathilde Louërat & Guillaume Habert, 2021. "Component-Based Model for Building Material Stock and Waste-Flow Characterization: A Case in the Île-de-France Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-34, November.
    15. Stefan Giljum & Hanspeter Wieland & Stephan Lutter & Martin Bruckner & Richard Wood & Arnold Tukker & Konstantin Stadler, 2016. "Identifying priority areas for European resource policies: a MRIO-based material footprint assessment," Journal of Economic Structures, Springer;Pan-Pacific Association of Input-Output Studies (PAPAIOS), vol. 5(1), pages 1-24, December.
    16. William Mihkelson & Hadi Arbabi & Stephen Hincks & Danielle Densley Tingley, 2024. "Built‐environment stocks in the context of a master‐planned city: A case study of Chandigarh, India," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 28(3), pages 573-588, June.
    17. Cris Garcia-Saravia Ortiz-de-Montellano & Yvonne Meer, 2022. "A Theoretical Framework for Circular Processes and Circular Impacts Through a Comprehensive Review of Indicators," Global Journal of Flexible Systems Management, Springer;Global Institute of Flexible Systems Management, vol. 23(2), pages 291-314, June.
    18. Georgios Lanaras-Mamounis & Anastasios Kipritsis & Thomas A. Tsalis & Konstantinos Ι. Vatalis & Ioannis E. Nikolaou, 2022. "A Framework for Assessing the Contribution of Firms to Circular Economy: a Triple-Level Approach," Circular Economy and Sustainability, Springer, vol. 2(3), pages 883-902, September.
    19. Virág, Doris & Wiedenhofer, Dominik & Baumgart, André & Matej, Sarah & Krausmann, Fridolin & Min, Jihoon & Rao, Narasimha D. & Haberl, Helmut, 2022. "How much infrastructure is required to support decent mobility for all? An exploratory assessment," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 200(C).
    20. Linbin Tang & Peng Wang & Zijie Ma & Stefan Pauliuk & Wei‐Qiang Chen & Tao Dai & Zipeng Lin, 2023. "Exploring the global trade networks of the tungsten supply chain: Insights into the physical and monetary mismatch among countries," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 27(1), pages 323-335, February.

    More about this item

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:26:y:2022:i:1:p:44-57. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Wiley Content Delivery (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.blackwellpublishing.com/journal.asp?ref=1088-1980 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.