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Dynamic Material Flow Analysis for Strategic Construction and Demolition Waste Management in Beijing

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  • Mingming Hu
  • Ester Van Der Voet
  • Gjalt Huppes

Abstract

Of all materials extracted from the earth's crust, the construction sector uses 50%, producing huge amounts of construction and demolition waste (CDW). In Beijing, presently 35 million metric tons per year (megatonnes/year [Mt/yr]) of CDW are generated. This amount is expected to grow significantly when the first round of mass buildings erected in the 1990s starts to be demolished. In this study, a dynamic material flow analysis (MFA) is conducted for Beijing's urban housing system, with the demand for the stock of housing floor area taken as the driver. The subsequent effects on construction and demolition flows of housing floor area and the concurrent consumption and waste streams of concrete are investigated for Beijing from 1949 and projected through 2050. The per capita floor area (PCFA) is a key factor shaping the material stock of housing. Observations in Beijing, the Netherlands, and Norway indicate that PCFA has a strong correlation with the local gross domestic product (GDP). The lifetime of dwellings is one of the most important variables influencing future CDW generation. Three scenarios, representing the current trend extension, high GDP growth, and lengthening the lifetime of dwellings, are analyzed. The simulation results show that CDW will rise, unavoidably. A higher growth rate of GDP and the consequent PCFA will worsen the situation in the distant future. Prolonging the lifetime of dwellings can postpone the arrival of the peak CDW. From a systematic view, recycling is highly recommended for long‐term sustainable CDW management.

Suggested Citation

  • Mingming Hu & Ester Van Der Voet & Gjalt Huppes, 2010. "Dynamic Material Flow Analysis for Strategic Construction and Demolition Waste Management in Beijing," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 14(3), pages 440-456, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:bla:inecol:v:14:y:2010:i:3:p:440-456
    DOI: 10.1111/j.1530-9290.2010.00245.x
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    Cited by:

    1. Wei Zhou & Alice Moncaster & David M Reiner & Peter Guthrie, 2019. "Estimating Lifetimes and Stock Turnover Dynamics of Urban Residential Buildings in China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 11(13), pages 1-18, July.
    2. Yi Bao & Zhou Huang & Han Wang & Ganmin Yin & Xiao Zhou & Yong Gao, 2023. "High‐resolution quantification of building stock using multi‐source remote sensing imagery and deep learning," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 27(1), pages 350-361, February.
    3. Zhou, Wei & O'Neill, Eoghan & Moncaster, Alice & Reiner, David M. & Guthrie, Peter, 2020. "Forecasting urban residential stock turnover dynamics using system dynamics and Bayesian model averaging," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    4. Zhou, Wei & Moncaster, Alice & O'Neill, Eoghan & Reiner, David M. & Wang, Xinke & Guthrie, Peter, 2022. "Modelling future trends of annual embodied energy of urban residential building stock in China," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C).
    5. Jakob Lederer & Andreas Gassner & Florian Keringer & Ursula Mollay & Christoph Schremmer & Johann Fellner, 2019. "Material Flows and Stocks in the Urban Building Sector: A Case Study from Vienna for the Years 1990–2015," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, December.
    6. Bonnie McBain & Manfred Lenzen & Glenn Albrecht & Mathis Wackernagel, 2018. "Building Robust Housing Sector Policy Using the Ecological Footprint," Resources, MDPI, vol. 7(2), pages 1-17, March.
    7. Ling Zhang & Qingqing Lu & Zengwei Yuan & Songyan Jiang & Huijun Wu, 2023. "A bottom‐up modeling of metabolism of the residential building system in China toward 2050," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 27(2), pages 587-600, April.
    8. Mastrucci, Alessio & Marvuglia, Antonino & Popovici, Emil & Leopold, Ulrich & Benetto, Enrico, 2017. "Geospatial characterization of building material stocks for the life cycle assessment of end-of-life scenarios at the urban scale," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 54-66.
    9. Jing Guo & Tomer Fishman & Yao Wang & Alessio Miatto & Wendy Wuyts & Licheng Zheng & Heming Wang & Hiroki Tanikawa, 2021. "Urban development and sustainability challenges chronicled by a century of construction material flows and stocks in Tiexi, China," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 25(1), pages 162-175, February.
    10. Wang, Tao & Tian, Xin & Hashimoto, Seiji & Tanikawa, Hiroki, 2015. "Concrete transformation of buildings in China and implications for the steel cycle," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 103(C), pages 205-215.
    11. Cao, Zhi & Liu, Gang & Duan, Huabo & Xi, Fengming & Liu, Guiwen & Yang, Wei, 2019. "Unravelling the mystery of Chinese building lifetime: A calibration and verification based on dynamic material flow analysis," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 442-452.
    12. Hong Shen & Ying Peng & Chunxiang Guo, 2018. "Analysis of the Evolution Game of Construction and Demolition Waste Recycling Behavior Based on Prospect Theory under Environmental Regulation," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-17, July.
    13. Augiseau, Vincent & Barles, Sabine, 2017. "Studying construction materials flows and stock: A review," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 153-164.
    14. Rafaela Tirado & Adélaïde Aublet & Sylvain Laurenceau & Mathieu Thorel & Mathilde Louërat & Guillaume Habert, 2021. "Component-Based Model for Building Material Stock and Waste-Flow Characterization: A Case in the Île-de-France Region," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(23), pages 1-34, November.
    15. Tian, Shuoshuo & Di, Yuezhong & Dai, Min & Chen, Weiqiang & Zhang, Qi, 2022. "Comprehensive assessment of energy conservation and CO2 emission reduction in future aluminum supply chain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    16. Teun Johannes Verhagen & Marijn Louise Sauer & Ester van der Voet & Benjamin Sprecher, 2021. "Matching Demolition and Construction Material Flows, an Urban Mining Case Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(2), pages 1-14, January.
    17. Linwei Pan & Minglei Zhu & Ningning Lang & Tengfei Huo, 2020. "What Is the Amount of China’s Building Floor Space from 1996 to 2014?," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-17, August.
    18. Heming Wang & Qiang Yue & Zhongwu Lu & Helmut Schuetz & Stefan Bringezu, 2013. "Total Material Requirement of Growing China: 1995–2008," Resources, MDPI, vol. 2(3), pages 1-16, August.
    19. Anita Boros & Dávid Tőzsér, 2023. "The Emerging Role of Plant-Based Building Materials in the Construction Industry—A Bibliometric Analysis," Resources, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-16, October.
    20. Olaya, Yris & Vásquez, Felipe & Müller, Daniel B., 2017. "Dwelling stock dynamics for addressing housing deficit," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 123(C), pages 187-199.
    21. Dong Yang & Mengyuan Dang & Lingwen Sun & Feng Han & Feng Shi & Hongbo Zhang & Hongjun Zhang, 2021. "A System Dynamics Model for Urban Residential Building Stock towards Sustainability: The Case of Jinan, China," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 18(18), pages 1-23, September.
    22. Yupeng Liu & Jiajia Li & Wei‐Qiang Chen & Lulu Song & Shaoqing Dai, 2022. "Quantifying urban mass gain and loss by a GIS‐based material stocks and flows analysis," Journal of Industrial Ecology, Yale University, vol. 26(3), pages 1051-1060, June.
    23. Christian Zurbrügg & Marco Caniato & Mentore Vaccari, 2014. "How Assessment Methods Can Support Solid Waste Management in Developing Countries—A Critical Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(2), pages 1-26, January.
    24. Huang, Tao & Shi, Feng & Tanikawa, Hiroki & Fei, Jinling & Han, Ji, 2013. "Materials demand and environmental impact of buildings construction and demolition in China based on dynamic material flow analysis," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 91-101.
    25. Zhou, Yucheng & Yang, Ning & Hu, Shanying, 2013. "Industrial metabolism of PVC in China: A dynamic material flow analysis," Resources, Conservation & Recycling, Elsevier, vol. 73(C), pages 33-40.

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