IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v15y2022i23p8901-d983461.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Forecasting Hydrogen Production from Wind Energy in a Suburban Environment Using Machine Learning

Author

Listed:
  • Ali Javaid

    (School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering (SMME), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
    Artificial Intelligence for Mechanical Systems (AIMS) Laboratory, School of Interdisciplinary Engineering and Sciences (SINES), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Umer Javaid

    (School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering (SMME), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
    Artificial Intelligence for Mechanical Systems (AIMS) Laboratory, School of Interdisciplinary Engineering and Sciences (SINES), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Sajid

    (School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering (SMME), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan
    Artificial Intelligence for Mechanical Systems (AIMS) Laboratory, School of Interdisciplinary Engineering and Sciences (SINES), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Muhammad Rashid

    (Department of Computer Science, National University of Technology (NUTECH), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Emad Uddin

    (School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering (SMME), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Yasar Ayaz

    (School of Mechanical and Manufacturing Engineering (SMME), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

  • Adeel Waqas

    (U.S.-Pakistan Center for Advanced Studies in Energy (USPCAS-E), National University of Sciences and Technology (NUST), Islamabad 44000, Pakistan)

Abstract

The environment is seriously threatened by the rising energy demand and the use of conventional energy sources. Renewable energy sources including hydro, solar, and wind have been the focus of extensive research due to the proliferation of energy demands and technological advancement. Wind energy is mostly harvested in coastal areas, and little work has been done on energy extraction from winds in a suburban environment. The fickle behavior of wind makes it a less attractive renewable energy source. However, an energy storage method may be added to store harvested wind energy. The purpose of this study is to evaluate the feasibility of extracting wind energy in terms of hydrogen energy in a suburban environment incorporating artificial intelligence techniques. To this end, a site was selected latitude 33.64° N, longitude 72.98° N, and elevation 500 m above mean sea level in proximity to hills. One year of wind data consisting of wind speed, wind direction, and wind gust was collected at 10 min intervals. Subsequently, long short-term memory (LSTM), support vector regression (SVR), and linear regression models were trained on the empirically collected data to estimate daily hydrogen production. The results reveal that the overall prediction performance of LSTM was best compared to that of SVR and linear regression models. Furthermore, we found that an average of 6.76 kg/day of hydrogen can be produced by a 1.5 MW wind turbine with the help of an artificial intelligence method (LSTM) that is well suited for time-series data to classify, process, and predict.

Suggested Citation

  • Ali Javaid & Umer Javaid & Muhammad Sajid & Muhammad Rashid & Emad Uddin & Yasar Ayaz & Adeel Waqas, 2022. "Forecasting Hydrogen Production from Wind Energy in a Suburban Environment Using Machine Learning," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(23), pages 1-13, November.
  • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:23:p:8901-:d:983461
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/23/8901/pdf
    Download Restriction: no

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/15/23/8901/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Trop, P. & Goricanec, D., 2016. "Comparisons between energy carriers' productions for exploiting renewable energy sources," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 108(C), pages 155-161.
    2. Mahsa Dehghan Manshadi & Majid Ghassemi & Seyed Milad Mousavi & Amir H. Mosavi & Levente Kovacs, 2021. "Predicting the Parameters of Vortex Bladeless Wind Turbine Using Deep Learning Method of Long Short-Term Memory," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(16), pages 1-17, August.
    3. Shuto Tsuchida & Hirofumi Nonaka & Noboru Yamada, 2022. "Deep Reinforcement Learning for the Optimal Angle Control of Tracking Bifacial Photovoltaic Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-14, October.
    4. Messner, Jakob W. & Pinson, Pierre, 2019. "Online adaptive lasso estimation in vector autoregressive models for high dimensional wind power forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 35(4), pages 1485-1498.
    5. Yang, Yingkui & Solgaard, Hans Stubbe & Haider, Wolfgang, 2016. "Wind, hydro or mixed renewable energy source: Preference for electricity products when the share of renewable energy increases," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 97(C), pages 521-531.
    6. Ahmad Alzahrani & Senthil Kumar Ramu & Gunapriya Devarajan & Indragandhi Vairavasundaram & Subramaniyaswamy Vairavasundaram, 2022. "A Review on Hydrogen-Based Hybrid Microgrid System: Topologies for Hydrogen Energy Storage, Integration, and Energy Management with Solar and Wind Energy," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-32, October.
    7. Rafiq Asghar & Zahid Ullah & Babar Azeem & Sheraz Aslam & Muhammad Harris Hashmi & Ehtsham Rasool & Bilawal Shaker & Muhammad Junaid Anwar & Kainat Mustafa, 2022. "Wind Energy Potential in Pakistan: A Feasibility Study in Sindh Province," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(22), pages 1-23, November.
    8. Chiari, Luca & Zecca, Antonio, 2011. "Constraints of fossil fuels depletion on global warming projections," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(9), pages 5026-5034, September.
    9. Qureshy, Ali M.M.I. & Dincer, Ibrahim, 2020. "Energy and exergy analyses of an integrated renewable energy system for hydrogen production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Abdoulkader Ibrahim Idriss & Ramadan Ali Ahmed & Hamda Abdi Atteyeh & Omar Abdoulkader Mohamed & Haitham Saad Mohamed Ramadan, 2023. "Techno-Economic Potential of Wind-Based Green Hydrogen Production in Djibouti: Literature Review and Case Studies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(16), pages 1-19, August.
    2. Liu, Ling & Wang, Jujie & Li, Jianping & Wei, Lu, 2023. "An online transfer learning model for wind turbine power prediction based on spatial feature construction and system-wide update," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    3. Xinhao Liang & Feihu Hu & Xin Li & Lin Zhang & Hui Cao & Haiming Li, 2023. "Spatio-Temporal Wind Speed Prediction Based on Improved Residual Shrinkage Network," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(7), pages 1-19, March.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Billé, Anna Gloria & Gianfreda, Angelica & Del Grosso, Filippo & Ravazzolo, Francesco, 2023. "Forecasting electricity prices with expert, linear, and nonlinear models," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 570-586.
    2. Jonathan Berrisch & Florian Ziel, 2023. "Multivariate Probabilistic CRPS Learning with an Application to Day-Ahead Electricity Prices," Papers 2303.10019, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2024.
    3. Iwona Bąk & Anna Spoz & Magdalena Zioło & Marek Dylewski, 2021. "Dynamic Analysis of the Similarity of Objects in Research on the Use of Renewable Energy Resources in European Union Countries," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-24, July.
    4. Khairul Eahsun Fahim & Liyanage C. De Silva & Fayaz Hussain & Sk. A. Shezan & Hayati Yassin, 2023. "An Evaluation of ASEAN Renewable Energy Path to Carbon Neutrality," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-27, April.
    5. Camehl, Annika, 2023. "Penalized estimation of panel vector autoregressive models: A panel LASSO approach," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1185-1204.
    6. Neeraj Sharma & Rajat Agrawal, 2017. "Locating a Wind Energy Project: A Case of a Leading Oil and Gas Producer in India," Vision, , vol. 21(2), pages 172-194, June.
    7. Kai Xu & Youguang Guo & Gang Lei & Jianguo Zhu, 2023. "A Review of Flywheel Energy Storage System Technologies," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(18), pages 1-32, September.
    8. Hu, Bin & He, Guangjian & Chang, Fulu & Yang, Han & Cao, Xianwu & Yin, Xiaochun, 2022. "Low filler and highly conductive composite bipolar plates with synergistic segregated structure for enhanced proton exchange membrane fuel cell performance," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C).
    9. Singh, Neeraj Kumar & Kumari, Priyanka & Singh, Rajesh, 2021. "Intensified hydrogen yield using hydrogenase rich sulfate-reducing bacteria in bio-electrochemical system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    10. Höök, Mikael & Tang, Xu, 2013. "Depletion of fossil fuels and anthropogenic climate change—A review," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 52(C), pages 797-809.
    11. Rafati, Amir & Joorabian, Mahmood & Mashhour, Elaheh & Shaker, Hamid Reza, 2021. "High dimensional very short-term solar power forecasting based on a data-driven heuristic method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    12. Fazril Ideris & Mohd Faiz Muaz Ahmad Zamri & Abd Halim Shamsuddin & Saifuddin Nomanbhay & Fitranto Kusumo & Islam Md Rizwanul Fattah & Teuku Meurah Indra Mahlia, 2022. "Progress on Conventional and Advanced Techniques of In Situ Transesterification of Microalgae Lipids for Biodiesel Production," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(19), pages 1-32, September.
    13. Laib, I. & Hamidat, A. & Haddadi, M. & Ramzan, N. & Olabi, A.G., 2018. "Study and simulation of the energy performances of a grid-connected PV system supplying a residential house in north of Algeria," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 152(C), pages 445-454.
    14. Takele Ferede Agajie & Armand Fopah-Lele & Isaac Amoussou & Ahmed Ali & Baseem Khan & Emmanuel Tanyi, 2023. "Optimal Design and Mathematical Modeling of Hybrid Solar PV–Biogas Generator with Energy Storage Power Generation System in Multi-Objective Function Cases," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(10), pages 1-26, May.
    15. Chaikumbung, Mayula, 2021. "Institutions and consumer preferences for renewable energy: A meta-regression analysis," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 146(C).
    16. Iñigo Aramendia & Unai Fernandez-Gamiz & Adrian Martinez-San-Vicente & Ekaitz Zulueta & Jose Manuel Lopez-Guede, 2020. "Vanadium Redox Flow Batteries: A Review Oriented to Fluid-Dynamic Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(1), pages 1-20, December.
    17. Gollangi, Raju & K, NagamalleswaraRao, 2022. "Energy, exergy analysis of conceptually designed monochloromethane production process from hydrochlorination of methanol," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    18. Kaleem Ullah & Zahid Ullah & Sheraz Aslam & Muhammad Salik Salam & Muhammad Asjad Salahuddin & Muhammad Farooq Umer & Mujtaba Humayon & Haris Shaheer, 2023. "Wind Farms and Flexible Loads Contribution in Automatic Generation Control: An Extensive Review and Simulation," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-34, July.
    19. Dezhou Kong & Jianru Jing & Tingyue Gu & Xuanyue Wei & Xingning Sa & Yimin Yang & Zhiang Zhang, 2023. "Theoretical Analysis of Integrated Community Energy Systems (ICES) Considering Integrated Demand Response (IDR): A Review of the System Modelling and Optimization," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-22, May.
    20. AlZahrani, Abdullah A. & Dincer, Ibrahim, 2022. "Assessment of a thin-electrolyte solid oxide cell for hydrogen production," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:15:y:2022:i:23:p:8901-:d:983461. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.