IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jeners/v14y2021i4p968-d498275.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A Systematic Review on Predicting and Forecasting the Electrical Energy Consumption in the Manufacturing Industry

Author

Listed:
  • Jessica Walther

    (Institute of Production Management, Technology and Machine Tools (PTW), Department Mechanical Engineering, Technical University of Darmstadt, Otto-Berndt-Str. 2, 64287 Darmstadt, Germany)

  • Matthias Weigold

    (Institute of Production Management, Technology and Machine Tools (PTW), Department Mechanical Engineering, Technical University of Darmstadt, Otto-Berndt-Str. 2, 64287 Darmstadt, Germany)

Abstract

In the context of the European Green Deal, the manufacturing industry faces environmental challenges due to its high demand for electrical energy. Thus, measures for improving the energy efficiency or flexibility are applied to address this problem in the manufacturing industry. In order to quantify energy efficiency or flexibility potentials, it is often necessary to predict or forecast the energy consumption. This paper presents a systematic review of state-of-the-art of existing approaches to predict or forecast the energy consumption in the manufacturing industry. Seventy-two articles are classified according to the defined categories System Boundary, Modelling Technique, Modelling Focus, Modelling Horizon, Modelling Perspective, Modelling Purpose and Model Output. Based on the reviewed articles future research activities are derived.

Suggested Citation

  • Jessica Walther & Matthias Weigold, 2021. "A Systematic Review on Predicting and Forecasting the Electrical Energy Consumption in the Manufacturing Industry," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-24, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:4:p:968-:d:498275
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/968/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/1996-1073/14/4/968/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Fan, Cheng & Xiao, Fu & Zhao, Yang, 2017. "A short-term building cooling load prediction method using deep learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 195(C), pages 222-233.
    2. Hahn, Heiko & Meyer-Nieberg, Silja & Pickl, Stefan, 2009. "Electric load forecasting methods: Tools for decision making," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 199(3), pages 902-907, December.
    3. Glock, C. H. & Hochrein, S., 2011. "Purchasing Organization and Design: A Literature Review," Publications of Darmstadt Technical University, Institute for Business Studies (BWL) 57809, Darmstadt Technical University, Department of Business Administration, Economics and Law, Institute for Business Studies (BWL).
    4. He, Yan & Wu, Pengcheng & Li, Yufeng & Wang, Yulin & Tao, Fei & Wang, Yan, 2020. "A generic energy prediction model of machine tools using deep learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    5. Dietrich, Bastian & Walther, Jessica & Weigold, Matthias & Abele, Eberhard, 2020. "Machine learning based very short term load forecasting of machine tools," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    6. Reza Imani Asrai & Stephen T. Newman & Aydin Nassehi, 2018. "A mechanistic model of energy consumption in milling," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 56(1-2), pages 642-659, January.
    7. Abeykoon, Chamil & Kelly, Adrian L. & Brown, Elaine C. & Vera-Sorroche, Javier & Coates, Phil D. & Harkin-Jones, Eileen & Howell, Ken B. & Deng, Jing & Li, Kang & Price, Mark, 2014. "Investigation of the process energy demand in polymer extrusion: A brief review and an experimental study," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 136(C), pages 726-737.
    8. Hong, Tao & Fan, Shu, 2016. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting: A tutorial review," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 914-938.
    9. Zhao, G.Y. & Liu, Z.Y. & He, Y. & Cao, H.J. & Guo, Y.B., 2017. "Energy consumption in machining: Classification, prediction, and reduction strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 142-157.
    10. Shang, Zhendong & Gao, Dong & Jiang, Zhipeng & Lu, Yong, 2019. "Towards less energy intensive heavy-duty machine tools: Power consumption characteristics and energy-saving strategies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 263-276.
    11. Li, Yufeng & He, Yan & Wang, Yan & Wang, Yulin & Yan, Ping & Lin, Shenlong, 2015. "A modeling method for hybrid energy behaviors in flexible machining systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 86(C), pages 164-174.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Alexandra L’Heureux & Katarina Grolinger & Miriam A. M. Capretz, 2022. "Transformer-Based Model for Electrical Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(14), pages 1-23, July.
    2. Dirk Deschrijver, 2021. "Special Issue: “Improving Energy Efficiency through Data-Driven Modeling, Simulation and Optimization”," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(6), pages 1-3, March.
    3. Joanna Henzel & Łukasz Wróbel & Marcin Fice & Marek Sikora, 2022. "Energy Consumption Forecasting for the Digital-Twin Model of the Building," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(12), pages 1-21, June.
    4. Demirci, Alpaslan & Öztürk, Zafer & Tercan, Said Mirza, 2023. "Decision-making between hybrid renewable energy configurations and grid extension in rural areas for different climate zones," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 262(PA).
    5. Diogo M. F. Izidio & Paulo S. G. de Mattos Neto & Luciano Barbosa & João F. L. de Oliveira & Manoel Henrique da Nóbrega Marinho & Guilherme Ferretti Rissi, 2021. "Evolutionary Hybrid System for Energy Consumption Forecasting for Smart Meters," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-19, March.
    6. Karol Bot & Samira Santos & Inoussa Laouali & Antonio Ruano & Maria da Graça Ruano, 2021. "Design of Ensemble Forecasting Models for Home Energy Management Systems," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-37, November.
    7. Marian Kampik & Marcin Fice & Adam Pilśniak & Krzysztof Bodzek & Anna Piaskowy, 2023. "An Analysis of Energy Consumption in Small- and Medium-Sized Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-21, February.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Brusaferri, Alessandro & Matteucci, Matteo & Spinelli, Stefano & Vitali, Andrea, 2022. "Probabilistic electric load forecasting through Bayesian Mixture Density Networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 309(C).
    2. Wang, Jinling & Tian, Yebing & Hu, Xintao & Han, Jinguo & Liu, Bing, 2023. "Integrated assessment and optimization of dual environment and production drivers in grinding," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 272(C).
    3. Ewa Chodakowska & Joanicjusz Nazarko & Łukasz Nazarko, 2021. "ARIMA Models in Electrical Load Forecasting and Their Robustness to Noise," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(23), pages 1-22, November.
    4. Leonard Burg & Gonca Gürses-Tran & Reinhard Madlener & Antonello Monti, 2021. "Comparative Analysis of Load Forecasting Models for Varying Time Horizons and Load Aggregation Levels," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(21), pages 1-16, November.
    5. Xiao, Qinge & Li, Congbo & Tang, Ying & Pan, Jian & Yu, Jun & Chen, Xingzheng, 2019. "Multi-component energy modeling and optimization for sustainable dry gear hobbing," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    6. Li, Lei & Huang, Haihong & Zou, Xiang & Zhao, Fu & Li, Guishan & Liu, Zhifeng, 2021. "An energy-efficient service-oriented energy supplying system and control for multi-machine in the production line," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    7. Hongyi Wu & Xuanyi Wang & Xiaolei Deng & Hongyao Shen & Xinhua Yao, 2024. "Review on Design Research in CNC Machine Tools Based on Energy Consumption," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-20, January.
    8. Lebotsa, Moshoko Emily & Sigauke, Caston & Bere, Alphonce & Fildes, Robert & Boylan, John E., 2018. "Short term electricity demand forecasting using partially linear additive quantile regression with an application to the unit commitment problem," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 222(C), pages 104-118.
    9. Kück, Mirko & Freitag, Michael, 2021. "Forecasting of customer demands for production planning by local k-nearest neighbor models," International Journal of Production Economics, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    10. Xiao, Tong & Xu, Peng & He, Ruikai & Sha, Huajing, 2022. "Status quo and opportunities for building energy prediction in limited data Context—Overview from a competition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 305(C).
    11. George P. Papaioannou & Christos Dikaiakos & Anargyros Dramountanis & Panagiotis G. Papaioannou, 2016. "Analysis and Modeling for Short- to Medium-Term Load Forecasting Using a Hybrid Manifold Learning Principal Component Model and Comparison with Classical Statistical Models (SARIMAX, Exponential Smoot," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-40, August.
    12. Sajawal ur Rehman Khan & Israa Adil Hayder & Muhammad Asif Habib & Mudassar Ahmad & Syed Muhammad Mohsin & Farrukh Aslam Khan & Kainat Mustafa, 2022. "Enhanced Machine-Learning Techniques for Medium-Term and Short-Term Electric-Load Forecasting in Smart Grids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-16, December.
    13. Jason Runge & Radu Zmeureanu, 2021. "A Review of Deep Learning Techniques for Forecasting Energy Use in Buildings," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(3), pages 1-26, January.
    14. Shang, Zhendong & Gao, Dong & Jiang, Zhipeng & Lu, Yong, 2021. "A multi-perspective analysis of sustainability of machining processes based on a new extended virtual manufacturing framework," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    15. Bessec, Marie & Fouquau, Julien, 2018. "Short-run electricity load forecasting with combinations of stationary wavelet transforms," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 264(1), pages 149-164.
    16. do Carmo, Pedro R.X. & do Monte, João Victor L. & Filho, Assis T. de Oliveira & Freitas, Eduardo & Tigre, Matheus F.F.S.L. & Sadok, Djamel & Kelner, Judith, 2023. "A data-driven model for the optimization of energy consumption of an industrial production boiler in a fiber plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 284(C).
    17. He, Yan & Wu, Pengcheng & Li, Yufeng & Wang, Yulin & Tao, Fei & Wang, Yan, 2020. "A generic energy prediction model of machine tools using deep learning algorithms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    18. Jihoon Moon & Yongsung Kim & Minjae Son & Eenjun Hwang, 2018. "Hybrid Short-Term Load Forecasting Scheme Using Random Forest and Multilayer Perceptron," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-20, November.
    19. Kamal Chapagain & Somsak Kittipiyakul, 2018. "Performance Analysis of Short-Term Electricity Demand with Atmospheric Variables," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-34, April.
    20. Luo, Jian & Hong, Tao & Gao, Zheming & Fang, Shu-Cherng, 2023. "A robust support vector regression model for electric load forecasting," International Journal of Forecasting, Elsevier, vol. 39(2), pages 1005-1020.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:14:y:2021:i:4:p:968-:d:498275. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.