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Short-Term Load Forecasting Using a Novel Deep Learning Framework

Author

Listed:
  • Xiaoyu Zhang

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Rui Wang

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Tao Zhang

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Yajie Liu

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

  • Yabing Zha

    (College of System Engineering, National University of Defense Technology, Changsha 410073, China)

Abstract

Short-term load forecasting is the basis of power system operation and analysis. In recent years, the use of a deep belief network (DBN) for short-term load forecasting has become increasingly popular. In this study, a novel deep-learning framework based on a restricted Boltzmann machine (RBM) and an Elman neural network is presented. This novel framework is used for short-term load forecasting based on the historical power load data of a town in the UK. The obtained results are compared with an individual use of a DBN and Elman neural network. The experimental results demonstrate that our proposed model can significantly ameliorate the prediction accuracy.

Suggested Citation

  • Xiaoyu Zhang & Rui Wang & Tao Zhang & Yajie Liu & Yabing Zha, 2018. "Short-Term Load Forecasting Using a Novel Deep Learning Framework," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-15, June.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jeners:v:11:y:2018:i:6:p:1554-:d:152415
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Francisco Martínez-Álvarez & Alicia Troncoso & Gualberto Asencio-Cortés & José C. Riquelme, 2015. "A Survey on Data Mining Techniques Applied to Electricity-Related Time Series Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 8(11), pages 1-32, November.
    2. Francisco Javier Duque-Pintor & Manuel Jesús Fernández-Gómez & Alicia Troncoso & Francisco Martínez-Álvarez, 2016. "A New Methodology Based on Imbalanced Classification for Predicting Outliers in Electricity Demand Time Series," Energies, MDPI, vol. 9(9), pages 1-10, September.
    3. Jiang, Ping & Liu, Feng & Song, Yiliao, 2017. "A hybrid forecasting model based on date-framework strategy and improved feature selection technology for short-term load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 119(C), pages 694-709.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Imani, Maryam & Ghassemian, Hassan, 2019. "Residential load forecasting using wavelet and collaborative representation transforms," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C), pages 1-1.
    2. Zheng Wan & Hui Li, 2023. "Short-Term Power Load Forecasting Based on Feature Filtering and Error Compensation under Imbalanced Samples," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(10), pages 1-22, May.
    3. Pavlos Nikolaidis & Harris Partaourides, 2021. "A Model Predictive Control for the Dynamical Forecast of Operating Reserves in Frequency Regulation Services," Forecasting, MDPI, vol. 3(1), pages 1-14, March.
    4. Xiaoyu Zhang & Zhe Shu & Rui Wang & Tao Zhang & Yabing Zha, 2018. "Short-Term Load Interval Prediction Using a Deep Belief Network," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-18, October.
    5. Tian Shi & Fei Mei & Jixiang Lu & Jinjun Lu & Yi Pan & Cheng Zhou & Jianzhang Wu & Jianyong Zheng, 2019. "Phase Space Reconstruction Algorithm and Deep Learning-Based Very Short-Term Bus Load Forecasting," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-17, November.
    6. Kong, Xiangyu & Li, Chuang & Wang, Chengshan & Zhang, Yusen & Zhang, Jian, 2020. "Short-term electrical load forecasting based on error correction using dynamic mode decomposition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(C).
    7. Zhang, Jinliang & Siya, Wang & Zhongfu, Tan & Anli, Sun, 2023. "An improved hybrid model for short term power load prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 268(C).
    8. Yang, Dongchuan & Guo, Ju-e & Sun, Shaolong & Han, Jing & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "An interval decomposition-ensemble approach with data-characteristic-driven reconstruction for short-term load forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    9. Zulfiqar, M. & Kamran, M. & Rasheed, M.B. & Alquthami, T. & Milyani, A.H., 2023. "A hybrid framework for short term load forecasting with a navel feature engineering and adaptive grasshopper optimization in smart grid," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 338(C).
    10. Li, Fengyun & Zheng, Haofeng & Li, Xingmei & Yang, Fei, 2021. "Day-ahead city natural gas load forecasting based on decomposition-fusion technique and diversified ensemble learning model," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 303(C).
    11. Rafati, Amir & Joorabian, Mahmood & Mashhour, Elaheh, 2020. "An efficient hour-ahead electrical load forecasting method based on innovative features," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    12. Ibrahim Salem Jahan & Vaclav Snasel & Stanislav Misak, 2020. "Intelligent Systems for Power Load Forecasting: A Study Review," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(22), pages 1-12, November.

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