IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jecomi/v12y2024i11p296-d1509446.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Analysis of Exchange Rate Stability on the Economic Growth Process of a Developing Country: The Case of South Africa from 2000 to 2023

Author

Listed:
  • Collin Chikwira

    (School of Public Management, Governance & Public Policy Directors Office, University of Johannesburg, P.O. Box 524 Auckland Park, Johannesburg 2006, South Africa)

  • Mohammed Iqbal Jahed

    (School of Public Management, Governance & Public Policy Directors Office, University of Johannesburg, P.O. Box 524 Auckland Park, Johannesburg 2006, South Africa)

Abstract

This study examines the impact of exchange rate stability on the economic growth of South Africa from 2000 to 2023, a period characterised by significant political and economic changes. Exchange rate stability is critical for developing countries, affecting key macroeconomic variables such as trade balances, foreign direct investment (FDI), and inflation. For emerging economies like South Africa, maintaining a stable exchange rate can reduce uncertainty in international transactions, foster investor confidence, and support sustainable economic development. This research explores whether consistent exchange rate management has positively influenced South Africa’s economic trajectory, particularly by mitigating the adverse effects of global shocks and domestic volatility. Using the EasyData online database, which contains yearly time series data, the method of analysis adopted by the research is the ordinary least squares (OLS) regression method. The findings show that while exchange rate stability positively impacts GDP, the influence of FDI and political risk is more substantial. These results underscore the importance of fostering a stable economic environment through sound exchange rate policies, political stability, and efforts to attract foreign investments to ensure long-term economic growth.

Suggested Citation

  • Collin Chikwira & Mohammed Iqbal Jahed, 2024. "Analysis of Exchange Rate Stability on the Economic Growth Process of a Developing Country: The Case of South Africa from 2000 to 2023," Economies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-16, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:11:p:296-:d:1509446
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/296/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2227-7099/12/11/296/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yong‐Shik Lee, 2020. "New general theory of economic development: Innovative growth and distribution," Review of Development Economics, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 24(2), pages 402-423, May.
    2. Chen, Liming & Du, Ziqing & Hu, Zhihao, 2020. "Impact of economic policy uncertainty on exchange rate volatility of China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 32(C).
    3. Edwards, Sebastian & Levy Yeyati, Eduardo, 2005. "Flexible exchange rates as shock absorbers," European Economic Review, Elsevier, vol. 49(8), pages 2079-2105, November.
    4. Kong, Qunxi & Peng, Dan & Ni, Yehui & Jiang, Xinyue & Wang, Ziqi, 2021. "Trade openness and economic growth quality of China: Empirical analysis using ARDL model," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    5. Moyo, Delani & Tursoy, Turgut, 2020. "Impact of Inflation and Exchange Rate on the Financial Performance of Commercial Banks in South Africa," MPRA Paper 101383, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Rancière, Romain & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009. "Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 494-513, May.
    7. Hausmann, Ricardo & Panizza, Ugo & Rigobon, Roberto, 2006. "The long-run volatility puzzle of the real exchange rate," Journal of International Money and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 25(1), pages 93-124, February.
    8. Laurent Kemoe & Moustapha Mbohou & Hamza Mighri & Mr. Saad N Quayyum, 2024. "Effect of Exchange Rate Movements on Inflation in Sub-Saharan Africa," IMF Working Papers 2024/059, International Monetary Fund.
    9. Trang Thi-Huyen Dinh & Duc Hong Vo & Anh The Vo & Thang Cong Nguyen, 2019. "Foreign Direct Investment and Economic Growth in the Short Run and Long Run: Empirical Evidence from Developing Countries," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 12(4), pages 1-11, November.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Ata Ozkaya & Omer Altun, 2024. "Domestic and Global Causes for Exchange Rate Volatility: Evidence From Turkey," SAGE Open, , vol. 14(2), pages 21582440241, April.
    2. Jorge Toro & Aarón Garavito & David Camilo López & Enrique Montes, 2015. "El choque petrolero y sus implicaciones en la economía colombiana," Borradores de Economia 906, Banco de la Republica de Colombia.
    3. Frankel, Jeffrey, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets," Handbook of Monetary Economics, in: Benjamin M. Friedman & Michael Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Monetary Economics, edition 1, volume 3, chapter 25, pages 1439-1520, Elsevier.
    4. Calderón, César & Kubota, Megumi, 2018. "Does higher openness cause more real exchange rate volatility?," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C), pages 176-204.
    5. Mohammad Robbani, 2024. "Exchange Rate Volatility and Economic Growth in Eurozone Markets," Bulletin of Applied Economics, Risk Market Journals, vol. 11(2), pages 1-13.
    6. Samir Jahjah & Bin Wei & Vivian Zhanwei Yue, 2013. "Exchange Rate Policy and Sovereign Bond Spreads in Developing Countries," Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Blackwell Publishing, vol. 45(7), pages 1275-1300, October.
    7. Frederick van der Ploeg & Steven Poelhekke, 2007. "Volatility, Financial Development and the Natural Resource Curse," Economics Working Papers ECO2007/36, European University Institute.
    8. Abdelraouf, Nadine & Noureldin, Diaa, 2022. "The impact of the exchange rate regime on the dispersion of the price-change distribution: Evidence from a large panel of countries," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 76(C).
    9. Zheng-Hao Lai & Jyh-Lin Wu, 2023. "Evaluating the Treatment Effect of Hard Pegs: New Wine in Old Bottles," Open Economies Review, Springer, vol. 34(4), pages 813-830, September.
    10. Arratibel, Olga & Furceri, Davide & Martin, Reiner & Zdzienicka, Aleksandra, 2011. "The effect of nominal exchange rate volatility on real macroeconomic performance in the CEE countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 35(2), pages 261-277, June.
    11. Nguyen Ba Trung, 2024. "Exchange rate uncertainty and economic fluctuations in typical emerging economies," HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE - ECONOMICS AND BUSINESS ADMINISTRATION, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY JOURNAL OF SCIENCE, HO CHI MINH CITY OPEN UNIVERSITY, vol. 14(1), pages 88-103.
    12. Blaise Gnimassoun, 2014. "The importance of the exchange rate regime in limiting current account imbalances in sub-Saharan African countries," Working Papers hal-04141342, HAL.
    13. Aliyev, Ruslan & Zeynalov, Ayaz, 2025. "Determinants of the choice of exchange rate regime in oil-exporting countries," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 49(2).
    14. Eliane Cristina de Araújo, 2011. "Volatilidade Cambial e Crescimento Econômico: Teorias e Evidências para Economias em Desenvolvimento e Emergentes (1980 e 2007)," Economia, ANPEC - Associação Nacional dos Centros de Pós-Graduação em Economia [Brazilian Association of Graduate Programs in Economics], vol. 12(2), pages 187-213.
    15. Hussaini Umaru & Aguda Niyi A. & Nordiana Osagie Davies, 2018. "The Effects of Exchange Rate Volatility on Economic Growth of West African English-Speaking Countries," International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, Human Resource Management Academic Research Society, International Journal of Academic Research in Accounting, Finance and Management Sciences, vol. 8(4), pages 131-143, October.
    16. Ricardo J Caballero & Guido Lorenzoni, 2014. "Persistent Appreciations and Overshooting: A Normative Analysis," IMF Economic Review, Palgrave Macmillan;International Monetary Fund, vol. 62(1), pages 1-47, April.
    17. Chaturvedi, Priya & Kumar, Kuldeep, 2022. "Econometric modelling of exchange rate volatility using mixed-frequency data," MPRA Paper 115222, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    18. Aghion, Philippe & Bacchetta, Philippe & Rancière, Romain & Rogoff, Kenneth, 2009. "Exchange rate volatility and productivity growth: The role of financial development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 56(4), pages 494-513, May.
    19. Jeffrey Frankel & Ben Smit & Federico Sturzenegger, 2008. "Fiscal and monetary policy in a commodity‐based economy1," The Economics of Transition, The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development, vol. 16(4), pages 679-713, October.
    20. Jeffrey A. Frankel, 2010. "Monetary Policy in Emerging Markets: A Survey," NBER Working Papers 16125, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jecomi:v:12:y:2024:i:11:p:296-:d:1509446. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.