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A Study of the Impact of New Quality Productive Forces on Agricultural Modernization: Empirical Evidence from China

Author

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  • Qingqing Huang

    (Institute of Food and Strategic Reserves, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210003, China
    College of Business, Yancheng Teachers University, Yancheng 224002, China)

  • Wenjing Guo

    (School of Finance, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210003, China)

  • Yanfei Wang

    (Institute of Food and Strategic Reserves, Nanjing University of Finance and Economics, Nanjing 210003, China)

Abstract

New quality productive forces are the fundamental driving force for the progress of human civilization. To deeply explore the relationship between new quality productive forces and agricultural modernization, data from 30 provinces in China from 2011 to 2022 were selected to construct the index system of new quality productive forces and agricultural modernization, carry out scientific measurement, and conduct empirical analysis using the fixed effect model. The results show that new quality productivity can significantly promote agricultural modernization. The new quality productive force has a significant effect on the modernization of agriculture in the eastern, middle, and western regions of China, but the effect is more prominent in the middle and western areas. New productive forces are significantly and positively associated with agricultural modernization in both main grain-producing and non-main grain-producing areas, but the effect is greater in main grain-producing areas. The upgrading of the agricultural industrial structure plays a mediating effect between new productive forces and agricultural modernization. There is a single-threshold effect of the new productive forces empowering agricultural modernization. Accordingly, to better utilize new productive forces to empower agricultural modernization, we should fully activate the talent engine and cultivate modern “new farmers”; strive to build efficient agriculture by taking scientific and technological innovation as the driving force; and promote the sustainable development of agriculture by taking agricultural green production as the orientation.

Suggested Citation

  • Qingqing Huang & Wenjing Guo & Yanfei Wang, 2024. "A Study of the Impact of New Quality Productive Forces on Agricultural Modernization: Empirical Evidence from China," Agriculture, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-21, October.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jagris:v:14:y:2024:i:11:p:1935-:d:1510248
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Kyle Emerick & Alain de Janvry & Elisabeth Sadoulet & Manzoor H. Dar, 2016. "Technological Innovations, Downside Risk, and the Modernization of Agriculture," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 106(6), pages 1537-1561, June.
    2. François Fortier & Tran Thi Thu Trang, 2013. "Agricultural Modernization and Climate Change in Vietnam's Post-Socialist Transition," Development and Change, International Institute of Social Studies, vol. 44(1), pages 81-99, January.
    3. Meng, Meng & Zhang, Wuke & Zhu, Xi & Shi, Qinghua, 2024. "Agricultural mechanization and rural worker mobility: Evidence from the Agricultural Machinery Purchase Subsidies programme in China," Economic Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 139(C).
    4. Liao, Liuwen & Long, Hualou & Gao, Xiaolu & Ma, Enpu, 2019. "Effects of land use transitions and rural aging on agricultural production in China’s farming area: A perspective from changing labor employing quantity in the planting industry," Land Use Policy, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
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    Cited by:

    1. Shoulin Li & Jianing Liu & Weiya Guo, 2025. "Empowered or Negative? Research on the Impact of Industrial Agglomeration on the Development of Agricultural New Quality Productive Forces: Evidence from Shandong Province, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(8), pages 1-23, April.
    2. Ziyu Qin & Jia Wang & Yunhan Wang & Lihao Liu & Junye Zhou & Xinyu Fu, 2025. "Assessing the Impacts of New Quality Productivity on Sustainable Agriculture: Structural Mechanisms and Optimization Strategies—Empirical Evidence from China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 17(6), pages 1-47, March.

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