IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/gam/jadmsc/v15y2025i2p42-d1582616.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case

Author

Listed:
  • Lyudmyla Malyarets

    (Department of Economic and Mathematical Modeling, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, Ukraine)

  • Svitlana Labunska

    (Department of Accounting and Business Consulting, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, Ukraine
    Institute of Public Administration, Bratislava University of Economics and Management, Furdekova 16, 851 04 Bratislava, Slovakia)

  • Mykola Sidak

    (Institute of Public Administration, Bratislava University of Economics and Management, Furdekova 16, 851 04 Bratislava, Slovakia)

  • Hanna Bilokonenko

    (Department of Psychology and Sociology, Simon Kuznets Kharkiv National University of Economics, Nauky Ave., 9-A, 61166 Kharkiv, Ukraine)

  • Viktoriya Onegina

    (Department of Finance, Economics, Law, and Systems, Clermont School of Business, 4 Boulevard Truden, 63000 Clermont-Ferrand, France
    Department of Global Economy, State Biotechnological University, Alchevskikh St., 44, 61002 Kharkiv, Ukraine)

Abstract

The development of export–import activity at all levels of the national economic system is an important factor and the result of globalization and country integration in the world economy. The elaboration of sound public policy related to export–import activity is based on its assessment and analysis. The goal of this article is the systematization and development of methodological support for the evaluation of the export–import activity of the national economy, including the development of its technology and a conceptual assessment model, which is presented in a structural–logical–semantic form, and the analysis and forecasting of export–import activity using the proposed model. To achieve the research goal, quantitative methods were used: the method of integral taxonomic indicators of development and efficiency, the method of forecasting based on trend models, multivariate factor analysis, and the modified method of cointegration of time series. A set of indicators for the export–import activity “development–effectiveness” matrix was proposed, and their dichotomies were studied. To ensure the reliability and objectivity of the export–import activity assessment, a methodological basis, which is detailed by structural elements, was formed. The model was constructed and tested based on monthly data on the export–import activity of Ukraine for the years 2021–2023.

Suggested Citation

  • Lyudmyla Malyarets & Svitlana Labunska & Mykola Sidak & Hanna Bilokonenko & Viktoriya Onegina, 2025. "Export–Import Activity and Its Assessment: The Ukrainian Case," Administrative Sciences, MDPI, vol. 15(2), pages 1-27, February.
    • Handle: RePEc:gam:jadmsc:v:15:y:2025:i:2:p:42-:d:1582616
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3387/15/2/42/pdf
    Download Restriction: no
    File URL: https://www.mdpi.com/2076-3387/15/2/42/
    Download Restriction: no
    ---><---

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Pian Shu & Claudia Steinwender, 2019. "The Impact of Trade Liberalization on Firm Productivity and Innovation," Innovation Policy and the Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 19(1), pages 39-68.
    2. Shujaat Abbas & Abdul Waheed, 2015. "Pakistan’s potential export flow: The gravity model approach," Journal of Developing Areas, Tennessee State University, College of Business, vol. 49(4), pages 367-377, October-D.
    3. Cooke, Stephen C. & Watson, Philip, 2011. "A Comparison of Regional Export Enhancement and Import Substitution Economic Development Strategies," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 41(01), pages 1-15.
    4. repec:ags:jrapmc:133140 is not listed on IDEAS
    5. Daniel Francois Meyer & Lerato Mothibi, 2021. "The Effect of Risk Rating Agencies Decisions on Economic Growth and Investment in a Developing Country: The Case of South Africa," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 14(7), pages 1-17, June.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Alexander Schiersch & Irene Bertschek & Thomas Niebel, 2025. "To diversify or not? The link between global sourcing of ICT goods and firm performance," Economics of Innovation and New Technology, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 34(1), pages 94-116, January.
    2. Nicholas Bloom & John Van Reenen & Heidi Williams, 2019. "A toolkit of policies to promote innovation," Voprosy Ekonomiki, NP Voprosy Ekonomiki, issue 10.
    3. Pardy, Martina, 2025. "Multinationals and intra-regional innovation concentration," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 127983, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    4. Malgouyres, Clément & Mayer, Thierry & Mazet-Sonilhac, Clément, 2021. "Technology-induced trade shocks? Evidence from broadband expansion in France," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    5. Benjamin Azembila Asunka & Zhiqiang Ma & Mingxing Li & Nelson Amowine & Oswin Aganda Anaba & Haoyang Xie & Weijun Hu, 2021. "Analysis of the causal effects of imports and foreign direct investments on indigenous innovation in developing countries," International Journal of Emerging Markets, Emerald Group Publishing Limited, vol. 17(5), pages 1315-1335, January.
    6. repec:spo:wpmain:info:hdl:2441/4b7tooefh48jlq7oktt0tbn8om is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Liu, Qing & Lu, Ruosi & Lu, Yi & Luong, Tuan Anh, 2021. "Import competition and firm innovation: Evidence from China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 151(C).
    8. Joana Costa & Inês Amorim & João Reis & Nuno Melão, 2023. "User communities: from nice-to-have to must-have," Journal of Innovation and Entrepreneurship, Springer, vol. 12(1), pages 1-35, December.
    9. Shen, Binchao, 2025. "Intermediated trade and innovation," Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    10. Marc J. Melitz & Stephen J. Redding, 2021. "Trade and innovation," CEP Discussion Papers dp1777, Centre for Economic Performance, LSE.
    11. Bachar Moussa & Nikos C. Varsakelis, 2022. "Causality Between International Trade and International Patenting: A Combination of Network Analysis and Granger Causality," Atlantic Economic Journal, Springer;International Atlantic Economic Society, vol. 50(1), pages 9-26, June.
    12. Fubiao Zhu & Delin Zhuang & Shengwu Jin & Lingling Gao & Rui Chen, 2022. "Effects of air pollution on regional innovation and the mediator role of health: Evidence from China," Growth and Change, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 53(2), pages 628-650, June.
    13. Cui, Chuantao & Li, Leona Shao-Zhi, 2023. "Trade policy uncertainty and new firm entry: Evidence from China," Journal of Development Economics, Elsevier, vol. 163(C).
    14. Shujaat Abbas, 2018. "Free Trade Agreements and International Trade Flow of Pakistan: the Gravity Modelling Approach," Journal Global Policy and Governance, Transition Academia Press, vol. 7(2), pages 71-84.
    15. Steven C. Deller & Tessa Conroy & Philip Watson, 2017. "Women business owners: a source of stability during the great recession?," Applied Economics, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 49(56), pages 5686-5697, December.
    16. Robin Kaiji Gong & Yao Amber Li & Kalina Manova & Stephen Teng Sun & Kalina B. Manova, 2023. "Tickets to the Global Market: First US Patent Awards and Chinese Firm Exports," CESifo Working Paper Series 10790, CESifo.
    17. Evangelia Chalioti & Kyriakos Drivas & Sarantis Kalyvitis & Margarita Katsimi, 2020. "Innovation, patents and trade: A firm‐level analysis," Canadian Journal of Economics/Revue canadienne d'économique, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 53(3), pages 949-981, August.
    18. Chen, Cheng & Steinwender, Claudia, 2021. "Import competition, heterogeneous preferences of managers, and productivity," Journal of International Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(C).
    19. Andres, Pia, 2022. "Was the trade war justified? Solar PV innovation in Europe and the impact of the ‘China shock’," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 116943, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    20. Dussaux, Damien & Dechezleprêtre, Antoine & Glachant, Matthieu, 2022. "The impact of intellectual property rights protection on low-carbon trade and foreign direct investments," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 171(C).
    21. Watson, Philip & Cooke, Stephen & Kay, David & Alward, Greg, 2015. "A Method for Improving Economic Contribution Studies for Regional Analysis," Journal of Regional Analysis and Policy, Mid-Continent Regional Science Association, vol. 45(01).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:gam:jadmsc:v:15:y:2025:i:2:p:42-:d:1582616. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: MDPI Indexing Manager (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.mdpi.com .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.