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Saving in Mexico: The National and International Evidence

  • Craig Burnside

    ()

    (Stanford University. Palo Alto, CA. USA.)

  • Klaus Schmidt-Hebbel

    ()

    (Central Bank of Chile. Santiago, Chile.)

  • Luis Servén

    ()

    (The World Bank)

How does Mexico’s saving performance compare to the world’s? Is Mexico ‘different’? And what drives Mexico’s saving behavior since the 1980s? This paper addresses these questions bringing together empirical evidence from Mexico with that from a large cross-country time-series data set on saving aggregates and their determinants. Using dynamic panel data estimation techniques, the paper characterizes the major factors behind world saving performance. In the light of this evidence, Mexico’s saving experience is compared to the international benchmark. Further, the paper turns to quarterly time-series evidence on saving in Mexico, and examines the factors behind the observed evolution of private and national saving using a regression framework, with particular attention to the issues of inflation adjustment and Ricardian equivalence. Key variables in Mexico’s saving performance have been the terms of trade, public saving, the real interest rate, and the inflation rate. Sustained future growth could be reinforced by a virtuous saving-growth cycle, nurtured by the strong response of private (and national) saving rates to income growth observed in the world sample.

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File URL: http://www.economiamexicana.cide.edu/num_anteriores/VIII-2/01_CRAIG_BURNSIDE_181-230.pdf
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Article provided by in its journal Economia Mexicana NUEVA EPOCA.

Volume (Year): VIII (1999)
Issue (Month): 2 (July-December)
Pages: 181-230

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Handle: RePEc:emc:ecomex:v:8:y:1999:i:2:p:181-230
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  1. Loayza, N. & Schmidt, K. & Serven, L., 1999. "What Drives Private Saving Across the World?," Papers 47, Cambridge - Risk, Information & Quantity Signals.
  2. Levine, Ross & Loayza, Norman & Beck, Thorsten, 1999. "Financial intermediation and growth : Causality and causes," Policy Research Working Paper Series 2059, The World Bank.
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