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Understanding the Remarkable Survival of Multiplier Models of Money Stock Determination

Author

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  • Raymond E. Lombra

    (Penn State University)

Abstract

Ignoring various institutional and structural "details" has devastating implications for a large body of received theoretical and empirical work on the multiplier model, and the positive and normative economics which motivates and flows from it. The major elements of the critique include: the multiplier model is not structural, but rather is a reduced-form; reserves in practice have been endogenously determined; and the predictive accuracy of multiplier models is considerably overstated. So why does the model survive? Attractive pedagogical features, the poor performance of models with more structure, the tendency for recent expositors of the multiplier model to concede many of the points raised by the critique, and the difficulties associated with falsifying such models are emphasized.

Suggested Citation

  • Raymond E. Lombra, 1992. "Understanding the Remarkable Survival of Multiplier Models of Money Stock Determination," Eastern Economic Journal, Eastern Economic Association, vol. 18(3), pages 305-314, Summer.
    • Handle: RePEc:eej:eeconj:v:18:y:1992:i:3:p:305-314
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    File URL: http://web.holycross.edu/RePEc/eej/Archive/Volume18/V18N3P305_314.pdf
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    Cited by:

    1. Prakash Kumar Shrestha Ph.D., 2013. "An Empirical Analysis of Money Supply Process in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Research Department, vol. 25(2), pages 17-42, October.
    2. Zoltan Jakab & Michael Kumhof, 2015. "Banks are not intermediaries of loanable funds – and why this matters," Bank of England working papers 529, Bank of England.
    3. Prakash Kumar Shrestha, Ph.D., 2013. "An Empirical Analysis of Money Supply Process in Nepal," NRB Economic Review, Nepal Rastra Bank, Economic Research Department, vol. 25(2), pages 17-42, October.
    4. Pavon-Prado, David, 2022. "The cost of excess reserves and inflation in the United States during the last century," MPRA Paper 112797, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    5. Clavero, Borja, 2017. "A contribution to the Quantity Theory of Disaggregated Credit," MPRA Paper 76657, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Mr. Nils O Maehle, 2020. "Monetary Policy Implementation: Operational Issues for Countries with Evolving Monetary Policy Frameworks," IMF Working Papers 2020/026, International Monetary Fund.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

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    JEL classification:

    • E51 - Macroeconomics and Monetary Economics - - Monetary Policy, Central Banking, and the Supply of Money and Credit - - - Money Supply; Credit; Money Multipliers

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