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A semi-Markov modulated interest rate model

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  • D’Amico, Guglielmo
  • Manca, Raimondo
  • Salvi, Giovanni

Abstract

We propose a semi-Markov modulated interest rate model. We assume that the switching process is a semi-Markov process with finite state space and the modulated process is a diffusive process. Classical models such as those by Vasicek and CIR are generalized.

Suggested Citation

  • D’Amico, Guglielmo & Manca, Raimondo & Salvi, Giovanni, 2013. "A semi-Markov modulated interest rate model," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 83(9), pages 2094-2102.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:stapro:v:83:y:2013:i:9:p:2094-2102
    DOI: 10.1016/j.spl.2013.05.024
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Broze, Laurence & Scaillet, Olivier & Zakoian, Jean-Michel, 1995. "Testing for continuous-time models of the short-term interest rate," Journal of Empirical Finance, Elsevier, vol. 2(3), pages 199-223, September.
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    4. Fredrik Stenberg & Raimondo Manca & Dmitrii Silvestrov, 2007. "An Algorithmic Approach to Discrete Time Non-homogeneous Backward Semi-Markov Reward Processes with an Application to Disability Insurance," Methodology and Computing in Applied Probability, Springer, vol. 9(4), pages 497-519, December.
    5. Hunt, Julien & Devolder, Pierre, 2011. "Semi Markov regime switching interest rate models and minimal entropy measure," LIDAM Discussion Papers ISBA 2011010, Université catholique de Louvain, Institute of Statistics, Biostatistics and Actuarial Sciences (ISBA).
    6. Vasicek, Oldrich, 1977. "An equilibrium characterization of the term structure," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 5(2), pages 177-188, November.
    7. Vasicek, Oldrich Alfonso, 1977. "Abstract: An Equilibrium Characterization of the Term Structure," Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Cambridge University Press, vol. 12(4), pages 627-627, November.
    8. Hull, John & White, Alan, 1990. "Pricing Interest-Rate-Derivative Securities," The Review of Financial Studies, Society for Financial Studies, vol. 3(4), pages 573-592.
    9. Hunt, Julien & Devolder, Pierre, 2011. "Semi-Markov regime switching interest rate models and minimal entropy measure," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 390(21), pages 3767-3781.
    10. Mamon, Rogemar S., 2002. "A time-varying Markov chain model of term structure," Statistics & Probability Letters, Elsevier, vol. 60(3), pages 309-312, December.
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    1. Preda, Vasile & Dedu, Silvia & Sheraz, Muhammad, 2014. "New measure selection for Hunt–Devolder semi-Markov regime switching interest rate models," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 407(C), pages 350-359.

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