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Assessing the suitability of wind speed probabilty distribution functions based on wind power density

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  • Celik, A.N.

Abstract

Three functions have so far predominantly been used for fitting the measured wind speed probability distribution in a given location over a certain period of time, typically monthly or yearly. In the literature, it is common to fit these functions to compare which one fits the measured distribution best in a particular location. During this comparison process, parameters on which the suitability of the fit is judged are required. The parameters that are mostly used are the mean wind speed or the total wind energy output (primary parameters). It is, however, shown in the present study that one cannot judge the suitability of the functions based on the primary parameters alone. Additional parameters (secondary parameters) that complete the primary parameters are required to have a complete assessment of the fit, such as the discrepancy between the measured and fitted distributions, both for the wind speed and wind energy (that is the standard deviation of wind speed and wind energy distributions). Therefore, the secondary statistical parameters have to be known as well as the primary ones to make a judgement about the suitability of the distribution functions analysed. The primary and secondary parameters are calculated from the 12-month of measured hourly wind speed data and detailed analyses of wind speed distributions are undertaken in the present article.

Suggested Citation

  • Celik, A.N., 2003. "Assessing the suitability of wind speed probabilty distribution functions based on wind power density," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 28(10), pages 1563-1574.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:renene:v:28:y:2003:i:10:p:1563-1574
    DOI: 10.1016/S0960-1481(03)00018-1
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Feretić, Danilo & Tomšić, Željko & Čavlina, Nikola, 1999. "Feasibility analysis of wind-energy utilization in Croatia," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 24(3), pages 239-246.
    2. Lun, Isaac Y.F & Lam, Joseph C, 2000. "A study of Weibull parameters using long-term wind observations," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 20(2), pages 145-153.
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    2. Li, Meishen & Li, Xianguo, 2005. "MEP-type distribution function: a better alternative to Weibull function for wind speed distributions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 30(8), pages 1221-1240.
    3. Carta, J.A. & Ramírez, P., 2007. "Analysis of two-component mixture Weibull statistics for estimation of wind speed distributions," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 32(3), pages 518-531.
    4. Morales, J.M. & Mínguez, R. & Conejo, A.J., 2010. "A methodology to generate statistically dependent wind speed scenarios," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 87(3), pages 843-855, March.
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    8. Carta, J.A. & Ramírez, P. & Velázquez, S., 2009. "A review of wind speed probability distributions used in wind energy analysis: Case studies in the Canary Islands," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 13(5), pages 933-955, June.
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