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State government response to income fluctuations: Consumption, insurance, and capital expenditures

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  • Craig, Steven G.
  • Hoang, Edward C.

Abstract

This paper analyzes state government response to changes in the underlying economy with a view to determining whether, and to what extent, state governments respond to economic fluctuations. Specifically, we build impulse response functions from a panel of US states to examine how states cope with changes in economic conditions. We examine current expenditures, as well as Unemployment Insurance, welfare, and capital spending. Further, we examine how both short and long term debt and state government taxes vary with GSP. Our examination of average state government behavior indicates that states respond slowly to changes in the economy, and that they do not utilize some of the institutional features that are purportedly designed to cushion budgetary impacts. Finally, we find that welfare and UI spending follow separate distinct time paths, but not ones seemingly constrained by institutional barriers.

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  • Craig, Steven G. & Hoang, Edward C., 2011. "State government response to income fluctuations: Consumption, insurance, and capital expenditures," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 41(4), pages 343-351, July.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:regeco:v:41:y:2011:i:4:p:343-351
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    Cited by:

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    2. Craig, Steven G. & Hemissi, Wided & Mukherjee, Satadru & Sørensen, Bent E., 2016. "How do politicians save? Buffer-stock management of unemployment insurance finance," Journal of Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C), pages 18-29.
    3. Miriam Marcén & Marina Morales, 2021. "The intensity of COVID‐19 nonpharmaceutical interventions and labor market outcomes in the public sector," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 61(4), pages 775-798, September.
    4. Matthias Uhl, 2014. "State Fiscal Policies and Regional Economic Activity," MAGKS Papers on Economics 201446, Philipps-Universität Marburg, Faculty of Business Administration and Economics, Department of Economics (Volkswirtschaftliche Abteilung).
    5. Albert Solé-Ollé & Elisabet Viladecans-Marsal, 2011. "Local spending and the housing boom," Working Papers 2011/27, Institut d'Economia de Barcelona (IEB).
    6. Robert D. Buschman & David L. Sjoquist, 2017. "An Exploration of Differential State Responses to Changes in Fiscal Conditions," Public Budgeting & Finance, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 37(1), pages 47-67, March.
    7. Luca Romagnoli & Paola Di Renzo & Luigi Mastronardi, 2022. "Modelling Income Drivers in Peripheral Municipalities: The Case of Italian Inner Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(22), pages 1-16, November.

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