IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v230y2023ics0951832022005634.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Joint modeling of loading and mission abort policies for systems operating in dynamic environments

Author

Listed:
  • Zhao, Xian
  • Li, Rong
  • Cao, Shuai
  • Qiu, Qingan

Abstract

Failures of safety-critical systems may cause huge economic losses and irretrievable disasters. The dynamic operating environment of such systems makes it more difficult to evaluate and control the risk of system failure. To enhance system safety, the existing literature mainly focuses on maintenance modeling and optimization, which can interrupt continuous mission execution. As an alternative, a mission can be aborted for quick response to high failure risk during mission execution prior to maintenance. In addition to mission abort, adjusting load is another effective way to control risk due to the dependence between load and failure risk. Improving load accelerates mission progress but increases system failure risk. Thus, an optimal load can be found to balance the risk of failure and the progress of the mission. This paper investigates the joint modeling of loading and mission abort policies for systems operating in dynamic environments. Information about dynamic environments, system degradation, and mission progress is integrated to guide loading and mission abort policies. The long-term average revenue rate of the system is derived and maximized by determining the optimal loads, system degradation and mission progress thresholds. Furthermore, two heuristic policies are proposed and numerical examples are given to illustrate the obtained results.

Suggested Citation

  • Zhao, Xian & Li, Rong & Cao, Shuai & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint modeling of loading and mission abort policies for systems operating in dynamic environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:230:y:2023:i:c:s0951832022005634
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2022.108948
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832022005634
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2022.108948?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Optimal loading of repairable system with perfect product storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 220(C).
    2. Amin, Md. Tanjin & Khan, Faisal & Imtiaz, Syed, 2018. "Dynamic availability assessment of safety critical systems using a dynamic Bayesian network," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 108-117.
    3. Cha, Ji Hwan & Finkelstein, Maxim & Levitin, Gregory, 2018. "Optimal mission abort policy for partially repairable heterogeneous systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 271(3), pages 818-825.
    4. Chiu, Min-Chie & Karkoub, Mansour & Her, Ming-Guo, 2017. "Energy harvesting devices for subsea sensors," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 1334-1347.
    5. Peng, Rui & Zhai, Qingqing & Xing, Liudong & Yang, Jun, 2014. "Reliability of demand-based phased-mission systems subject to fault level coverage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 18-25.
    6. Liu, Yu & Chen, Yiming & Jiang, Tao, 2018. "On sequence planning for selective maintenance of multi-state systems under stochastic maintenance durations," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 268(1), pages 113-127.
    7. Wang, Xiaoyue & Zhao, Xian & Wu, Congshan & Wang, Siqi, 2022. "Mixed shock model for multi-state weighted k-out-of-n: F systems with degraded resistance against shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    8. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim, 2018. "Optimal mission abort policy for systems in a random environment with variable shock rate," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 11-17.
    9. Zhao, Xian & Guo, Xiaoxin & Wang, Xiaoyue, 2018. "Reliability and maintenance policies for a two-stage shock model with self-healing mechanism," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 172(C), pages 185-194.
    10. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "State-based mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    11. Gregory Levitin & Maxim Finkelstein, 2018. "Optimal Mission Abort Policy for Systems Operating in a Random Environment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 795-803, April.
    12. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Huang, Hong-Zong, 2020. "Optimal mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    13. Zhao, Xian & Wang, Siqi & Wang, Xiaoyue & Cai, Kui, 2018. "A multi-state shock model with mutative failure patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1-11.
    14. Jia, Heping & Peng, Rui & Yang, Li & Wu, Tianyi & Liu, Dunnan & Li, Yanbin, 2022. "Reliability evaluation of demand-based warm standby systems with capacity storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    15. Dui, Hongyan & Tian, Tianzi & Zhao, Jiangbin & Wu, Shaomin, 2022. "Comparing with the joint importance under consideration of consecutive-k-out-of-n system structure changes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 219(C).
    16. Xian Zhao & Ge Sun & Weijuan Xie & Cong Lin, 2015. "On generalized multi‐state start‐up demonstration tests," Applied Stochastic Models in Business and Industry, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 31(3), pages 325-338, May.
    17. Yan, Rui & Zhu, Xiaoping & Zhu, Xiaoning & Peng, Rui, 2022. "Optimal routes and aborting strategies of trucks and drones under random attacks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    18. Qiu, Qingan & Cui, Lirong, 2019. "Optimal mission abort policy for systems subject to random shocks based on virtual age process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 189(C), pages 11-20.
    19. Liu, Yu & Zhang, Qin & Ouyang, Zhiyuan & Huang, Hong-Zhong, 2021. "Integrated production planning and preventive maintenance scheduling for synchronized parallel machines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    20. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Partial mission aborting in work sharing systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    21. Zhao, Xian & Fan, Yu & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Multi-criteria mission abort policy for systems subject to two-stage degradation process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(1), pages 233-245.
    22. Rui Peng & Qingqinq Zhai & Liudong Xing & Jun Yang, 2016. "Reliability analysis and optimal structure of series-parallel phased-mission systems subject to fault-level coverage," IISE Transactions, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 48(8), pages 736-746, August.
    23. Zhao, Xian & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Optimal inspection and mission abort policies for systems subject to degradation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(2), pages 610-621.
    24. Zhao, Xian & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2022. "Joint optimization of mission aborts and allocation of standby components considering mission loss," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    25. Gregory Levitin & Liudong Xing & Yuanshun Dai, 2020. "Mission Abort Policy for Systems with Observable States of Standby Components," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(10), pages 1900-1912, October.
    26. Yihai He & Changchao Gu & Zhaoxiang Chen & Xiao Han, 2017. "Integrated predictive maintenance strategy for manufacturing systems by combining quality control and mission reliability analysis," International Journal of Production Research, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 55(19), pages 5841-5862, October.
    27. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2020. "Optimal aborting rule in multi-attempt missions performed by multicomponent systems," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 283(1), pages 244-252.
    28. Qiu, Qingan & Cui, Lirong, 2019. "Gamma process based optimal mission abort policy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 190(C), pages 1-1.
    29. Wu, Congshan & Zhao, Xian & Qiu, Qingan & Sun, Jinglei, 2021. "Optimal mission abort policy for k-out-of-n: F balanced systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    30. Hu, Jiawen & Shen, Jingyuan & Shen, Lijuan, 2020. "Opportunistic maintenance for two-component series systems subject to dependent degradation and shock," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    31. Michiel A. J. uit het Broek & Ruud H. Teunter & Bram de Jonge & Jasper Veldman & Nicky D. Van Foreest, 2020. "Condition-Based Production Planning: Adjusting Production Rates to Balance Output and Failure Risk," Manufacturing & Service Operations Management, INFORMS, vol. 22(4), pages 792-811, July.
    32. Uit Het Broek, Michiel A.J. & Teunter, Ruud H. & de Jonge, Bram & Veldman, Jasper, 2021. "Joint condition-based maintenance and load-sharing optimization for two-unit systems with economic dependency," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(3), pages 1119-1131.
    33. Ling, M.H. & Ng, H.K.T. & Tsui, K.L., 2019. "Bayesian and likelihood inferences on remaining useful life in two-phase degradation models under gamma process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 184(C), pages 77-85.
    34. uit het Broek, Michiel A.J. & Teunter, Ruud H. & de Jonge, Bram & Veldman, Jasper, 2021. "Joint condition-based maintenance and condition-based production optimization," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    35. Zhang, Huilong & Innal, Fares & Dufour, François & Dutuit, Yves, 2014. "Piecewise Deterministic Markov Processes based approach applied to an offshore oil production system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 126-134.
    36. Dieulle, L. & Berenguer, C. & Grall, A. & Roussignol, M., 2003. "Sequential condition-based maintenance scheduling for a deteriorating system," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 150(2), pages 451-461, October.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Meng, Sa & Xing, Liudong & Levitin, Gregory, 2024. "Activation delay and aborting policy minimizing expected losses in consecutive attempts having cumulative effect on mission success," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 247(C).
    2. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Multi-attempt missions with multiple rescue options," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    3. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal task sequencing and aborting in multi-attempt multi-task missions with a limited number of attempts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    4. Yaguang Wu, 2023. "Optimal Stopping and Loading Rules Considering Multiple Attempts and Task Success Criteria," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(4), pages 1-17, February.
    5. Liu, Lujie & Yang, Jun & Yan, Bingxin, 2024. "A dynamic mission abort policy for transportation systems with stochastic dependence by deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    6. Yan, Rui & Zhu, Xiaoping & Zhu, Xiaoning & Peng, Rui, 2023. "Joint optimisation of task abortions and routes of truck-and-drone systems under random attacks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    7. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "A new self-adaptive mission aborting policy for systems operating in uncertain random shock environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 248(C).
    8. Zhao, Xian & Wang, Xinlei & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan, 2024. "Joint optimization of loading, mission abort and rescue site selection policies for UAV," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    9. Meng, Sa & Xing, Liudong & Levitin, Gregory, 2024. "Optimizing component activation and operation aborting in missions with consecutive attempts and common abort command," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 243(C).
    10. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Optimal task aborting and sequencing in time constrained multi-task multi-attempt missions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Using kamikaze components in multi-attempt missions with abort option," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    2. Zhao, Xian & Fan, Yu & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Multi-criteria mission abort policy for systems subject to two-stage degradation process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(1), pages 233-245.
    3. Ke Chen & Xian Zhao & Qingan Qiu, 2022. "Optimal Task Abort and Maintenance Policies Considering Time Redundancy," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(9), pages 1-16, April.
    4. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal task sequencing and aborting in multi-attempt multi-task missions with a limited number of attempts," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    5. Qiu, Qingan & Kou, Meng & Chen, Ke & Deng, Qiao & Kang, Fengming & Lin, Cong, 2021. "Optimal stopping problems for mission oriented systems considering time redundancy," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    6. Zhao, Xian & Lv, Zuheng & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2023. "Designing two-level rescue depot location and dynamic rescue policies for unmanned vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    7. Zhao, Xian & Chai, Xiaofei & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan, 2021. "Joint optimization of mission abort and component switching policies for multistate warm standby systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    8. Zhao, Xian & Wang, Xinlei & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan, 2024. "Joint optimization of loading, mission abort and rescue site selection policies for UAV," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 244(C).
    9. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Optimal aborting policy for shock exposed missions with random rescue time," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    10. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2021. "Dynamic task distribution balancing primary mission work and damage reduction work in parallel systems exposed to shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    11. Zhao, Xian & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Optimal inspection and mission abort policies for systems subject to degradation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(2), pages 610-621.
    12. Liu, Lujie & Yang, Jun, 2023. "A dynamic mission abort policy for the swarm executing missions and its solution method by tailored deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    13. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Optimal mission aborting in multistate systems with storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    14. Yaguang Wu & Qingan Qiu, 2022. "Optimal Triggering Policy of Protective Devices Considering Self-Exciting Mechanism of Shocks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-18, August.
    15. Cheng, Guoqing & Li, Ling & Shangguan, Chunxia & Yang, Nan & Jiang, Bo & Tao, Ningrong, 2023. "Optimal joint inspection and mission abort policy for a partially observable system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    16. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2024. "Optimal task aborting and sequencing in time constrained multi-task multi-attempt missions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    17. Zhao, Xian & Dai, Ying & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2022. "Joint optimization of mission aborts and allocation of standby components considering mission loss," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 225(C).
    18. Liu, Bing & Huang, Hao & Deng, Qiao, 2022. "On optimal condition based task termination policy for phased task systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    19. Liu, Lujie & Yang, Jun & Yan, Bingxin, 2024. "A dynamic mission abort policy for transportation systems with stochastic dependence by deep reinforcement learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 241(C).
    20. Zhao, Xian & Liu, Haoran & Wu, Yaguang & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint optimization of mission abort and system structure considering dynamic tasks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:230:y:2023:i:c:s0951832022005634. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.