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Optimal mission abort policies for multistate systems

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  • Levitin, Gregory
  • Finkelstein, Maxim
  • Huang, Hong-Zong

Abstract

All previous research on optimal mission abort policies was devoted to binary systems that can be only in two states, i.e., operable or failed. This paper considers mission abort and rescue strategies for multistate systems that, apart from a completely operable state and the state of a total failure, can operate in intermediate states with different levels of performance. A system operates in a random environment modeled by a renewal process of shocks. With each shock, the state of a system can deteriorate with certain probabilities that can eventually result in the total failure. Therefore, in order to increase system's survival probability, a mission can be aborted and a rescue procedure can be activated. The trade-off between the mission success probability and the system's survival probability is studied and an optimal number of shocks for initiating the abort procedure is defined by solving the corresponding optimization problem. The detailed numerical example illustrates our findings.

Suggested Citation

  • Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Huang, Hong-Zong, 2020. "Optimal mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:193:y:2020:i:c:s0951832019306350
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2019.106671
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    8. Gregory Levitin & Maxim Finkelstein, 2018. "Optimal Mission Abort Policy for Systems Operating in a Random Environment," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 38(4), pages 795-803, April.
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    Cited by:

    1. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "State-based mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    2. Liu, Bing & Huang, Hao & Deng, Qiao, 2022. "On optimal condition based task termination policy for phased task systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    3. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Dai, Yuanshun, 2020. "Mission abort and rescue for multistate systems operating under the Poisson process of shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    4. Zhao, Xian & Chai, Xiaofei & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan, 2021. "Joint optimization of mission abort and component switching policies for multistate warm standby systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    5. Zhao, Xian & Fan, Yu & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Multi-criteria mission abort policy for systems subject to two-stage degradation process," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 295(1), pages 233-245.
    6. Zhao, Xian & Chai, Xiaofei & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan, 2021. "Optimal bivariate mission abort policy for systems operate in random shock environment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    7. Wu, Congshan & Zhao, Xian & Qiu, Qingan & Sun, Jinglei, 2021. "Optimal mission abort policy for k-out-of-n: F balanced systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    8. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2023. "Co-optimizing component allocation and activation sequence in heterogeneous 1-out-of-n standby system exposed to shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    9. Zhao, Xian & Li, Rong & Cao, Shuai & Qiu, Qingan, 2023. "Joint modeling of loading and mission abort policies for systems operating in dynamic environments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    10. Zhao, Xian & Lv, Zuheng & Qiu, Qingan & Wu, Yaguang, 2023. "Designing two-level rescue depot location and dynamic rescue policies for unmanned vehicles," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 233(C).
    11. Wang, Xiaoyue & Zhao, Xian & Wu, Congshan & Wang, Siqi, 2022. "Mixed shock model for multi-state weighted k-out-of-n: F systems with degraded resistance against shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    12. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2022. "Optimal mission aborting in multistate systems with storage," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    13. Cheng, Guoqing & Li, Ling & Shangguan, Chunxia & Yang, Nan & Jiang, Bo & Tao, Ningrong, 2023. "Optimal joint inspection and mission abort policy for a partially observable system," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    14. Yaguang Wu & Qingan Qiu, 2022. "Optimal Triggering Policy of Protective Devices Considering Self-Exciting Mechanism of Shocks," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(15), pages 1-18, August.
    15. Levitin, Gregory & Xing, Liudong & Dai, Yuanshun, 2021. "Dynamic task distribution balancing primary mission work and damage reduction work in parallel systems exposed to shocks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    16. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Optimal mission abort policies for repairable multistate systems performing multi-attempt mission," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    17. Zhao, Xian & Sun, Jinglei & Qiu, Qingan & Chen, Ke, 2021. "Optimal inspection and mission abort policies for systems subject to degradation," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 292(2), pages 610-621.
    18. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2020. "Optimal abort rules and subtask distribution in missions performed by multiple independent heterogeneous units," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    19. Gregory Levitin & Liudong Xing & Yuanshun Dai, 2020. "Mission Abort Policy for Systems with Observable States of Standby Components," Risk Analysis, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 40(10), pages 1900-1912, October.
    20. Levitin, Gregory & Finkelstein, Maxim & Xiang, Yanping, 2021. "Optimal inspections and mission abort policies for multistate systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    21. Qiu, Qingan & Cui, Lirong & Wu, Bei, 2020. "Dynamic mission abort policy for systems operating in a controllable environment with self-healing mechanism," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).

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