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Optimal two-stage abort policy considering performance-based missions

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  • Chen, Jianhui
  • Gao, Hongda
  • Fang, Chen

Abstract

Safety-critical systems are tasked with executing various missions in challenging environments. This paper proposes two-stage mission abort strategies tailored for performance-based missions, which are increasingly implemented across various sectors to assess success through clearly defined key performance indicators. These strategies incorporate both penalties for unmet mission requirements and rewards for exceeding established standards. When system survivability is endangered, the critical decision to abort missions and initiate rescue procedures must be made swiftly. We introduce a dynamic two-stage performance-based mission abort policy that integrates real-time condition monitoring and mission progress to balance the mission progress with risk mitigation. It encompasses a pre-minimum requirement stage for initial degradation assessments and a post-minimum requirement stage for continuous performance evaluation. Two-stage mission abort decisions are developed to balance the cost of failure to meet the minimum mission requirement and system failure and reward of exceeding the minimum requirement. Our analysis provides insight into mission completion probability, system survivability, and expected total costs under various policies. To validate the effectiveness of our proposed policy, we include detailed case studies of unmanned aerial vehicle, illustrating the policy’s adaptability across various operational contexts and its potential to significantly enhance safety and reliability.

Suggested Citation

  • Chen, Jianhui & Gao, Hongda & Fang, Chen, 2025. "Optimal two-stage abort policy considering performance-based missions," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 257(PA).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:257:y:2025:i:pa:s0951832025000067
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110803
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    1. A., Faizanbasha & Rizwan, U., 2025. "Deep learning-stochastic ensemble for RUL prediction and predictive maintenance with dynamic mission abort policies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 259(C).

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