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Identification of interdependencies and prediction of fault propagation for cyber–physical systems

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  • Marashi, Koosha
  • Sarvestani, Sahra Sedigh
  • Hurson, Ali R.

Abstract

Interdependence is an intrinsic feature of cyber–physical systems. Cyber and physical components are tightly integrated with each other, and hence, a trivial impairment in a part of the system may affect several components, leading to a sequence of failures that collapses the entire system. In this paper, we seek to identify the interdependencies among the components of a cyber–physical system using correlation metrics as well as a heuristic causation analysis method. We also demonstrate applicability of neural networks for prediction of imminent failures given the current system state. The proposed prediction tool can help system operators to perform timely preventive actions and mitigate the consequences of accidental failures and malicious attacks. As a case study, we have analyzed two smart grid test cases based on IEEE power bus systems, namely, IEEE-14 and IEEE-57.

Suggested Citation

  • Marashi, Koosha & Sarvestani, Sahra Sedigh & Hurson, Ali R., 2021. "Identification of interdependencies and prediction of fault propagation for cyber–physical systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:215:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021003112
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107787
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Trivik Verma & Wendy Ellens & Robert E. Kooij, 2015. "Context-independent centrality measures underestimate the vulnerability of power grids," International Journal of Critical Infrastructures, Inderscience Enterprises Ltd, vol. 11(1), pages 62-81.
    2. Zhou, Jian & Huang, Ning & Coit, David W. & Felder, Frank A., 2018. "Combined effects of load dynamics and dependence clusters on cascading failures in network systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 116-126.
    3. Beccuti, Marco & Chiaradonna, Silvano & Di Giandomenico, Felicita & Donatelli, Susanna & Dondossola, Giovanna & Franceschinis, Giuliana, 2012. "Quantification of dependencies between electrical and information infrastructures," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 5(1), pages 14-27.
    4. Woodard, Mark & Marashi, Koosha & Sedigh Sarvestani, Sahra & Hurson, Ali R., 2021. "Survivability evaluation and importance analysis for cyber–physical smart grids," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
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    Cited by:

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    5. Li, Ruimeng & Yang, Naiding & Yi, Hao & Jin, Na, 2023. "The robustness of complex product development projects under design change risk propagation with gray attack information," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).

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