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Bayes analysis of some important lifetime models using MCMC based approaches when the observations are left truncated and right censored

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  • Ranjan, Rakesh
  • Sen, Rijji
  • Upadhyay, Satyanshu K.

Abstract

The paper considers the Bayes analysis of important lifetime models such as the Weibull, the gamma, and the lognormal distributions when the available data are left truncated and right-censored. Weakly informative prior distributions are employed for the purpose. Two well-known Markov chain Monte Carlo based approaches, namely, the Metropolis algorithm and the Hamiltonian Monte Carlo technique are used to draw samples from analytically intractable posterior distributions. Besides, the paper does a comparative study of the three entertained models using Bayes factor. The paper has considered calculating the marginal likelihood using bridge sampler algorithm for evaluating the necessary Bayes factor. Finally, a numerical illustration based on a real dataset compares the two algorithms and draws relevant conclusions appropriately.

Suggested Citation

  • Ranjan, Rakesh & Sen, Rijji & Upadhyay, Satyanshu K., 2021. "Bayes analysis of some important lifetime models using MCMC based approaches when the observations are left truncated and right censored," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 214(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:214:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002751
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107747
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Balakrishnan, N. & Mitra, Debanjan, 2012. "Left truncated and right censored Weibull data and likelihood inference with an illustration," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 56(12), pages 4011-4025.
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    3. Balakrishnan, N. & Ling, M.H., 2014. "Gamma lifetimes and one-shot device testing analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 54-64.
    4. Mark Girolami & Ben Calderhead, 2011. "Riemann manifold Langevin and Hamiltonian Monte Carlo methods," Journal of the Royal Statistical Society Series B, Royal Statistical Society, vol. 73(2), pages 123-214, March.
    5. Roberts, G. O. & Smith, A. F. M., 1994. "Simple conditions for the convergence of the Gibbs sampler and Metropolis-Hastings algorithms," Stochastic Processes and their Applications, Elsevier, vol. 49(2), pages 207-216, February.
    6. Peng, Yizhen & Wang, Yu & Zi, YanYang & Tsui, Kwok-Leung & Zhang, Chuhua, 2017. "Dynamic reliability assessment and prediction for repairable systems with interval-censored data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 159(C), pages 301-309.
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    Cited by:

    1. Nanami Taketomi & Kazuki Yamamoto & Christophe Chesneau & Takeshi Emura, 2022. "Parametric Distributions for Survival and Reliability Analyses, a Review and Historical Sketch," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(20), pages 1-23, October.
    2. Jiang, Renyan & Qi, Faqun & Cao, Yu, 2023. "Relation between aging intensity function and WPP plot and its application in reliability modelling," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    3. Hirofumi Michimae & Takeshi Emura, 2022. "Likelihood Inference for Copula Models Based on Left-Truncated and Competing Risks Data from Field Studies," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(13), pages 1-15, June.
    4. Ke Wu & Liang Wang & Li Yan & Yuhlong Lio, 2021. "Statistical Inference of Left Truncated and Right Censored Data from Marshall–Olkin Bivariate Rayleigh Distribution," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 9(21), pages 1-24, October.
    5. Zhiyuan Zuo & Liang Wang & Yuhlong Lio, 2022. "Reliability Estimation for Dependent Left-Truncated and Right-Censored Competing Risks Data with Illustrations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(1), pages 1-25, December.
    6. Shuto, Susumu & Amemiya, Takashi, 2022. "Sequential Bayesian inference for Weibull distribution parameters with initial hyperparameter optimization for system reliability estimation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).
    7. Zhang, Chunfang & Wang, Liang & Bai, Xuchao & Huang, Jianan, 2022. "Bayesian reliability analysis for copula based step-stress partially accelerated dependent competing risks model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).

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