IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v213y2021ics0951832021002210.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Prognosis of Dynamical System Components with Varying Degradation Patterns using model–data–fusion

Author

Listed:
  • Prakash, Om
  • Samantaray, Arun Kumar

Abstract

Failure prognosis is used to predict the future degradation and remaining useful life (RUL) of components. However, identification of future degradation and RUL of components is challenging when similar components in the same or different working conditions show varying degradation patterns. This is again more challenging when the component shows highly nonlinear degradation behavior, which may lead to erroneous RUL prediction and wrong prognosis. In this paper, a hybrid approach with the fusion of model–based and data–driven approaches is developed for the prognosis of dynamical system components whose degradations may follow different nonlinear trends. Here, degradation levels of different components are identified by using bond graph model–based distributed prognosis approach. However, artificial neural network based degradation models learned from the run–to–failure data of the components are used to predict the future degradation patterns and RUL of the components. The developed hybrid approach is applied to an electronic circuit test bed.

Suggested Citation

  • Prakash, Om & Samantaray, Arun Kumar, 2021. "Prognosis of Dynamical System Components with Varying Degradation Patterns using model–data–fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:213:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002210
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107683
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021002210
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107683?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. An, Dawn & Kim, Nam H. & Choi, Joo-Ho, 2015. "Practical options for selecting data-driven or physics-based prognostics algorithms with reviews," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 133(C), pages 223-236.
    2. Chang, Yang & Fang, Huajing, 2019. "A hybrid prognostic method for system degradation based on particle filter and relevance vector machine," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 186(C), pages 51-63.
    3. Zio, Enrico & Peloni, Giovanni, 2011. "Particle filtering prognostic estimation of the remaining useful life of nonlinear components," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 96(3), pages 403-409.
    4. Listou Ellefsen, André & Bjørlykhaug, Emil & Æsøy, Vilmar & Ushakov, Sergey & Zhang, Houxiang, 2019. "Remaining useful life predictions for turbofan engine degradation using semi-supervised deep architecture," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 240-251.
    5. Li, Sai & Fang, Huajing & Shi, Bing, 2021. "Remaining useful life estimation of Lithium-ion battery based on interacting multiple model particle filter and support vector regression," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 210(C).
    6. Khorasgani, Hamed & Biswas, Gautam & Sankararaman, Shankar, 2016. "Methodologies for system-level remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 8-18.
    7. Zhang, Sen-Ju & Kang, Rui & Lin, Yan-Hui, 2021. "Remaining useful life prediction for degradation with recovery phenomenon based on uncertain process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    8. Moradi, Ramin & Groth, Katrina M., 2020. "Modernizing risk assessment: A systematic integration of PRA and PHM techniques," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    9. Chen, Jinglong & Jing, Hongjie & Chang, Yuanhong & Liu, Qian, 2019. "Gated recurrent unit based recurrent neural network for remaining useful life prediction of nonlinear deterioration process," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 372-382.
    10. Yan, Bingxin & Ma, Xiaobing & Yang, Li & Wang, Han & Wu, Tianyi, 2020. "A novel degradation-rate-volatility related effect Wiener process model with its extension to accelerated ageing data analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    11. Shi, Zunya & Chehade, Abdallah, 2021. "A dual-LSTM framework combining change point detection and remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    12. Liu, Di & Wang, Shaoping, 2020. "A degradation modeling and reliability estimation method based on Wiener process and evidential variable," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    13. Wen, Pengfei & Zhao, Shuai & Chen, Shaowei & Li, Yong, 2021. "A generalized remaining useful life prediction method for complex systems based on composite health indicator," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 205(C).
    14. Pang, Zhenan & Si, Xiaosheng & Hu, Changhua & Du, Dangbo & Pei, Hong, 2021. "A Bayesian Inference for Remaining Useful Life Estimation by Fusing Accelerated Degradation Data and Condition Monitoring Data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Xu, Yanwen & Kohtz, Sara & Boakye, Jessica & Gardoni, Paolo & Wang, Pingfeng, 2023. "Physics-informed machine learning for reliability and systems safety applications: State of the art and challenges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    2. Vrignat, Pascal & Kratz, Frédéric & Avila, Manuel, 2022. "Sustainable manufacturing, maintenance policies, prognostics and health management: A literature review," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    3. Balyogi Mohan Dash & Om Prakash & Arun Kumar Samantaray, 2023. "Failure prognosis of the components with unlike degradation trends: A data-driven approach," Journal of Risk and Reliability, , vol. 237(6), pages 1132-1149, December.
    4. Wang, Yuan & Lei, Yaguo & Li, Naipeng & Yan, Tao & Si, Xiaosheng, 2023. "Deep multisource parallel bilinear-fusion network for remaining useful life prediction of machinery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    5. Zhou, Liang & Wang, Huawei & Xu, Shanshan, 2023. "Aero-engine prognosis strategy based on multi-scale feature fusion and multi-task parallel learning," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    6. Sánchez, Luciano & Costa, Nahuel & Couso, Inés, 2023. "Simplified models of remaining useful life based on stochastic orderings," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Tang, Ting & Yuan, Huimei, 2022. "A hybrid approach based on decomposition algorithm and neural network for remaining useful life prediction of lithium-ion battery," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    2. Xiang, Sheng & Qin, Yi & Liu, Fuqiang & Gryllias, Konstantinos, 2022. "Automatic multi-differential deep learning and its application to machine remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    3. He, Jiabei & Tian, Yi & Wu, Lifeng, 2022. "A hybrid data-driven method for rapid prediction of lithium-ion battery capacity," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 226(C).
    4. Xu, Yanwen & Kohtz, Sara & Boakye, Jessica & Gardoni, Paolo & Wang, Pingfeng, 2023. "Physics-informed machine learning for reliability and systems safety applications: State of the art and challenges," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    5. Zio, Enrico, 2022. "Prognostics and Health Management (PHM): Where are we and where do we (need to) go in theory and practice," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PA).
    6. Xiao, Lei & Tang, Junxuan & Zhang, Xinghui & Bechhoefer, Eric & Ding, Siyi, 2021. "Remaining useful life prediction based on intentional noise injection and feature reconstruction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 215(C).
    7. Xiangang Cao & Pengfei Li & Song Ming, 2021. "Remaining Useful Life Prediction-Based Maintenance Decision Model for Stochastic Deterioration Equipment under Data-Driven," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(15), pages 1-19, July.
    8. Zhu, Yongmeng & Wu, Jiechang & Wu, Jun & Liu, Shuyong, 2022. "Dimensionality reduce-based for remaining useful life prediction of machining tools with multisensor fusion," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    9. Xu, Zhaoyi & Saleh, Joseph Homer, 2021. "Machine learning for reliability engineering and safety applications: Review of current status and future opportunities," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 211(C).
    10. Yan, Jianhai & He, Zhen & He, Shuguang, 2023. "Multitask learning of health state assessment and remaining useful life prediction for sensor-equipped machines," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    11. Li, Zhanhang & Zhou, Jian & Nassif, Hani & Coit, David & Bae, Jinwoo, 2023. "Fusing physics-inferred information from stochastic model with machine learning approaches for degradation prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    12. Xiong, Jiawei & Zhou, Jian & Ma, Yizhong & Zhang, Fengxia & Lin, Chenglong, 2023. "Adaptive deep learning-based remaining useful life prediction framework for systems with multiple failure patterns," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 235(C).
    13. Moradi, Ramin & Cofre-Martel, Sergio & Lopez Droguett, Enrique & Modarres, Mohammad & Groth, Katrina M., 2022. "Integration of deep learning and Bayesian networks for condition and operation risk monitoring of complex engineering systems," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 222(C).
    14. Wei, Yupeng & Wu, Dazhong & Terpenny, Janis, 2021. "Learning the health index of complex systems using dynamic conditional variational autoencoders," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    15. Zhang, Jiusi & Jiang, Yuchen & Wu, Shimeng & Li, Xiang & Luo, Hao & Yin, Shen, 2022. "Prediction of remaining useful life based on bidirectional gated recurrent unit with temporal self-attention mechanism," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    16. Xiang, Sheng & Qin, Yi & Luo, Jun & Pu, Huayan & Tang, Baoping, 2021. "Multicellular LSTM-based deep learning model for aero-engine remaining useful life prediction," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 216(C).
    17. He, Yuxuan & Su, Huai & Zio, Enrico & Peng, Shiliang & Fan, Lin & Yang, Zhaoming & Yang, Zhe & Zhang, Jinjun, 2023. "A systematic method of remaining useful life estimation based on physics-informed graph neural networks with multisensor data," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 237(C).
    18. Lin, Mingqiang & You, Yuqiang & Wang, Wei & Wu, Ji, 2023. "Battery health prognosis with gated recurrent unit neural networks and hidden Markov model considering uncertainty quantification," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    19. Duan, Chaoqun & Li, Yifan & Pu, Huayan & Luo, Jun, 2022. "Adaptive monitoring scheme of stochastically failing systems under hidden degradation processes," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    20. Ardeshiri, Reza Rouhi & Liu, Ming & Ma, Chengbin, 2022. "Multivariate stacked bidirectional long short term memory for lithium-ion battery health management," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 224(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:213:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021002210. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.