IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/reensy/v208y2021ics0951832021000120.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Ranking effective risks on human resources threats in natural gas supply projects using ANP-COPRAS method: Case study of Shiraz

Author

Listed:
  • Balali, Amirhossein
  • Valipour, Alireza
  • Edwards, Rodger
  • Moehler, Robert

Abstract

Recently, there has been an increase in the number of accidents and risks in urban natural gas supply such as fire and explosion in cities. These risks and accidents have caused a lot of financial and life damages. Due to the high number of incidents in the world, identification and evaluation of these risks seems essential. This study aims to identify and evaluate the risks in urban natural gas projects in Shiraz. The research tools of this study were interviews, questionnaires and case studies’ information.. In this research, the COPRAS (Complex Proportional Assessment) method was used to carry out risk assessment and ANP (Analytic Network Process) technique was used to obtain weights of each risk assessment criteria. 12 risk assessment criteria were identified, of which "Installation", "Risk of leakage" and "Risk impact" were identified as the three most important criteria. 32 risks were identified in natural gas supply projects in Shiraz of which "Municipal interventions", "Mistakes in repairing gas supply pipes" and "Financial inability of contractors to insulate tubes" were the most important. The results can help stakeholders in excavation projects to identify and manage risks.

Suggested Citation

  • Balali, Amirhossein & Valipour, Alireza & Edwards, Rodger & Moehler, Robert, 2021. "Ranking effective risks on human resources threats in natural gas supply projects using ANP-COPRAS method: Case study of Shiraz," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:208:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000120
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2021.107442
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0951832021000120
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.ress.2021.107442?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Geng, Jiang-Bo & Ji, Qiang & Fan, Ying, 2014. "A dynamic analysis on global natural gas trade network," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 132(C), pages 23-33.
    2. Syed, Zaki & Lawryshyn, Yuri, 2020. "Risk analysis of an underground gas storage facility using a physics-based system performance model and Monte Carlo simulation," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    3. Yu, Weichao & Wen, Kai & Min, Yuan & He, Lei & Huang, Weihe & Gong, Jing, 2018. "A methodology to quantify the gas supply capacity of natural gas transmission pipeline system using reliability theory," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 175(C), pages 128-141.
    4. Thomas L. Saaty & Luis G. Vargas, 2006. "Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process," International Series in Operations Research and Management Science, Springer, number 978-0-387-33987-0, December.
    5. Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik & Marek Urbanik & Janusz R. Rak, 2018. "Approaches for Safety Analysis of Gas-Pipeline Functionality in Terms of Failure Occurrence: A Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-13, June.
    6. Flouri, Maria & Karakosta, Charikleia & Kladouchou, Charikleia & Psarras, John, 2015. "How does a natural gas supply interruption affect the EU gas security? A Monte Carlo simulation," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 44(C), pages 785-796.
    7. Guo, Qingjun & Amin, Shohel & Hao, Qianwen & Haas, Olivier, 2020. "Resilience assessment of safety system at subway construction sites applying analytic network process and extension cloud models," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 201(C).
    8. Biresselioglu, Mehmet Efe & Yelkenci, Tezer & Oz, Ibrahim Onur, 2015. "Investigating the natural gas supply security: A new perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 80(C), pages 168-176.
    9. Praks, Pavel & Kopustinskas, Vytis & Masera, Marcelo, 2015. "Probabilistic modelling of security of supply in gas networks and evaluation of new infrastructure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 144(C), pages 254-264.
    10. Dundulis, Gintautas & ŽutautaitÄ—, Inga & Janulionis, Remigijus & UÅ¡puras, Eugenijus & RimkeviÄ ius, Sigitas & Eid, Mohamed, 2016. "Integrated failure probability estimation based on structural integrity analysis and failure data: Natural gas pipeline case," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 156(C), pages 195-202.
    11. Dursun, Mahir & Çuhadar, İsmet, 2018. "Risk based multi criteria decision making for secure image transfer between unmanned air vehicle and ground control station," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 31-39.
    12. Lo, Huai-Wei & Liou, James J.H. & Huang, Chun-Nen & Chuang, Yen-Ching, 2019. "A novel failure mode and effect analysis model for machine tool risk analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 183(C), pages 173-183.
    13. Chen, Qian & Zuo, Lili & Wu, Changchun & Bu, Yaran & Lu, Yifei & Huang, Yanfei & Chen, Feng, 2020. "Short-term supply reliability assessment of a gas pipeline system under demand variations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    14. Gholamreza Dehdasht & Rosli Mohamad Zin & M. Salim Ferwati & Mu’azu Mohammed Abdullahi & Ali Keyvanfar & Ronald McCaffer, 2017. "DEMATEL-ANP Risk Assessment in Oil and Gas Construction Projects," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 9(8), pages 1-24, August.
    15. Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik, 2018. "Approaches to Methods of Risk Analysis and Assessment Regarding the Gas Supply to a City," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-13, November.
    16. Amirhossein Balali & Alireza Valipour & Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas & Zenonas Turskis, 2020. "Multi-Criteria Ranking of Green Materials According to the Goals of Sustainable Development," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(22), pages 1-18, November.
    17. Wu, Yunna & Wang, Jing & Ji, Shaoyu & Song, Zixin, 2020. "Renewable energy investment risk assessment for nations along China’s Belt & Road Initiative: An ANP-cloud model method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 190(C).
    18. Thomas L. Saaty, 2006. "The Analytic Network Process," International Series in Operations Research & Management Science, in: Decision Making with the Analytic Network Process, chapter 0, pages 1-26, Springer.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Małgorzata Jasiulewicz-Kaczmarek & Katarzyna Antosz & Ryszard Wyczółkowski & Dariusz Mazurkiewicz & Bo Sun & Cheng Qian & Yi Ren, 2021. "Application of MICMAC, Fuzzy AHP, and Fuzzy TOPSIS for Evaluation of the Maintenance Factors Affecting Sustainable Manufacturing," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(5), pages 1-30, March.
    2. Raghunathan Krishankumar & Arunodaya Raj Mishra & Fausto Cavallaro & Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas & Jurgita Antuchevičienė & Kattur Soundarapandian Ravichandran, 2022. "A New Approach to the Viable Ranking of Zero-Carbon Construction Materials with Generalized Fuzzy Information," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-24, June.
    3. Bing Yan & Yuan Rong & Liying Yu & Yuting Huang, 2022. "A Hybrid Intuitionistic Fuzzy Group Decision Framework and Its Application in Urban Rail Transit System Selection," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 10(12), pages 1-26, June.
    4. Dongmei Jing & Mohsen Imeni & Seyyed Ahmad Edalatpanah & Alhanouf Alburaikan & Hamiden Abd El-Wahed Khalifa, 2023. "Optimal Selection of Stock Portfolios Using Multi-Criteria Decision-Making Methods," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-21, January.

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yu, Weichao & Huang, Weihe & Wen, Yunhao & Li, Yichen & Liu, Hongfei & Wen, Kai & Gong, Jing & Lu, Yanan, 2021. "An integrated gas supply reliability evaluation method of the large-scale and complex natural gas pipeline network based on demand-side analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 212(C).
    2. Chen, Qian & Zuo, Lili & Wu, Changchun & Cao, Yankai & Bu, Yaran & Chen, Feng & Sadiq, Rehan, 2021. "Supply reliability assessment of a gas pipeline network under stochastic demands," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 209(C).
    3. Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik, 2018. "Approaches to Methods of Risk Analysis and Assessment Regarding the Gas Supply to a City," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-13, November.
    4. Lu, Weiwei & Su, Meirong & Fath, Brian D. & Zhang, Mingqi & Hao, Yan, 2016. "A systematic method of evaluation of the Chinese natural gas supply security," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 858-867.
    5. Yu, Weichao & Song, Shangfei & Li, Yichen & Min, Yuan & Huang, Weihe & Wen, Kai & Gong, Jing, 2018. "Gas supply reliability assessment of natural gas transmission pipeline systems," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 162(C), pages 853-870.
    6. Wang, WuChang & Zhang, Yi & Li, YuXing & Hu, Qihui & Liu, Chengsong & Liu, Cuiwei, 2022. "Vulnerability analysis method based on risk assessment for gas transmission capabilities of natural gas pipeline networks," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 218(PB).
    7. Chen, Qian & Zuo, Lili & Wu, Changchun & Li, Yun & Hua, Kaixun & Mehrtash, Mahdi & Cao, Yankai, 2022. "Optimization of compressor standby schemes for gas transmission pipeline systems based on gas delivery reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 221(C).
    8. Mohammad Khalilzadeh & Laleh Katoueizadeh & Edmundas Kazimieras Zavadskas, 2020. "Risk identification and prioritization in banking projects of payment service provider companies: an empirical study," Frontiers of Business Research in China, Springer, vol. 14(1), pages 1-27, December.
    9. Zhou, Xingyuan & van Gelder, P.H.A.J.M. & Liang, Yongtu & Zhang, Haoran, 2020. "An integrated methodology for the supply reliability analysis of multi-product pipeline systems under pumps failure," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    10. Yu, Weichao & Gong, Jing & Song, Shangfei & Huang, Weihe & Li, Yichen & Zhang, Jie & Hong, Bingyuan & Zhang, Ye & Wen, Kai & Duan, Xu, 2019. "Gas supply reliability analysis of a natural gas pipeline system considering the effects of underground gas storages," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 252(C), pages 1-1.
    11. Chen, Qian & Zuo, Lili & Wu, Changchun & Bu, Yaran & Lu, Yifei & Huang, Yanfei & Chen, Feng, 2020. "Short-term supply reliability assessment of a gas pipeline system under demand variations," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    12. Barbara Tchórzewska-Cieślak & Katarzyna Pietrucha-Urbanik & Marek Urbanik & Janusz R. Rak, 2018. "Approaches for Safety Analysis of Gas-Pipeline Functionality in Terms of Failure Occurrence: A Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-13, June.
    13. Liu, Aihua & Chen, Ke & Huang, Xiaofei & Li, Didi & Zhang, Xiaochun, 2021. "Dynamic risk assessment model of buried gas pipelines based on system dynamics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 208(C).
    14. Ali Aghazadeh Ardebili & Elio Padoano & Antonella Longo & Antonio Ficarella, 2022. "The Risky-Opportunity Analysis Method (ROAM) to Support Risk-Based Decisions in a Case-Study of Critical Infrastructure Digitization," Risks, MDPI, vol. 10(3), pages 1-22, February.
    15. Ester Guijarro & Cristina Santadreu-Mascarell & Beatriz Blasco-Gallego & Lourdes Canós-Darós & Eugenia Babiloni, 2021. "On the Identification of the Key Factors for a Successful Use of Twitter as a Medium from a Social Marketing Perspective," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 13(12), pages 1-15, June.
    16. Xuejie Li & Yuan Xue & Yuxing Li & Qingshan Feng, 2022. "An Optimization Method for a Compressor Standby Scheme Based on Reliability Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-16, November.
    17. Babak Daneshvar Rouyendegh & Asil Oztekin & Joseph Ekong & Ali Dag, 2019. "Measuring the efficiency of hospitals: a fully-ranking DEA–FAHP approach," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 278(1), pages 361-378, July.
    18. Clara Champalle & James D. Ford & Mya Sherman, 2015. "Prioritizing Climate Change Adaptations in Canadian Arctic Communities," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 7(7), pages 1-25, July.
    19. Afsaneh Afzali & Soheil Sabri & M. Rashid & Jamal Mohammad Vali Samani & Ahmad Ludin, 2014. "Inter-Municipal Landfill Site Selection Using Analytic Network Process," Water Resources Management: An International Journal, Published for the European Water Resources Association (EWRA), Springer;European Water Resources Association (EWRA), vol. 28(8), pages 2179-2194, June.
    20. Baffoe, Gideon, 2019. "Exploring the utility of Analytic Hierarchy Process (AHP) in ranking livelihood activities for effective and sustainable rural development interventions in developing countries," Evaluation and Program Planning, Elsevier, vol. 72(C), pages 197-204.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:208:y:2021:i:c:s0951832021000120. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/reliability-engineering-and-system-safety .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.