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Dependency analysis method for human failure events in multi-unit probabilistic safety assessments

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  • Arigi, Awwal Mohammed
  • Park, Gayoung
  • Kim, Jonghyun

Abstract

Dependency between human failure events (HFEs) is often analyzed as a part of the conventional human reliability analysis (HRA) process for nuclear power plants (NPPs). None of the existing methods have considered an application to multi-unit (MU) scenarios. In this study, we introduce a novel approach to evaluate the dependencies between HFEs in cases of MU event scenarios. We focus on developing a set of MU HFE dependency evaluation elements and their evaluation criteria based on the framework of the single-unit evaluation elements that have been utilized in the HRA practice for NPPs. The unique MU HFE dependency evaluation elements are defined, and we present a new dependency evaluation tree for qualitative analysis. In addition, important cases are provided to demonstrate the application of the proposed method, including four MU initiating events: MU loss of offsite power, MU loss of condenser vacuum, MU general transient, and MU loss of ultimate heat sink. Quantitative analysis with several illustrative HFEs in MU probabilistic safety assessment (PSA) cutsets are also presented. This method fills the gap of a HFE dependency analysis method in the case of MU PSA.

Suggested Citation

  • Arigi, Awwal Mohammed & Park, Gayoung & Kim, Jonghyun, 2020. "Dependency analysis method for human failure events in multi-unit probabilistic safety assessments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:203:y:2020:i:c:s095183202030613x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2020.107112
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Zhou, Taotao & Modarres, Mohammad & Droguett, Enrique López, 2019. "Multi-unit risk aggregation with consideration of uncertainty and bias in risk metrics," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 473-482.
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    7. Le Duy, Tu Duong & Vasseur, Dominique & Serdet, Emmanuel, 2016. "Probabilistic Safety Assessment of twin-unit nuclear sites: Methodological elements," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 145(C), pages 250-261.
    8. Le Duy, Tu Duong & Vasseur, Dominique, 2018. "A practical methodology for modeling and estimation of common cause failure parameters in multi-unit nuclear PSA model," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 159-174.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zhou, Taotao & Modarres, Mohammad & Droguett, Enrique López, 2021. "Multi-unit nuclear power plant probabilistic risk assessment: A comprehensive survey," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    2. Kim, Yongjin & Jang, Seunghyun & Jae, Moosung, 2022. "Evaluation of inter-unit dependency effect on site core damage frequency: Internal and seismic event," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    3. Kim, Yochan & Choi, Sun Yeong & Park, Jinkyun & Kim, Jaewhan, 2022. "Empirical study on human error probability of procedure-extraneous behaviors," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    4. Garg, Vipul & Vinod, Gopika & Kant, Vivek, 2023. "Auto-CREAM: Software application for evaluation of HEP with basic and extended CREAM for PSA studies," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 236(C).
    5. Kim, Yochan & Kim, Jaewhan & Park, Jinkyun, 2023. "A data-informed dependency assessment of human reliability," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 239(C).

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