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An event classification schema for evaluating site risk in a multi-unit nuclear power plant probabilistic risk assessment

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  • Schroer, Suzanne
  • Modarres, Mohammad

Abstract

Today, Probabilistic Risk Assessments (PRAs) at multi-unit nuclear power plants consider risk from each unit separately and consider dependencies and interactions between the units informally and on an ad hoc basis. The accident at the Fukushima nuclear power station underlined the importance and possibility of multi-unit accidents. These interactions make the operation of multiple units dependent on each other and should be formally accounted for in PRAs. In order to effectively account for these risks in a multi-unit PRA, six main dependence classifications have been identified: initiating events, shared connections, identical components, proximity dependencies, human dependencies, and organizational dependencies. This paper discusses these six classifications and the nature of their resulting dependence between multiple units. As a validation of the classification, this paper will also discuss multi-unit events that have occurred in operating plants. Finally, the paper will present existing methodologies that could be used to more formally quantify unit-to-unit dependencies in the PRAs for each classification.

Suggested Citation

  • Schroer, Suzanne & Modarres, Mohammad, 2013. "An event classification schema for evaluating site risk in a multi-unit nuclear power plant probabilistic risk assessment," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 117(C), pages 40-51.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:reensy:v:117:y:2013:i:c:p:40-51
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ress.2013.03.005
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    Cited by:

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    8. Pence, Justin & Sakurahara, Tatsuya & Zhu, Xuefeng & Mohaghegh, Zahra & Ertem, Mehmet & Ostroff, Cheri & Kee, Ernie, 2019. "Data-theoretic methodology and computational platform to quantify organizational factors in socio-technical risk analysis," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 185(C), pages 240-260.
    9. Fumin Deng & Yanjie Li & Huirong Lin & Jinrui Miao & Xuedong Liang, 2020. "A BWM-TOPSIS Hazardous Waste Inventory Safety Risk Evaluation," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(16), pages 1-18, August.
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    13. Geon Gyu Choi & Woo Sik Jung & Seong Kyu Park, 2021. "Sensitivity Study on the Correlation Level of Seismic Failures in Seismic Probabilistic Safety Assessments," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(10), pages 1-20, May.
    14. Arigi, Awwal Mohammed & Park, Gayoung & Kim, Jonghyun, 2020. "Dependency analysis method for human failure events in multi-unit probabilistic safety assessments," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 203(C).
    15. Zhang, Sai & Du, Mengyu & Tong, Jiejuan & Li, Yan-Fu, 2019. "Multi-objective optimization of maintenance program in multi-unit nuclear power plant sites," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 532-548.
    16. Woo Sik Jung, 2021. "A Method to Avoid Underestimated Risks in Seismic SUPSA and MUPSA for Nuclear Power Plants Caused by Partitioning Events," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-13, April.
    17. Jin, Kyungho & Hwang, Yujeong & Heo, Gyunyoung, 2021. "Development of Dependence Indexes for Multi-Unit Risk Assessment and its Estimation Using Copula," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 213(C).
    18. Wanxin Feng & Ming Wang & Zhixin Xu & Yu Yu, 2023. "The Method of Calculating the Frequency of the Initiating Event in a Dual-Unit Site with the Example of LOOP Events," Energies, MDPI, vol. 16(2), pages 1-8, January.
    19. Santhosh, T.V. & Gopika, V. & Ghosh, A.K. & Fernandes, B.G., 2018. "An approach for reliability prediction of instrumentation & control cables by artificial neural networks and Weibull theory for probabilistic safety assessment of NPPs," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 31-44.
    20. Yoon, Jae Young & Kim, Dong-San, 2022. "Estimating the adverse effects of inter-unit radioactive release on operator actions at a multi-unit site," Reliability Engineering and System Safety, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).

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