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Intraday analyses on weather-induced sentiment and stock market behavior

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  • Seok, Sangik
  • Cho, Hoon
  • Ryu, Doojin

Abstract

We examine the intraday relationship between weather conditions and investor sentiment in the Korean equity market. By uncovering the intermediary role of weather-induced sentiment in affecting market variables, we suggest a potential link between weather conditions, sentiment, and market dynamics. High temperatures, humidity, and cloud coverage negatively affect investors’ moods, while strong winds and long sunshine durations have a positive impact. Although only cloud coverage marginally impacts stock returns, weather factors significantly affect market turnover, volatility, and illiquidity, especially when they alter sentiment dynamics.

Suggested Citation

  • Seok, Sangik & Cho, Hoon & Ryu, Doojin, 2024. "Intraday analyses on weather-induced sentiment and stock market behavior," The Quarterly Review of Economics and Finance, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:quaeco:v:98:y:2024:i:c:s1062976924001352
    DOI: 10.1016/j.qref.2024.101929
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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Emerging market; Intraday analysis; Investor sentiment; Stock market; Trading activity; Weather;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G12 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Asset Pricing; Trading Volume; Bond Interest Rates
    • G14 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Information and Market Efficiency; Event Studies; Insider Trading
    • G15 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - International Financial Markets

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