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Cross-correlations between crude oil and exchange markets for selected oil rich economies

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  • Li, Jianfeng
  • Lu, Xinsheng
  • Zhou, Ying

Abstract

Using multifractal detrended cross-correlation analysis (MF-DCCA), this paper studies the cross-correlation behavior between crude oil market and five selected exchange rate markets. The dataset covers the period of January 1,1996–December 31,2014, and contains 4,633 observations for each of the series, including daily closing prices of crude oil, Australian Dollars, Canadian Dollars, Mexican Pesos, Russian Rubles, and South African Rand. Our empirical results obtained from cross-correlation statistic and cross-correlation coefficient have confirmed the existence of cross-correlations, and the MF-DCCA results have demonstrated a strong multifractality between cross-correlated crude oil market and exchange rate markets in both short term and long term. Using rolling window analysis, we have also found the persistent cross-correlations between the exchange rates and crude oil returns, and the cross-correlation scaling exponents exhibit volatility during some time periods due to its sensitivity to sudden events.

Suggested Citation

  • Li, Jianfeng & Lu, Xinsheng & Zhou, Ying, 2016. "Cross-correlations between crude oil and exchange markets for selected oil rich economies," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 453(C), pages 131-143.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:453:y:2016:i:c:p:131-143
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2016.02.039
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    Cited by:

    1. Ruan, Qingsong & Zhang, Manqian & Lv, Dayong & Yang, Haiquan, 2018. "SAD and stock returns revisited: Nonlinear analysis based on MF-DCCA and Granger test," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 1009-1022.
    2. Nascimento Filho, A.S. & Pereira, E.J.A.L. & Ferreira, Paulo & Murari, T.B. & Moret, M.A., 2018. "Cross-correlation analysis on Brazilian gasoline retail market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 550-557.
    3. Ruan, Qingsong & Bao, Junjie & Zhang, Manqian & Fan, Limin, 2019. "The effects of exchange rate regime reform on RMB markets: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 522(C), pages 122-134.
    4. Marcin Wk{a}torek & Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Pawe{l} O'swic{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek, 2018. "Multifractal cross-correlations between the World Oil and other Financial Markets in 2012-2017," Papers 1812.08548, arXiv.org, revised Jun 2019.
    5. Li, Xiao-Ping & Zhou, Chun-Yang & Wu, Chong-Feng, 2017. "Jump spillover between oil prices and exchange rates," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 656-667.
    6. Zhai, Lu-Sheng & Liu, Ruo-Yu, 2019. "Local detrended cross-correlation analysis for non-stationary time series," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 222-233.
    7. Lu, Xinsheng & Sun, Xinxin & Ge, Jintian, 2017. "Dynamic relationship between Japanese Yen exchange rates and market anxiety: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 474(C), pages 144-161.
    8. Ruan, Qingsong & Yang, Haiquan & Lv, Dayong & Zhang, Shuhua, 2018. "Cross-correlations between individual investor sentiment and Chinese stock market return: New perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 503(C), pages 243-256.
    9. Yin, Libo & Ma, Xiyuan, 2018. "Causality between oil shocks and exchange rate: A Bayesian, graph-based VAR approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 434-453.
    10. Stanis{l}aw Dro.zd.z & Ludovico Minati & Pawe{l} O'swik{e}cimka & Marek Stanuszek & Marcin Wk{a}torek, 2019. "Signatures of crypto-currency market decoupling from the Forex," Papers 1906.07834, arXiv.org, revised Jul 2019.
    11. Roubaud, David & Arouri, Mohamed, 2018. "Oil prices, exchange rates and stock markets under uncertainty and regime-switching," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 27(C), pages 28-33.
    12. Lu, Xinsheng & Li, Jianfeng & Zhou, Ying & Qian, Yubo, 2017. "Cross-correlations between RMB exchange rate and international commodity markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 486(C), pages 168-182.
    13. Li, Wei & Lu, Xinsheng & Ren, Yongping & Zhou, Ying, 2018. "Dynamic relationship between RMB exchange rate index and stock market liquidity: A new perspective based on MF-DCCA," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 726-739.
    14. Zhang, Zuochao & Zhang, Yongjie & Shen, Dehua & Zhang, Wei, 2018. "The cross-correlations between online sentiment proxies: Evidence from Google Trends and Twitter," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 508(C), pages 67-75.
    15. Sun, Xinxin & Lu, Xinsheng & Yue, Gongzheng & Li, Jianfeng, 2017. "Cross-correlations between the US monetary policy, US dollar index and crude oil market," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 467(C), pages 326-344.

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