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A long-range memory stochastic model of the return in financial markets

Author

Listed:
  • Gontis, V.
  • Ruseckas, J.
  • Kononovičius, A.

Abstract

We present a nonlinear stochastic differential equation (SDE) which mimics the probability density function (PDF) of the return and the power spectrum of the absolute return in financial markets. Absolute return as a measure of market volatility is considered in the proposed model as a long-range memory stochastic variable. The SDE is obtained from the analogy with an earlier proposed model of trading activity in the financial markets and generalized within the nonextensive statistical mechanics framework. The proposed stochastic model generates time series of the return with two power law statistics, i.e., the PDF and the power spectral density, reproducing the empirical data for the one-minute trading return in the NYSE.

Suggested Citation

  • Gontis, V. & Ruseckas, J. & Kononovičius, A., 2010. "A long-range memory stochastic model of the return in financial markets," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 389(1), pages 100-106.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:phsmap:v:389:y:2010:i:1:p:100-106
    DOI: 10.1016/j.physa.2009.09.011
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Silvio M. Duarte Queiros & Celia Anteneodo & Constantino Tsallis, 2005. "Power-law distributions in economics: a nonextensive statistical approach," Papers physics/0503024, arXiv.org.
    2. Gençay, Ramazan & Dacorogna, Michel & Muller, Ulrich A. & Pictet, Olivier & Olsen, Richard, 2001. "An Introduction to High-Frequency Finance," Elsevier Monographs, Elsevier, edition 1, number 9780122796715.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Kononovicius, A. & Ruseckas, J., 2015. "Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 427(C), pages 74-81.
    2. Vygintas Gontis & Aleksejus Kononovicius, 2017. "Spurious memory in non-equilibrium stochastic models of imitative behavior," Papers 1707.09801, arXiv.org.
    3. Xiao, Weilin & Zhang, Weiguo & Zhang, Xili & Chen, Xiaoyan, 2014. "The valuation of equity warrants under the fractional Vasicek process of the short-term interest rate," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 394(C), pages 320-337.
    4. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Julius Ruseckas, 2014. "Nonlinear GARCH model and 1/f noise," Papers 1412.6244, arXiv.org, revised Feb 2015.
    5. Aleksejus Kononovicius & Valentas Daniunas, 2013. "Agent-based and macroscopic modeling of the complex socio-economic systems," Papers 1303.3693, arXiv.org, revised Apr 2013.

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