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On pseudo maximum likelihood estimation for multivariate time series models with conditional heteroskedasticity

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  • Liu, Shuangzhe
  • Neudecker, Heinz

Abstract

We consider a general multivariate conditional heteroskedastic model under a conditional distribution that is not necessarily normal. This model contains autoregressive conditional heteroskedastic (ARCH) models as a special class. We use the pseudo maximum likelihood estimation method and derive a new estimator of the asymptotic variance matrix for the pseudo maximum likelihood estimator. We also study four special cases in this class, which are conditional heteroskedastic autoregressive moving-average models, regression models with ARCH errors, models with constant conditional correlations, and ARCH in mean models.

Suggested Citation

  • Liu, Shuangzhe & Neudecker, Heinz, 2009. "On pseudo maximum likelihood estimation for multivariate time series models with conditional heteroskedasticity," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2556-2565.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:matcom:v:79:y:2009:i:8:p:2556-2565
    DOI: 10.1016/j.matcom.2008.12.008
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Hall, Peter & Yao, Qiwei, 2003. "Inference in ARCH and GARCH models with heavy-tailed errors," LSE Research Online Documents on Economics 5875, London School of Economics and Political Science, LSE Library.
    2. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    3. McAleer, Michael, 2005. "Automated Inference And Learning In Modeling Financial Volatility," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 21(1), pages 232-261, February.
    4. Shiqing Ling & W. K. Li, 1997. "Diagnostic checking of nonlinear multivariate time series with multivariate arch errors," Journal of Time Series Analysis, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 18(5), pages 447-464, September.
    5. Engle, Robert F & Lilien, David M & Robins, Russell P, 1987. "Estimating Time Varying Risk Premia in the Term Structure: The Arch-M Model," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 55(2), pages 391-407, March.
    6. repec:bla:jecsur:v:16:y:2002:i:3:p:245-69 is not listed on IDEAS
    7. Peter Hall & Qiwei Yao, 2003. "Inference in Arch and Garch Models with Heavy--Tailed Errors," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(1), pages 285-317, January.
    8. W. K. Li & Shiqing Ling & Michael McAleer, 2002. "Recent Theoretical Results for Time Series Models with GARCH Errors," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 16(3), pages 245-269, July.
    9. Engle, Robert F, 1982. "Autoregressive Conditional Heteroscedasticity with Estimates of the Variance of United Kingdom Inflation," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 50(4), pages 987-1007, July.
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    Citations

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    Cited by:

    1. Liu, Shuangzhe & Ma, Tiefeng & Polasek, Wolfgang, 2014. "Spatial system estimators for panel models: A sensitivity and simulation study," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 78-102.
    2. Linyu Cao & Ruili Sun & Tiefeng Ma & Conan Liu, 2023. "On Asymmetric Correlations and Their Applications in Financial Markets," JRFM, MDPI, vol. 16(3), pages 1-18, March.
    3. Allen, David E. & Gao, Jiti & McAleer, Michael, 2009. "Modelling and managing financial risk: An overview," Mathematics and Computers in Simulation (MATCOM), Elsevier, vol. 79(8), pages 2521-2524.
    4. Shuangzhe Liu & Chris Heyde & Wing-Keung Wong, 2011. "Moment matrices in conditional heteroskedastic models under elliptical distributions with applications in AR-ARCH models," Statistical Papers, Springer, vol. 52(3), pages 621-632, August.
    5. Liu, Shuangzhe & Leiva, Víctor & Zhuang, Dan & Ma, Tiefeng & Figueroa-Zúñiga, Jorge I., 2022. "Matrix differential calculus with applications in the multivariate linear model and its diagnostics," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 188(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    CHARMA; R-ARCH; CCC; ARCH-M; Asymptotic variance matrix;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • C13 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Econometric and Statistical Methods and Methodology: General - - - Estimation: General
    • C32 - Mathematical and Quantitative Methods - - Multiple or Simultaneous Equation Models; Multiple Variables - - - Time-Series Models; Dynamic Quantile Regressions; Dynamic Treatment Effect Models; Diffusion Processes; State Space Models

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