IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/jhecon/v99y2025ics0167629624000894.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Triage at shift changes and distortions in the perception and treatment of emergency patients

Author

Listed:
  • Ferro, Simone
  • Serra, Chiara

Abstract

Employing more than 2 million emergency department (ED) records, we combine machine learning and regression discontinuity to document novel distortions in triage nurses’ assessments of patients’ conditions and investigate the short- and medium-term consequences for patients. We show that triage nurses progressively become more lenient during their shifts, and identical ED patients arriving just after a shift change are thus assigned a lower priority. We show that these patients receive lower levels of care and require additional emergency care afterward. We conclude that distortions in nurses’ initial assessments of urgency bias’ medical staff’s perceptions.

Suggested Citation

  • Ferro, Simone & Serra, Chiara, 2025. "Triage at shift changes and distortions in the perception and treatment of emergency patients," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 99(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:jhecon:v:99:y:2025:i:c:s0167629624000894
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102944
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0167629624000894
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.jhealeco.2024.102944?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Hirshleifer, David & Levi, Yaron & Lourie, Ben & Teoh, Siew Hong, 2019. "Decision fatigue and heuristic analyst forecasts," Journal of Financial Economics, Elsevier, vol. 133(1), pages 83-98.
    2. Alan I. Barreca & Melanie Guldi & Jason M. Lindo & Glen R. Waddell, 2011. "Saving Babies? Revisiting the effect of very low birth weight classification," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 126(4), pages 2117-2123.
    3. Sebastian Calonico & Matias D Cattaneo & Max H Farrell, 2020. "Optimal bandwidth choice for robust bias-corrected inference in regression discontinuity designs," The Econometrics Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 23(2), pages 192-210.
    4. David C. Chan & Jonathan Gruber, 2020. "Provider Discretion and Variation in Resource Allocation: The Case of Triage Decisions," AEA Papers and Proceedings, American Economic Association, vol. 110, pages 279-283, May.
    5. Maria R. Ibanez & Michael W. Toffel, 2020. "How Scheduling Can Bias Quality Assessment: Evidence from Food-Safety Inspections," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(6), pages 2396-2416, June.
    6. Jonathan Levav & Mark Heitmann & Andreas Herrmann & Sheena S. Iyengar, 2010. "Order in Product Customization Decisions: Evidence from Field Experiments," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 118(2), pages 274-299, April.
    7. Lindsey Woodworth & James F. Holmes, 2020. "Just A Minute: The Effect Of Emergency Department Wait Time On The Cost Of Care," Economic Inquiry, Western Economic Association International, vol. 58(2), pages 698-716, April.
    8. Robert J. Batt & Diwas S. KC & Bradley R. Staats & Brian W. Patterson, 2019. "The Effects of Discrete Work Shifts on a Nonterminating Service System," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 28(6), pages 1528-1544, June.
    9. David C. Chan, 2018. "The Efficiency of Slacking off: Evidence From the Emergency Department," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 86(3), pages 997-1030, May.
    10. Tanguy Brachet & Guy David & Andrea M. Drechsler, 2012. "The Effect of Shift Structure on Performance," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 4(2), pages 219-246, April.
    11. Elena Cottini & Claudio Lucifora & Gilberto Turati & Daria Vigani, 2020. "Children Use of Emergency Care: Differences Between Natives and Migrants in Italy," DISCE - Working Papers del Dipartimento di Economia e Finanza def093, Università Cattolica del Sacro Cuore, Dipartimenti e Istituti di Scienze Economiche (DISCE).
    12. Emil Persson & Kinga Barrafrem & Andreas Meunier & Gustav Tinghög, 2019. "The effect of decision fatigue on surgeons' clinical decision making," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 28(10), pages 1194-1203, October.
    13. Turner, Alex J & Francetic, Igor & Watkinson, Ruth & Gillibrand, Stephanie & Sutton, Matt, 2022. "Socioeconomic inequality in access to timely and appropriate care in emergency departments," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 85(C).
    14. Matias D. Cattaneo & Michael Jansson & Xinwei Ma, 2018. "Manipulation testing based on density discontinuity," Stata Journal, StataCorp LLC, vol. 18(1), pages 234-261, March.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Saravanan Kesavan & Susan J. Lambert & Joan C. Williams & Pradeep K. Pendem, 2022. "Doing Well by Doing Good: Improving Retail Store Performance with Responsible Scheduling Practices at the Gap, Inc," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 68(11), pages 7818-7836, November.
    2. Elena Lucchese, 2024. "How important are delays in treatment for health outcomes? The case of ambulance response time and cardiovascular events," Health Economics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 33(4), pages 652-673, April.
    3. Mauricio Villamizar‐Villegas & Freddy A. Pinzon‐Puerto & Maria Alejandra Ruiz‐Sanchez, 2022. "A comprehensive history of regression discontinuity designs: An empirical survey of the last 60 years," Journal of Economic Surveys, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 36(4), pages 1130-1178, September.
    4. Luis R. Martinez & Jonas Jessen & Guo Xu, 2023. "A Glimpse of Freedom: Allied Occupation and Political Resistance in East Germany," American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, American Economic Association, vol. 15(1), pages 68-106, January.
    5. Gaggero, A. & Gil, J. & Jiménez-Rubio, D. & Zucchelli, E., 2021. "Health information and lifestyle behaviours: the impact of a diabetes diagnosis," Health, Econometrics and Data Group (HEDG) Working Papers 21/02, HEDG, c/o Department of Economics, University of York.
    6. Dang, Hai-Anh H. & Trinh, Trong-Anh, 2021. "Does the COVID-19 lockdown improve global air quality? New cross-national evidence on its unintended consequences," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 105(C).
    7. Maria R. Ibanez & Michael W. Toffel, 2020. "How Scheduling Can Bias Quality Assessment: Evidence from Food-Safety Inspections," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 66(6), pages 2396-2416, June.
    8. Luciana Juvenal & Paulo Santos Monteiro, 2024. "Risky Gravity," Journal of the European Economic Association, European Economic Association, vol. 22(4), pages 1590-1627.
    9. Jiao, Yawen, 2024. "Managing decision fatigue: Evidence from analysts’ earnings forecasts," Journal of Accounting and Economics, Elsevier, vol. 77(1).
    10. Zulli María Agostina, 2024. "Does Preschool Tips the Balance in favour of Mothers in the Labour Market? Evidence for Brazil," Asociación Argentina de Economía Política: Working Papers 4773, Asociación Argentina de Economía Política.
    11. Margherita Gerolimetto & Stefano Magrini, 2025. "From Metropolitan Planning Organization to Transport Management Areas: a change of air?," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 45(1), pages 577-585.
    12. Berlinski, Samuel & Gagete-Miranda, Jessica, 2024. "Enforcement Spillovers under Different Networks: The Case of Quotas for Persons with Disabilities in Brazil," IDB Publications (Working Papers) 13681, Inter-American Development Bank.
    13. Diogo G. C. Britto & Roberto Hsu Rocha & Paolo Pinotti & Breno Sampaio, 2024. "Small Children, Big Problems: Childbirth and Crime," CESifo Working Paper Series 11083, CESifo.
    14. Amelia A. Hawkins & Christopher A. Hollrah & Sarah Miller & Laura R. Wherry & Gloria Aldana & Mitchell D. Wong, 2023. "The Long-Term Effects of Income for At-Risk Infants: Evidence from Supplemental Security Income," NBER Working Papers 31746, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    15. Oh, Byeung-Kuk, 2024. "Retirement and healthcare utilization: Evidence from pension eligibility ages in South Korea," The Journal of the Economics of Ageing, Elsevier, vol. 27(C).
    16. Hirani, Jonas Cuzulan & Wüst, Miriam, 2024. "Reminder design and childhood vaccination coverage," Journal of Health Economics, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    17. James E. Archsmith & Anthony Heyes & Matthew J. Neidell & Bhaven N. Sampat, 2021. "The Dynamics of Inattention in the (Baseball) Field," NBER Working Papers 28922, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
    18. Vanessa Cirulli & Giuliano Resce & Marco Ventura, 2024. "Co-payment exemption and healthcare consumption: quasi-experimental evidence from Italy," Empirical Economics, Springer, vol. 67(1), pages 355-380, July.
    19. Baldomero-Quintana, Luis & Woo-Mora, L. Guillermo & De la Rosa-Ramos, Enrique, 2025. "Infrastructures of race? Colonial indigenous segregation and contemporary land values," Regional Science and Urban Economics, Elsevier, vol. 110(C).
    20. Büşra Ergün‐Şahin & Evrim Didem Güneş & Ayşe Kocabıyıkoğlu & Ahmet Keskin, 2022. "How does workload affect test ordering behavior of physicians? An empirical investigation," Production and Operations Management, Production and Operations Management Society, vol. 31(6), pages 2664-2680, June.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    Triage; Emergency care; Shift change;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • I10 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - General
    • I12 - Health, Education, and Welfare - - Health - - - Health Behavior
    • M50 - Business Administration and Business Economics; Marketing; Accounting; Personnel Economics - - Personnel Economics - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:jhecon:v:99:y:2025:i:c:s0167629624000894. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/inca/505560 .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.