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Does New York State bail reform moderate the impact of pretrial detention on conviction rates?

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  • Hauck, Jingyi
  • Yang, Eunbyeor Sophie

Abstract

As New York State (NYS) bail reform continues to instigate debates over its social impact, this study aims to examine 1) whether bail reform moderates the impact of pretrial detention on probability of conviction, and 2) whether such moderating effect differs by region between New York City (NYC) and non-New York City (non-NYC).

Suggested Citation

  • Hauck, Jingyi & Yang, Eunbyeor Sophie, 2025. "Does New York State bail reform moderate the impact of pretrial detention on conviction rates?," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 98(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:jcjust:v:98:y:2025:i:c:s0047235225000674
    DOI: 10.1016/j.jcrimjus.2025.102418
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. repec:adr:anecst:y:2008:i:91-92:p:10 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Avishalom Tor & Oren Gazal‐Ayal & Stephen M. Garcia, 2010. "Fairness and the Willingness to Accept Plea Bargain Offers," Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 7(1), pages 97-116, March.
    3. Emily Leslie & Nolan G. Pope, 2017. "The Unintended Impact of Pretrial Detention on Case Outcomes: Evidence from New York City Arraignments," Journal of Law and Economics, University of Chicago Press, vol. 60(3), pages 529-557.
    4. Campbell, Christopher M. & Labrecque, Ryan M. & Weinerman, Michael & Sanchagrin, Ken, 2020. "Gauging detention dosage: Assessing the impact of pretrial detention on sentencing outcomes using propensity score modeling," Journal of Criminal Justice, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    5. Jose C. Galdo & Jeffrey Smith & Dan Black, 2008. "Bandwidth Selection and the Estimation of Treatment Effects with Unbalanced Data," Annals of Economics and Statistics, GENES, issue 91-92, pages 189-216.
    6. Megan T Stevenson, 2018. "Distortion of Justice: How the Inability to Pay Bail Affects Case Outcomes," The Journal of Law, Economics, and Organization, Oxford University Press, vol. 34(4), pages 511-542.
    7. J. Scott Long & Sarah A. Mustillo, 2021. "Using Predictions and Marginal Effects to Compare Groups in Regression Models for Binary Outcomes," Sociological Methods & Research, , vol. 50(3), pages 1284-1320, August.
    8. Samuel R. Gross & Barbara O'Brien, 2008. "Frequency and Predictors of False Conviction: Why We Know So Little, and New Data on Capital Cases," Journal of Empirical Legal Studies, John Wiley & Sons, vol. 5(4), pages 927-962, December.
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