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Does uncertainty matter for loan charge-offs?

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  • Lepetit, Laetitia
  • Strobel, Frank
  • Dickinson, David G.

Abstract

Using a stylized real options model, we show that discretion over the timing of charging off a non-performing loan could be economically justified when collateral values are uncertain and there is a chance of loan recovery. The implied hypothesis of an “uncertainty dependence” aspect in loan charge-offs is empirically tested and validated using a panel of European banks. A welfare-maximizing regulator might want to let banks pursue such discretionary loan charge-off behavior, with the problem of distinguishing it from alternative capital management and income smoothing objectives, while transparency-seeking accounting standards setters would presumably not.

Suggested Citation

  • Lepetit, Laetitia & Strobel, Frank & Dickinson, David G., 2012. "Does uncertainty matter for loan charge-offs?," Journal of International Financial Markets, Institutions and Money, Elsevier, vol. 22(2), pages 264-277.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:intfin:v:22:y:2012:i:2:p:264-277
    DOI: 10.1016/j.intfin.2011.09.006
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    2. Danisman, Gamze Ozturk & Demir, Ender & Ozili, Peterson, 2021. "Loan loss provisioning of US banks: Economic policy uncertainty and discretionary behavior," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 71(C), pages 923-935.
    3. Vithessonthi, Chaiporn, 2023. "The consequences of bank loan growth: Evidence from Asia," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 83(C), pages 252-270.
    4. Chaiporn Vithessonthi, 2016. "The Consequences of Bank Loan Growth: Evidence from Asia," PIER Discussion Papers 19., Puey Ungphakorn Institute for Economic Research, revised Feb 2016.

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Discretion; Loan charge-off; Uncertainty dependence; Real option;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G21 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - Banks; Other Depository Institutions; Micro Finance Institutions; Mortgages

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