IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/finlet/v87y2026ics154461232502241x.html

Criminal shadows on digital finance: Organized crime and digital finance inclusion in China

Author

Listed:
  • Fang, Guangliang
  • Wang, Zizhen
  • Zheng, Jianwen
  • Pan, Xia

Abstract

This study examines whether organized crime hinders digital financial inclusion in China. Using the digital financial inclusion index from 31 provinces and prosecution data from China’s anticrime campaign, organized crime significantly impedes digital finance development. Provinces with higher organized crime rates exhibit lower digital financial inclusion. Social trust moderates this relationship, with strong social capital attenuating the negative impact. The effect is most pronounced in economically developed regions where digital economies are vulnerable to criminal disruption.

Suggested Citation

  • Fang, Guangliang & Wang, Zizhen & Zheng, Jianwen & Pan, Xia, 2026. "Criminal shadows on digital finance: Organized crime and digital finance inclusion in China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 87(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:87:y:2026:i:c:s154461232502241x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2025.108988
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S154461232502241X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.frl.2025.108988?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. He, Qing & Li, Xiaoyang, 2021. "The failure of Chinese peer-to-peer lending platforms: Finance and politics," Journal of Corporate Finance, Elsevier, vol. 66(C).
    2. Gao, Jiwen & Li, Hao & Zhang, Didi, 2025. "Exploring the mechanisms and regional variations in how digital financial inclusion drives high-quality real economic development across China," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 73(C).
    3. Tavassoli, Sam & Karlsson, Charlie, 2015. "Persistence of various types of innovation analyzed and explained," Research Policy, Elsevier, vol. 44(10), pages 1887-1901.
    4. Yang, Yuelin, 2025. "The development of digital finance and the crime rate of theft," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 71(C).
    5. Dong, Jingxuan, 2024. "Digital finance’s impact on household portfolio diversity: Evidence from Chinese households," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    6. Huang, Xuwei, 2025. "Social credit environment, financing levels, and criminal crime rates," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    7. Wu, Wenfeng & Firth, Michael & Rui, Oliver M., 2014. "Trust and the provision of trade credit," Journal of Banking & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 39(C), pages 146-159.
    8. Wang, Pengcheng & Yang, Xuelin, 2024. "Social trust and household financial decision-making: An empirical study based on the usage of household financial technology," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    9. Haimeng Liu & Liwei Wang & Jinzhou Wang & Hangtian Ming & Xuankuang Wu & Gang Xu & Shengwu Zhang, 2024. "Multidimensional spatial inequality in China and its relationship with economic growth," Humanities and Social Sciences Communications, Palgrave Macmillan, vol. 11(1), pages 1-13, December.
    10. Xu, Fenghui & Hu, Hao, 2025. "Digital finance, labor productivity and manufacturing structural upgrading," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    11. Daniele, Vittorio & Marani, Ugo, 2011. "Organized crime, the quality of local institutions and FDI in Italy: A panel data analysis," European Journal of Political Economy, Elsevier, vol. 27(1), pages 132-142, March.
    12. Francesco Calderoni, 2011. "Where is the mafia in Italy? Measuring the presence of the mafia across Italian provinces," Global Crime, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 12(1), pages 41-69, February.
    13. Litterio Mirenda & Sauro Mocetti & Lucia Rizzica, 2022. "The Economic Effects of Mafia: Firm Level Evidence," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 112(8), pages 2748-2773, August.
    14. Livio Ferrante & Stefania Fontana & Francesco Reito, 2021. "Mafia and bricks: unfair competition in local markets and policy interventions," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1461-1484, April.
    15. Lyu, Qian & Chai, Binkai & Tao, Zhensheng, 2025. "The impact of digital finance on carbon emissions of manufacturing enterprises," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    16. Peter Gomber & Jascha-Alexander Koch & Michael Siering, 2017. "Digital Finance and FinTech: current research and future research directions," Journal of Business Economics, Springer, vol. 87(5), pages 537-580, July.
    17. Paolo Pinotti, 2015. "The Economic Costs of Organised Crime: Evidence from Southern Italy," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 125(586), pages 203-232, August.
    18. Li, Xin & Yu, Zhihai & Zhang, Xiaoran Sarah, 2025. "Can the application of artificial intelligence in criminal investigation reduce regional criminal offences? The moderating effect of digital financial development," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 82(C).
    19. Mark Tomass, 1998. "Mafianomics: How Did Mob Entrepreneurs Infiltrate and Dominate the Russian Economy?," Journal of Economic Issues, Taylor & Francis Journals, vol. 32(2), pages 565-574, June.
    20. Luo, Qingfeng & Wang, Jingyuan, 2024. "Digital finance and green technology innovation: A dual path test based on market and government," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    21. Lin, Xifen & Wu, Wanqiang & Lan, Huanqi & Ma, Yong, 2024. "The impact of anti-organized crime on business environment: Evidence from China's anti-Mafia campaign," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    22. Ni, Yunsong & Sun, Jiaqi, 2025. "Digital transformation and the development of servitized manufacturing in China: An asset specificity perspective," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 85(PB).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Forgione, Antonio Fabio & Migliardo, Carlo, 2023. "Mafia risk perception: Evaluating the effect of organized crime on firm technical efficiency and investment proclivity," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    2. Stefania Fontana & Giorgio d’Agostino, 2024. "Anti-mafia policies and public goods in Italy," Public Choice, Springer, vol. 198(3), pages 493-529, March.
    3. Lin, Xifen & Wu, Wanqiang & Lan, Huanqi & Ma, Yong, 2024. "The impact of anti-organized crime on business environment: Evidence from China's anti-Mafia campaign," International Review of Economics & Finance, Elsevier, vol. 95(C).
    4. Francesca M. Calamunci & Livio Ferrante & Rossana Scebba & Gianpiero Torrisi, 2023. "Mafia doesn't live here anymore: Antimafia policies and housing prices," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 63(4), pages 1001-1025, September.
    5. Roberta De Luca & Rosalia Greco & Giovanni Immordino, 2025. "Mafia Infiltration and Ownership Dynamics in Italian Companies during Covid-19," CSEF Working Papers 750, Centre for Studies in Economics and Finance (CSEF), University of Naples, Italy.
    6. Francesca M. Calamunci & Livio Ferrante & Rossana Scebba, 2022. "Closed for mafia: Evidence from the removal of mafia firms on commercial property values," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 62(5), pages 1487-1511, November.
    7. Di Giorno, Saverio & Dileo, Ivano & Busato, Francesco, 2024. "Shades of grand corruption among allocative efficiency and institutional settings. The case of Italy," Socio-Economic Planning Sciences, Elsevier, vol. 93(C).
    8. Ylenia Brilli & Marco Tonello, 2015. "The contemporaneous effect of education on adolescent crime. Mechanisms and evidence from regional divides," CHILD Working Papers Series 41 JEL Classification: I2, Centre for Household, Income, Labour and Demographic Economics (CHILD) - CCA.
    9. Marco Le Moglie & Giuseppe Sorrenti, 2022. "Revealing "Mafia Inc."? Financial Crisis, Organized Crime, and the Birth of New Enterprises," The Review of Economics and Statistics, MIT Press, vol. 104(1), pages 142-156, March.
    10. Gaetano Perone, 2020. "The impact of agribusiness crimes on food prices: evidence from Italy," Economia Politica: Journal of Analytical and Institutional Economics, Springer;Fondazione Edison, vol. 37(3), pages 877-909, October.
    11. Alfredo Del Monte, 2016. "Le cause della differente diffusione della criminalit? organizzata nel Mezzogiorno," STUDI ECONOMICI, FrancoAngeli Editore, vol. 2016(118-119-1), pages 271-311.
    12. Marco Dugato & Francesco Calderoni & Gian Maria Campedelli, 2020. "Measuring Organised Crime Presence at the Municipal Level," Social Indicators Research: An International and Interdisciplinary Journal for Quality-of-Life Measurement, Springer, vol. 147(1), pages 237-261, January.
    13. Roberto Ganau & Andrés Rodríguez†Pose, 2018. "Industrial clusters, organized crime, and productivity growth in Italian SMEs," Journal of Regional Science, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 58(2), pages 363-385, March.
    14. Campedelli, Gian Maria & Daniele, Gianmarco & Martinangeli, Andrea F.M. & Pinotti, Paolo, 2023. "Organized crime, violence and support for the state," Journal of Public Economics, Elsevier, vol. 228(C).
    15. Livio Ferrante & Stefania Fontana & Francesco Reito, 2021. "Mafia and bricks: unfair competition in local markets and policy interventions," Small Business Economics, Springer, vol. 56(4), pages 1461-1484, April.
    16. Pablo Slutzky & Stefan Zeume, 2024. "Organized Crime and Firms: Evidence from Antimafia Enforcement Actions," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 70(10), pages 6569-6596, October.
    17. Cheng, Maoyong & Li, Zhenjun & Kong, Dongmin, 2025. "Analysts' escape: The information cost of anti-organized crime," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 106(C).
    18. Li, Zhenjun & Cheng, Maoyong, 2024. "The impacts of anti-organized crime on asset prices: Evidence from China," Economic Systems, Elsevier, vol. 48(3).
    19. Alfano, Maria Rosaria & Cantabene, Claudia & de Iudicibus, Alessandro, 2024. "The effectiveness of a certification of legality. Evidence from Italian firms," MPRA Paper 120306, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    20. Giovanni Bernardo & Irene Brunetti & Mehmet Pinar & Thanasis Stengos, 2021. "Measuring the presence of organized crime across Italian provinces: a sensitivity analysis," European Journal of Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 51(1), pages 31-95, February.

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    JEL classification:

    • K40 - Law and Economics - - Legal Procedure, the Legal System, and Illegal Behavior - - - General
    • G20 - Financial Economics - - Financial Institutions and Services - - - General
    • O10 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economic Development - - - General

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:87:y:2026:i:c:s154461232502241x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/locate/frl .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.