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Organized Crime, Violence and Support for the State

Author

Listed:
  • Daniele, Gianmarco
  • Campedelli, Gian Maria
  • Martinangeli, Andrea
  • Pinotti, Paolo

Abstract

Citizens’ support is crucial to effectively combat organized crime. Contrary to prior studies that have identified a negative correlation between victimization and trust in the state, we find that exposinga representative sample of 6,000 individuals in Italy to journalistic images of organized crime-related violence increases trust towards institutions and state performance. We attribute this finding to a "rally around the flag" effect, rather than to the decrease in homicide rates occurring over the last decades – in fact, individuals wrongly believe that homicides have increased during such period. Updating beliefs on the real trend in violence does not appear to modify this relationship. Overall, these findings highlight how exposure to violence, especially when linked to organized groups, might strengthen state support.

Suggested Citation

  • Daniele, Gianmarco & Campedelli, Gian Maria & Martinangeli, Andrea & Pinotti, Paolo, 2023. "Organized Crime, Violence and Support for the State," CEPR Discussion Papers 18146, C.E.P.R. Discussion Papers.
    • Handle: RePEc:cpr:ceprdp:18146
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    JEL classification:

    • D70 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - General
    • D72 - Microeconomics - - Analysis of Collective Decision-Making - - - Political Processes: Rent-seeking, Lobbying, Elections, Legislatures, and Voting Behavior
    • H3 - Public Economics - - Fiscal Policies and Behavior of Economic Agents
    • O52 - Economic Development, Innovation, Technological Change, and Growth - - Economywide Country Studies - - - Europe

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