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Investing in a random start American option under competition

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  • Pereira, Paulo J.
  • Rodrigues, Artur

Abstract

In this paper we develop a model to determine the value of the opportunity to invest in a random start American real option. In contrast to a typical American option, the random start option only exists if an exogenous event occurs materializing the American option to invest. In addition, the effect of competition is also considered in the model. A higher risk of competition and a higher probability of the exogenous event promotes investment. Uncertainty has a non-monotonic effect on investment timing.

Suggested Citation

  • Pereira, Paulo J. & Rodrigues, Artur, 2019. "Investing in a random start American option under competition," Finance Research Letters, Elsevier, vol. 28(C), pages 388-397.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:finlet:v:28:y:2019:i:c:p:388-397
    DOI: 10.1016/j.frl.2018.06.013
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Manuel Rocha Armada & Lawrence Kryzanowski & Paulo Jorge Pereira, 2011. "Optimal Investment Decisions for Two Positioned Firms Competing in a Duopoly Market with Hidden Competitors," European Financial Management, European Financial Management Association, vol. 17(2), pages 305-330, March.
    2. Pereira, Paulo J. & Armada, Manuel Rocha, 2013. "Investment decisions under hidden competition," Economics Letters, Elsevier, vol. 121(2), pages 228-231.
    3. Avinash K. Dixit & Robert S. Pindyck, 1994. "Investment under Uncertainty," Economics Books, Princeton University Press, edition 1, number 5474.
    4. Robert McDonald & Daniel Siegel, 1986. "The Value of Waiting to Invest," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 101(4), pages 707-727.
    5. Lavrutich, Maria N. & Huisman, Kuno J.M. & Kort, Peter M., 2016. "Entry deterrence and hidden competition," Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, Elsevier, vol. 69(C), pages 409-435.
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    Cited by:

    1. Zaevski, Tsvetelin S., 2020. "Discounted perpetual game call options," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 131(C).

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    More about this item

    Keywords

    Random start options; Real options; Uncertainty; Competition;
    All these keywords.

    JEL classification:

    • G13 - Financial Economics - - General Financial Markets - - - Contingent Pricing; Futures Pricing
    • D81 - Microeconomics - - Information, Knowledge, and Uncertainty - - - Criteria for Decision-Making under Risk and Uncertainty

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