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Estimation of hourly global solar irradiation on tilted planes from horizontal one using artificial neural networks

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  • Notton, Gilles
  • Paoli, Christophe
  • Vasileva, Siyana
  • Nivet, Marie Laure
  • Canaletti, Jean-Louis
  • Cristofari, Christian

Abstract

Calculating global solar irradiation from global horizontal irradiation only is a difficult task, especially when the time step is small and the data are not averaged. We used an Artificial Neural Network (ANN) to realize this conversion. The ANN is optimized and tested on the basis of five years of solar data; the accuracy of the optimal configuration is around 6% for the RRMSE (relative root mean square error) and around 3.5% for the RMAE (relative mean absolute value) i.e. a better performance than the empirical correlations available in the literature.

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  • Notton, Gilles & Paoli, Christophe & Vasileva, Siyana & Nivet, Marie Laure & Canaletti, Jean-Louis & Cristofari, Christian, 2012. "Estimation of hourly global solar irradiation on tilted planes from horizontal one using artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 39(1), pages 166-179.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:39:y:2012:i:1:p:166-179
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2012.01.038
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    5. Beccali, M. & Bonomolo, M. & Ciulla, G. & Lo Brano, V., 2018. "Assessment of indoor illuminance and study on best photosensors' position for design and commissioning of Daylight Linked Control systems. A new method based on artificial neural networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 154(C), pages 466-476.
    6. Li, Danny H.W. & Lou, Siwei, 2018. "Review of solar irradiance and daylight illuminance modeling and sky classification," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 126(C), pages 445-453.
    7. Ludmil Stoyanov & Ivan Bachev & Zahari Zarkov & Vladimir Lazarov & Gilles Notton, 2021. "Multivariate Analysis of a Wind–PV-Based Water Pumping Hybrid System for Irrigation Purposes," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(11), pages 1-28, May.
    8. Shaddel, Mehdi & Javan, Dawood Seyed & Baghernia, Parisa, 2016. "Estimation of hourly global solar irradiation on tilted absorbers from horizontal one using Artificial Neural Network for case study of Mashhad," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 59-67.
    9. Hafez, A.Z. & Soliman, A. & El-Metwally, K.A. & Ismail, I.M., 2017. "Tilt and azimuth angles in solar energy applications – A review," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 77(C), pages 147-168.
    10. Li, Danny H.W. & Lou, Siwei & Lam, Joseph C. & Wu, Ronald H.T., 2016. "Determining solar irradiance on inclined planes from classified CIE (International Commission on Illumination) standard skies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 101(C), pages 462-470.
    11. Maria. C. Bueso & José Miguel Paredes-Parra & Antonio Mateo-Aroca & Angel Molina-García, 2020. "A Characterization of Metrics for Comparing Satellite-Based and Ground-Measured Global Horizontal Irradiance Data: A Principal Component Analysis Application," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(6), pages 1-18, March.
    12. Li, Honglian & He, Xi & Hu, Yao & Lv, Wen & Yang, Liu, 2024. "Research on the generation method of missing hourly solar radiation data based on multiple neural network algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 287(C).
    13. Mohammadi, Kasra & Shamshirband, Shahaboddin & Petković, Dalibor & Khorasanizadeh, Hossein, 2016. "Determining the most important variables for diffuse solar radiation prediction using adaptive neuro-fuzzy methodology; case study: City of Kerman, Iran," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 1570-1579.
    14. Notton, Gilles & Paoli, Christophe & Ivanova, Liliana & Vasileva, Siyana & Nivet, Marie Laure, 2013. "Neural network approach to estimate 10-min solar global irradiation values on tilted planes," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 50(C), pages 576-584.
    15. Jiaojiao Feng & Weizhen Wang & Jing Li, 2018. "An LM-BP Neural Network Approach to Estimate Monthly-Mean Daily Global Solar Radiation Using MODIS Atmospheric Products," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(12), pages 1-14, December.
    16. Shubham Gupta & Amit Kumar Singh & Sachin Mishra & Pradeep Vishnuram & Nagaraju Dharavat & Narayanamoorthi Rajamanickam & Ch. Naga Sai Kalyan & Kareem M. AboRas & Naveen Kumar Sharma & Mohit Bajaj, 2023. "Estimation of Solar Radiation with Consideration of Terrestrial Losses at a Selected Location—A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(13), pages 1-29, June.
    17. Dahmani, Kahina & Dizene, Rabah & Notton, Gilles & Paoli, Christophe & Voyant, Cyril & Nivet, Marie Laure, 2014. "Estimation of 5-min time-step data of tilted solar global irradiation using ANN (Artificial Neural Network) model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 70(C), pages 374-381.
    18. Reikard, Gordon & Haupt, Sue Ellen & Jensen, Tara, 2017. "Forecasting ground-level irradiance over short horizons: Time series, meteorological, and time-varying parameter models," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 112(C), pages 474-485.
    19. Lukač, Niko & Seme, Sebastijan & Žlaus, Danijel & Štumberger, Gorazd & Žalik, Borut, 2014. "Buildings roofs photovoltaic potential assessment based on LiDAR (Light Detection And Ranging) data," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 598-609.
    20. Li, Danny H.W. & Chau, Natalie T.C. & Wan, Kevin K.W., 2013. "Predicting daylight illuminance and solar irradiance on vertical surfaces based on classified standard skies," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 53(C), pages 252-258.

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