IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v281y2023ics0360544223016316.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

A baseline long term technoeconomic electricity supply model for highly regulated fuel importing countries prone to shortages: Case of Jordan

Author

Listed:
  • Saadeh, Mahmood Shihadeh
  • Dalala, Zakariya
  • Saadeh, Osama
  • Niet, Taco

Abstract

Jordan, like other fuel-importing countries, is highly susceptible to fuel shortages and price fluctuations due to global events. Political turmoil in the region has frequently disrupted Jordan's energy supply, including the recent cessation of natural gas imports from Egypt, which is examined in this study. To address these interruptions, Jordan signed a 15-year contract to import natural gas from the Leviathan gas field. Jordan has long term power purchase agreements with independent power producers. thus, creating a safe investment environment in the electricity production sector. In this research a long-term energy model was developed and implemented for Jordan with the Open-Source long-term energy modeling tool OSeMOSYS. The model is used to assess current policy and compare options moving forward. This study brings into focus the issues facing fuel importing countries prone to shortages. Contractual aspects were incorporated in the model and investigated. The need to diversify natural gas import contracts with relatively shorter durations was demonstrated. The impact of different fuel pricing projections was highlighted and needs to be considered when drawing up such contracts. It was also demonstrated that the current renewable energy outlook needs modification. potential of renewable energy needs added consideration from stakeholders and policy makers.

Suggested Citation

  • Saadeh, Mahmood Shihadeh & Dalala, Zakariya & Saadeh, Osama & Niet, Taco, 2023. "A baseline long term technoeconomic electricity supply model for highly regulated fuel importing countries prone to shortages: Case of Jordan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 281(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:281:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223016316
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2023.128237
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544223016316
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2023.128237?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Little, Douglas, 1990. "Pipeline Politics: America, TAPLINE, and the Arabs," Business History Review, Cambridge University Press, vol. 64(2), pages 255-285, July.
    2. Mr. Andrea Gamba, 2015. "New Energy Sources for Jordan: Macroeconomic Impact and Policy Considerations," IMF Working Papers 2015/115, International Monetary Fund.
    3. Gabriela Inchauste & David G. Victor, 2017. "The Political Economy of Energy Subsidy Reform," World Bank Publications - Books, The World Bank Group, number 26216, December.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. McCulloch, Neil & Natalini, Davide & Hossain, Naomi & Justino, Patricia, 2022. "An exploration of the association between fuel subsidies and fuel riots," World Development, Elsevier, vol. 157(C).
    2. Hosan, Shahadat & Rahman, Md Matiar & Karmaker, Shamal Chandra & Saha, Bidyut Baran, 2023. "Energy subsidies and energy technology innovation: Policies for polygeneration systems diffusion," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    3. Nils Ohlendorf & Michael Jakob & Jan Christoph Minx & Carsten Schröder & Jan Christoph Steckel, 2021. "Distributional Impacts of Carbon Pricing: A Meta-Analysis," Environmental & Resource Economics, Springer;European Association of Environmental and Resource Economists, vol. 78(1), pages 1-42, January.
    4. Neil McCulloch, 2017. "Energy subsidies, international aid, and the politics of reform," WIDER Working Paper Series wp-2017-174, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    5. Wheeler,Collette Mari & Baffes,John & Kabundi,Alain Ntumba & Kindberg-Hanlon,Gene & Nagle,Peter Stephen Oliver & Ohnsorge,Franziska Lieselotte, 2020. "Adding Fuel to the Fire : Cheap Oil during the COVID-19 Pandemic," Policy Research Working Paper Series 9320, The World Bank.
    6. Christian Elliott & Steven Bernstein & Matthew Hoffmann, 2022. "Credibility dilemmas under the Paris agreement: explaining fossil fuel subsidy reform references in INDCs," International Environmental Agreements: Politics, Law and Economics, Springer, vol. 22(4), pages 735-759, December.
    7. Ewald, Jens & Sterner, Thomas & Sterner, Erik, 2022. "Understanding the resistance to carbon taxes: Drivers and barriers among the general public and fuel-tax protesters," Resource and Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 70(C).
    8. Breisinger, Clemens & Mukashov, Askar & Raouf, Mariam & Wiebelt, Manfred, 2019. "Energy subsidy reform for growth and equity in Egypt: The approach matters," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 129(C), pages 661-671.
    9. Mohamed R. Gomaa & Hegazy Rezk & Ramadan J. Mustafa & Mujahed Al-Dhaifallah, 2019. "Evaluating the Environmental Impacts and Energy Performance of a Wind Farm System Utilizing the Life-Cycle Assessment Method: A Practical Case Study," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(17), pages 1-25, August.
    10. Calì, Massimiliano & Cantore, Nicola & Iacovone, Leonardo & Pereira-López, Mariana & Presidente, Giorgio, 2022. "Too much energy The perverse effect of low fuel prices on firms," Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, Elsevier, vol. 111(C).
    11. Nils Ohlendorf & Michael Jakob & Jan Christoph Minx & Carsten Schröder & Jan Christoph Steckel, 2018. "Distributional Impacts of Climate Mitigation Policies - a Meta-Analysis," Discussion Papers of DIW Berlin 1776, DIW Berlin, German Institute for Economic Research.
    12. Ahmad Alshwawra & Ahmad Almuhtady, 2020. "Impact of Regional Conflicts on Energy Security in Jordan," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(3), pages 45-50.
    13. McCulloch, Neil & Moerenhout, Tom & Yang, Joonseok, 2021. "Fuel subsidy reform and the social contract in Nigeria: A micro-economic analysis," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 156(C).
    14. Hamed, Tareq Abu & Bressler, Lindsey, 2019. "Energy security in Israel and Jordan: The role of renewable energy sources," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 135(C), pages 378-389.
    15. Neil McCulloch, 2017. "Energy subsidies, international aid, and the politics of reform," WIDER Working Paper Series 174, World Institute for Development Economic Research (UNU-WIDER).
    16. Georgeta Vidican Auktor & Markus Loewe, 2022. "Subsidy Reform and the Transformation of Social Contracts: The Cases of Egypt, Iran and Morocco," Social Sciences, MDPI, vol. 11(2), pages 1-22, February.
    17. Thomas Sterner & Richard T. Carson & E. Somanathan & Dale Whittington & Jorge Bonilla & Haileselassie et al. Medhin, 2020. "Funding Inclusive Green Transition through Greenhouse Gas Pricing," ifo DICE Report, ifo Institute - Leibniz Institute for Economic Research at the University of Munich, vol. 18(01), pages 03-08, April.
    18. Ahmadi Murjani, 2020. "Assessing the Energy Subsidy Reform in Indonesia through Different Scenarios," International Journal of Energy Economics and Policy, Econjournals, vol. 10(4), pages 122-134.
    19. Schaffitzel, Filip & Jakob, Michael & Soria, Rafael & Vogt-Schilb, Adrien & Ward, Hauke, 2020. "Can government transfers make energy subsidy reform socially acceptable? A case study on Ecuador," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 137(C).
    20. Rentschler, Jun & Kornejew, Martin, 2017. "Energy price variation and competitiveness: Firm level evidence from Indonesia," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 67(C), pages 242-254.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:281:y:2023:i:c:s0360544223016316. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.