IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/energy/v244y2022ipbs0360544222000986.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Industrial artificial intelligence based energy management system: Integrated framework for electricity load forecasting and fault prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Hu, Yusha
  • Li, Jigeng
  • Hong, Mengna
  • Ren, Jingzheng
  • Man, Yi

Abstract

Forecasting accuracy electricity load can help industrial enterprises optimise production scheduling based on peak and off-peak electricity prices. The electricity load forecasting results can be provided to an electricity system to improve electricity generation efficiency and minimize energy consumption by developing electricity generation plans in advance and by avoiding over or under the generation of electricity. However, because of the different informatization levels in different industries, few reliable intelligent electricity management systems are applied on the power supply side. Based on industrial big data and machine learning algorithms, this study proposes an integrated model to forecast short-term electricity load. The hybrid model based on the hybrid mode decomposition algorithms is proposed to decompose the total electricity load signal. To improve the generalisation ability of the forecasting model, a dynamic forecasting model is proposed based on the improved hybrid intelligent algorithm to forecast the short-term electricity load. The results show that the accuracy of the proposed dynamic integrated electricity load forecasting model is as high as 99%. The integrated framework could forecast abnormal electricity consumption in time and provide reliable evidence for production process scheduling.

Suggested Citation

  • Hu, Yusha & Li, Jigeng & Hong, Mengna & Ren, Jingzheng & Man, Yi, 2022. "Industrial artificial intelligence based energy management system: Integrated framework for electricity load forecasting and fault prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 244(PB).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:244:y:2022:i:pb:s0360544222000986
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2022.123195
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0360544222000986
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.energy.2022.123195?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Niu, Dongxiao & Ji, Zhengsen & Li, Wanying & Xu, Xiaomin & Liu, Da, 2021. "Research and application of a hybrid model for mid-term power demand forecasting based on secondary decomposition and interval optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 234(C).
    2. Kaytez, Fazil, 2020. "A hybrid approach based on autoregressive integrated moving average and least-square support vector machine for long-term forecasting of net electricity consumption," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    3. Kazemzadeh, Mohammad-Rasool & Amjadian, Ali & Amraee, Turaj, 2020. "A hybrid data mining driven algorithm for long term electric peak load and energy demand forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 204(C).
    4. Tavassoli-Hojati, Z. & Ghaderi, S.F. & Iranmanesh, H. & Hilber, P. & Shayesteh, E., 2020. "A self-partitioning local neuro fuzzy model for short-term load forecasting in smart grids," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 199(C).
    5. Talaat, M. & Farahat, M.A. & Mansour, Noura & Hatata, A.Y., 2020. "Load forecasting based on grasshopper optimization and a multilayer feed-forward neural network using regressive approach," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    6. Moreno, Sinvaldo Rodrigues & Mariani, Viviana Cocco & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos, 2021. "Hybrid multi-stage decomposition with parametric model applied to wind speed forecasting in Brazilian Northeast," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 164(C), pages 1508-1526.
    7. Ghasemi-Mobtaker, Hassan & Mostashari-Rad, Fatemeh & Saber, Zahra & Chau, Kwok-wing & Nabavi-Pelesaraei, Ashkan, 2020. "Application of photovoltaic system to modify energy use, environmental damages and cumulative exergy demand of two irrigation systems-A case study: Barley production of Iran," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 1316-1334.
    8. Hu, Yusha & Li, Jigeng & Hong, Mengna & Ren, Jingzheng & Lin, Ruojue & Liu, Yue & Liu, Mengru & Man, Yi, 2019. "Short term electric load forecasting model and its verification for process industrial enterprises based on hybrid GA-PSO-BPNN algorithm—A case study of papermaking process," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 170(C), pages 1215-1227.
    9. Qian, Zheng & Pei, Yan & Zareipour, Hamidreza & Chen, Niya, 2019. "A review and discussion of decomposition-based hybrid models for wind energy forecasting applications," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 235(C), pages 939-953.
    10. Cheng, Gong & Wang, Xinzhi & He, Yurong, 2021. "Remaining useful life and state of health prediction for lithium batteries based on empirical mode decomposition and a long and short memory neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 232(C).
    11. Niu, Xinsong & Wang, Jiyang, 2019. "A combined model based on data preprocessing strategy and multi-objective optimization algorithm for short-term wind speed forecasting," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 519-539.
    12. Tang, Xiaopeng & Liu, Kailong & Lu, Jingyi & Liu, Boyang & Wang, Xin & Gao, Furong, 2020. "Battery incremental capacity curve extraction by a two-dimensional Luenberger–Gaussian-moving-average filter," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 280(C).
    13. Ogliari, Emanuele & Guilizzoni, Manfredo & Giglio, Alessandro & Pretto, Silvia, 2021. "Wind power 24-h ahead forecast by an artificial neural network and an hybrid model: Comparison of the predictive performance," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 178(C), pages 1466-1474.
    14. Nabavi-Pelesaraei, Ashkan & Azadi, Hossein & Van Passel, Steven & Saber, Zahra & Hosseini-Fashami, Fatemeh & Mostashari-Rad, Fatemeh & Ghasemi-Mobtaker, Hassan, 2021. "Prospects of solar systems in production chain of sunflower oil using cold press method with concentrating energy and life cycle assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 223(C).
    15. Zhang, Tingting & Tang, Zhenpeng & Wu, Junchuan & Du, Xiaoxu & Chen, Kaijie, 2021. "Multi-step-ahead crude oil price forecasting based on two-layer decomposition technique and extreme learning machine optimized by the particle swarm optimization algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 229(C).
    16. Zhang, Xiaobo & Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Yuyang, 2019. "A hybrid short-term electricity price forecasting framework: Cuckoo search-based feature selection with singular spectrum analysis and SVM," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 81(C), pages 899-913.
    17. Liang, Tao & Zhao, Qing & Lv, Qingzhao & Sun, Hexu, 2021. "A novel wind speed prediction strategy based on Bi-LSTM, MOOFADA and transfer learning for centralized control centers," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 230(C).
    18. Zhang, Shuai & Chen, Yong & Xiao, Jiuhong & Zhang, Wenyu & Feng, Ruijun, 2021. "Hybrid wind speed forecasting model based on multivariate data secondary decomposition approach and deep learning algorithm with attention mechanism," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 174(C), pages 688-704.
    19. Li, Jinchao & Wu, Qianqian & Tian, Yu & Fan, Liguo, 2021. "Monthly Henry Hub natural gas spot prices forecasting using variational mode decomposition and deep belief network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 227(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Gao, Tian & Niu, Dongxiao & Ji, Zhengsen & Sun, Lijie, 2022. "Mid-term electricity demand forecasting using improved variational mode decomposition and extreme learning machine optimized by sparrow search algorithm," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 261(PB).
    2. Hu, Yusha & Man, Yi, 2022. "Two-stage energy scheduling optimization model for complex industrial process and its industrial verification," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 879-894.
    3. Hu, Yusha & Man, Yi, 2023. "Energy consumption and carbon emissions forecasting for industrial processes: Status, challenges and perspectives," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 182(C).
    4. Ghimire, Sujan & Nguyen-Huy, Thong & AL-Musaylh, Mohanad S. & Deo, Ravinesh C. & Casillas-Pérez, David & Salcedo-Sanz, Sancho, 2023. "A novel approach based on integration of convolutional neural networks and echo state network for daily electricity demand prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 275(C).
    5. Wang, Yudong & Hu, Junjie, 2023. "Two-stage energy management method of integrated energy system considering pre-transaction behavior of energy service provider and users," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 271(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Yang, Wendong & Sun, Shaolong & Hao, Yan & Wang, Shouyang, 2022. "A novel machine learning-based electricity price forecasting model based on optimal model selection strategy," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    2. Mohammad Mahdi Forootan & Iman Larki & Rahim Zahedi & Abolfazl Ahmadi, 2022. "Machine Learning and Deep Learning in Energy Systems: A Review," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(8), pages 1-49, April.
    3. Wang, Yun & Zou, Runmin & Liu, Fang & Zhang, Lingjun & Liu, Qianyi, 2021. "A review of wind speed and wind power forecasting with deep neural networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    4. Wang, Kang & Wang, Jianzhou & Zeng, Bo & Lu, Haiyan, 2022. "An integrated power load point-interval forecasting system based on information entropy and multi-objective optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 314(C).
    5. Shang, Zhihao & He, Zhaoshuang & Chen, Yao & Chen, Yanhua & Xu, MingLiang, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting system based on multivariate time series and multi-objective optimization," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(PC).
    6. Ma, Zhengjing & Mei, Gang, 2022. "A hybrid attention-based deep learning approach for wind power prediction," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 323(C).
    7. Wang, Jianzhou & Gao, Jialu & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "Electric load prediction based on a novel combined interval forecasting system," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 322(C).
    8. Huang, Yanmei & Hasan, Najmul & Deng, Changrui & Bao, Yukun, 2022. "Multivariate empirical mode decomposition based hybrid model for day-ahead peak load forecasting," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    9. Zhihao Shang & Quan Wen & Yanhua Chen & Bing Zhou & Mingliang Xu, 2022. "Wind Speed Forecasting Using Attention-Based Causal Convolutional Network and Wind Energy Conversion," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-23, April.
    10. Zhang, Guowei & Zhang, Yi & Wang, Hui & Liu, Da & Cheng, Runkun & Yang, Di, 2024. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on adaptive secondary decomposition and robust temporal convolutional network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 288(C).
    11. Li, Min & Yang, Yi & He, Zhaoshuang & Guo, Xinbo & Zhang, Ruisheng & Huang, Bingqing, 2023. "A wind speed forecasting model based on multi-objective algorithm and interpretability learning," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 269(C).
    12. Li, Ke & Shen, Ruifang & Wang, Zhenguo & Yan, Bowen & Yang, Qingshan & Zhou, Xuhong, 2023. "An efficient wind speed prediction method based on a deep neural network without future information leakage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 267(C).
    13. Wang, Jianzhou & Niu, Xinsong & Zhang, Lifang & Liu, Zhenkun & Wei, Danxiang, 2022. "The influence of international oil prices on the exchange rates of oil exporting countries: Based on the hybrid copula function," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    14. Ham, Jeonggyun & Shin, Yunchan & Cho, Honghyun, 2022. "Comparison of thermal performance between a surface and a volumetric absorption solar collector using water and Fe3O4 nanofluid," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PC).
    15. Hong, Ying-Yi & Pula, Rolando A., 2022. "Detection and classification of faults in photovoltaic arrays using a 3D convolutional neural network," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 246(C).
    16. Moreno, Sinvaldo Rodrigues & Seman, Laio Oriel & Stefenon, Stefano Frizzo & Coelho, Leandro dos Santos & Mariani, Viviana Cocco, 2024. "Enhancing wind speed forecasting through synergy of machine learning, singular spectral analysis, and variational mode decomposition," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 292(C).
    17. Liu, Ling & Wang, Jujie & Li, Jianping & Wei, Lu, 2023. "An online transfer learning model for wind turbine power prediction based on spatial feature construction and system-wide update," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 340(C).
    18. Pan, Xiaoxin & Wang, Long & Wang, Zhongju & Huang, Chao, 2022. "Short-term wind speed forecasting based on spatial-temporal graph transformer networks," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    19. Llera, Rocio & Vigil, Miguel & Díaz-Díaz, Sara & Martínez Huerta, Gemma Marta, 2022. "Prospective environmental and techno-economic assessment of steam production by means of heat pipes in the steel industry," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PD).
    20. Lv, Sheng-Xiang & Wang, Lin, 2022. "Deep learning combined wind speed forecasting with hybrid time series decomposition and multi-objective parameter optimization," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 311(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:244:y:2022:i:pb:s0360544222000986. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.journals.elsevier.com/energy .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.