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Evaluation of future scenarios for gas distribution networks under hypothesis of decreasing heat demand in urban zones

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  • Fesefeldt, M.
  • Capezzali, M.
  • Bozorg, M.
  • de Lapparent, M.

Abstract

The consumption of buildings for the production of heat is expected to decrease in Switzerland in the coming years, in particular following policies encouraging the refurbishment of buildings. This will notably have an impact on the natural gas network, in parallel with the penetration of electric-driven heat pumps. Through a detailed optimization scheme, the evolution of the natural gas (NG) distribution network is studied over a future period of forty years, i.e. up to 2050, on the territory of a large Swiss canton. By way of installing large shares of co-generation units, it is shown that the NG network does not lose its meshed structure, while continuing to play a central role in the production of heat and the generation of part of the additional electricity demand associated with the concomitant penetration of heat pumps. As a novel result, the developed optimization framework allows a detailed, geographically precise view of both the evolution of the NG network, as well as of the optimal location of selected technologies. The adoption of energy networks convergence in urban zones therefore can lead to relevant synergies, avoiding over-investments, increasing system resilience and fostering the use of efficient technologies.

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  • Fesefeldt, M. & Capezzali, M. & Bozorg, M. & de Lapparent, M., 2021. "Evaluation of future scenarios for gas distribution networks under hypothesis of decreasing heat demand in urban zones," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:231:y:2021:i:c:s0360544221011579
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2021.120909
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    1. Marten Fesefeldt & Massimiliano Capezzali & Mokhtar Bozorg & Riina Karjalainen, 2023. "Impact of Heat Pump and Cogeneration Integration on Power Distribution Grids Based on Transition Scenarios for Heating in Urban Areas," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 15(6), pages 1-15, March.

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