IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/appene/v251y2019ic38.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Natural gas as a bridge to sustainability: Infrastructure expansion regarding energy security and system transition

Author

Listed:
  • Gillessen, B.
  • Heinrichs, H.
  • Hake, J.-F.
  • Allelein, H.-J.

Abstract

Energy security and the transformation of energy systems towards a sustainable energy supply are two central challenges with respect to planning the expansion of gas infrastructure. Taking the gas transmission system in Germany as an example, this work examines how the transformation of energy systems affects energy security in the long term (up to the year 2050) and why this should be taken into account when planning the expansion of transmission networks in the short to medium term. To achieve this, we use energy system modeling to derive scenario based future gas demands and our optimization model GASOPT to solve derived load flow problems. The results show how gas can act as a bridging energy source in the transformation of energy systems from a fossil-based to a renewable energy supply, as it produces comparatively less climate-damaging emissions than coal and oil. However, the gas demand decreases in both the energy transition scenario Energiewende (−55,0% by 2050 compared to 2015) and the current measures scenario Reference (−72,1%), leading to an increase in natural-gas-related energy security. This is understood as an interaction between import dependency, security of supply, and affordability. Load flow analyses of the current grid design considering lacking imports or empty gas storages with combined full load operation of gas fired power plants demonstrate the technical feasibility of challenging grid situations in the long term. Further significant transmission grid expansions should therefore be avoided, with freed-up transmission and storage capacity instead being used for other gaseous energy sources such as hydrogen or other gases.

Suggested Citation

  • Gillessen, B. & Heinrichs, H. & Hake, J.-F. & Allelein, H.-J., 2019. "Natural gas as a bridge to sustainability: Infrastructure expansion regarding energy security and system transition," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 251(C), pages 1-1.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:251:y:2019:i:c:38
    DOI: 10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113377
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0306261919310517
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only
    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.apenergy.2019.113377?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Lu, Weiwei & Su, Meirong & Fath, Brian D. & Zhang, Mingqi & Hao, Yan, 2016. "A systematic method of evaluation of the Chinese natural gas supply security," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 165(C), pages 858-867.
    2. Crow, Daniel J.G. & Giarola, Sara & Hawkes, Adam D., 2018. "A dynamic model of global natural gas supply," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 218(C), pages 452-469.
    3. Chertkov, Michael & Backhaus, Scott & Lebedev, Vladimir, 2015. "Cascading of fluctuations in interdependent energy infrastructures: Gas-grid coupling," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 160(C), pages 541-551.
    4. Chi Kong Chyong & Pierre No?l & David M. Reiner, 2010. "The Economics of the Nord Stream Pipeline System," Working Papers EPRG 1026, Energy Policy Research Group, Cambridge Judge Business School, University of Cambridge.
    5. Pambour, Kwabena Addo & Cakir Erdener, Burcin & Bolado-Lavin, Ricardo & Dijkema, Gerard P.J., 2017. "SAInt – A novel quasi-dynamic model for assessing security of supply in coupled gas and electricity transmission networks," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 203(C), pages 829-857.
    6. Hauser, Philipp & Heinrichs, Heidi U. & Gillessen, Bastian & Müller, Theresa, 2018. "Implications of diversification strategies in the European natural gas market for the German energy system," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 151(C), pages 442-454.
    7. Li, Guoqing & Zhang, Rufeng & Jiang, Tao & Chen, Houhe & Bai, Linquan & Cui, Hantao & Li, Xiaojing, 2017. "Optimal dispatch strategy for integrated energy systems with CCHP and wind power," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 408-419.
    8. Wang, Qiang & Zhou, Kan, 2017. "A framework for evaluating global national energy security," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 188(C), pages 19-31.
    9. Feijoo, Felipe & Iyer, Gokul C. & Avraam, Charalampos & Siddiqui, Sauleh A. & Clarke, Leon E. & Sankaranarayanan, Sriram & Binsted, Matthew T. & Patel, Pralit L. & Prates, Nathalia C. & Torres-Alfaro,, 2018. "The future of natural gas infrastructure development in the United states," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 228(C), pages 149-166.
    10. Sayed, Ahmed R. & Wang, Cheng & Bi, Tianshu, 2019. "Resilient operational strategies for power systems considering the interactions with natural gas systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 241(C), pages 548-566.
    11. Austvik, Ole Gunnar, 2016. "The Energy Union and security-of-gas supply," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 96(C), pages 372-382.
    12. Heinrichs, Heidi Ursula & Markewitz, Peter, 2017. "Long-term impacts of a coal phase-out in Germany as part of a greenhouse gas mitigation strategy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 192(C), pages 234-246.
    13. Li, Guoqing & Zhang, Rufeng & Jiang, Tao & Chen, Houhe & Bai, Linquan & Li, Xiaojing, 2017. "Security-constrained bi-level economic dispatch model for integrated natural gas and electricity systems considering wind power and power-to-gas process," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 194(C), pages 696-704.
    14. Deane, J.P. & Ó Ciaráin, M. & Ó Gallachóir, B.P., 2017. "An integrated gas and electricity model of the EU energy system to examine supply interruptions," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C), pages 479-490.
    15. Westphal, Kirsten, 2014. "Institutional change in European natural gas markets and implications for energy security: Lessons from the German case," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 35-43.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Citations

    Citations are extracted by the CitEc Project, subscribe to its RSS feed for this item.
    as


    Cited by:

    1. Huang, Lihua & Zhao, Wei, 2022. "The impact of green trade and green growth on natural resources," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    2. Lim, Juin Yau & How, Bing Shen & Rhee, Gahee & Hwangbo, Soonho & Yoo, Chang Kyoo, 2020. "Transitioning of localized renewable energy system towards sustainable hydrogen development planning: P-graph approach," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 263(C).
    3. Sigit Perdana & Marc Vielle & Maxime Schenckery, 2022. "European Economic impacts of cutting energy imports from Russia : A computable general equilibrium analysis," Post-Print hal-03887431, HAL.
    4. Xiaolei Sun & Jun Hao & Jianping Li, 2022. "Multi-objective optimization of crude oil-supply portfolio based on interval prediction data," Annals of Operations Research, Springer, vol. 309(2), pages 611-639, February.
    5. Tsapekos, Panagiotis & Lovato, Giovanna & Domingues Rodrigues, José Alberto & Alvarado-Morales, Merlin, 2024. "Amendments to model frameworks to optimize the anaerobic digestion and support the green transition," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 197(C).
    6. Zhang, Jinrui & Meerman, Hans & Benders, René & Faaij, André, 2022. "Potential role of natural gas infrastructure in China to supply low-carbon gases during 2020–2050," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 306(PA).
    7. Xiaolin Wang & Xiangyi Lu & Na Zhou & Jianzhong Xiao & Jun Chen, 2020. "Does Environmental Regulation Affect Natural Gas Consumption? Evidence from China with Spatial Insights," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(8), pages 1-18, April.
    8. He, Youwei & Wang, Ning & Tang, Yong & Tang, Liangrui & He, Zhiyue & Rui, Zhenhua, 2024. "Formation-water evaporation and salt precipitation mechanism in porous media under movable water conditions in underground gas storage," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 286(C).
    9. Zhang, Jiahao & Chen, Xiaodan & Wei, Yu & Bai, Lan, 2023. "Does the connectedness among fossil energy returns matter for renewable energy stock returns? Fresh insights from the Cross-Quantilogram analysis," International Review of Financial Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 88(C).
    10. De Rosa, Mattia & Gainsford, Kenneth & Pallonetto, Fabiano & Finn, Donal P., 2022. "Diversification, concentration and renewability of the energy supply in the European Union," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 253(C).
    11. Fesefeldt, M. & Capezzali, M. & Bozorg, M. & de Lapparent, M., 2021. "Evaluation of future scenarios for gas distribution networks under hypothesis of decreasing heat demand in urban zones," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 231(C).
    12. Liu, Hao & Su, Guandong & Okere, Chinedu J. & Li, Guozhang & Wang, Xiangchun & Cai, Yuzhe & Wu, Tong & Zheng, Lihui, 2022. "Working fluid-induced formation damage evaluation for commingled production of multi-layer natural gas reservoirs with flow rate method," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PB).
    13. Shirazi, Masoud & Fuinhas, José Alberto, 2023. "Portfolio decisions of primary energy sources and economic complexity: The world's large energy user evidence," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C), pages 347-361.
    14. Siahvashi, Arman & Al Ghafri, Saif Z.S. & Yang, Xiaoxian & Rowland, Darren & May, Eric F., 2021. "Avoiding costly LNG plant freeze-out-induced shutdowns: Measurement and modelling for neopentane solubility at LNG conditions," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 217(C).
    15. Esra Ilbahar & Cengiz Kahraman & Selcuk Cebi, 2023. "Evaluation of sustainable energy planning scenarios with a new approach based on FCM, WASPAS and impact effort matrix," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 25(10), pages 11931-11955, October.
    16. Yang, Weixin & Pan, Lingying & Ding, Qinyi, 2023. "Dynamic analysis of natural gas substitution for crude oil: Scenario simulation and quantitative evaluation," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 282(C).
    17. Jaeseok Yun & Sungyeon Kim & Jinmin Kim, 2024. "Digital Twin Technology in the Gas Industry: A Comparative Simulation Study," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(14), pages 1-29, July.
    18. Yin, Yuwei & Lam, Jasmine Siu Lee, 2022. "Impacts of energy transition on Liquefied Natural Gas shipping: A case study of China and its strategies," Transport Policy, Elsevier, vol. 115(C), pages 262-274.
    19. Yuan, Jiahang & Wang, Li & Li, Yating & Wang, Yuwei & Ma, Tao & Luo, Xinggang, 2022. "Set pair prediction for Chinese natural gas energy security based on higher-order Markov chain with risk attitude," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 77(C).
    20. Kumar, Sourabh, 2023. "Evaluation and analysis of India's energy security: A policy perspective," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 278(PB).
    21. Xiaohang Ren & Cheng Cheng & Zhen Wang & Cheng Yan, 2021. "Spillover and dynamic effects of energy transition and economic growth on carbon dioxide emissions for the European Union: A dynamic spatial panel model," Sustainable Development, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 29(1), pages 228-242, January.
    22. Yücenur, G. Nilay & Ipekçi, Ahmet, 2021. "SWARA/WASPAS methods for a marine current energy plant location selection problem," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 163(C), pages 1287-1298.
    23. Kai Schulze & Mile Mišić & Nikola Radojičić & Berkin Serin, 2024. "Evaluating Partners for Renewable Energy Trading: A Multidimensional Framework and Tool," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 16(9), pages 1-22, April.
    24. Dong, Xueqin & Dong, Dongdong & Yu, Qing, 2024. "Impact of oil, gold, and energy prices on resources footprint: Evaluating the role of digital governance and financial development," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 92(C).

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Devine, Mel T. & Russo, Marianna, 2019. "Liquefied natural gas and gas storage valuation: Lessons from the integrated Irish and UK markets," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 238(C), pages 1389-1406.
    2. Wang, Chong & Ju, Ping & Wu, Feng & Lei, Shunbo & Pan, Xueping, 2021. "Best response-based individually look-ahead scheduling for natural gas and power systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 304(C).
    3. Ravnik, J. & Hriberšek, M., 2019. "A method for natural gas forecasting and preliminary allocation based on unique standard natural gas consumption profiles," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 180(C), pages 149-162.
    4. Philipp Hauser & Sina Heidari & Christoph Weber & Dominik Möst, 2019. "Does Increasing Natural Gas Demand in the Power Sector Pose a Threat of Congestion to the German Gas Grid? A Model-Coupling Approach," Energies, MDPI, vol. 12(11), pages 1-22, June.
    5. Gong, Chengzhu & Gong, Nianjiao & Qi, Rui & Yu, Shiwei, 2020. "Assessment of natural gas supply security in Asia Pacific: Composite indicators with compromise Benefit-of-the-Doubt weights," Resources Policy, Elsevier, vol. 67(C).
    6. Wang, Zekai & Ding, Tao & Jia, Wenhao & Huang, Can & Mu, Chenggang & Qu, Ming & Shahidehpour, Mohammad & Yang, Yongheng & Blaabjerg, Frede & Li, Li & Wang, Kang & Chi, Fangde, 2022. "Multi-stage stochastic programming for resilient integrated electricity and natural gas distribution systems against typhoon natural disaster attacks," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 159(C).
    7. Olmez Turan, Merve & Flamand, Tulay, 2023. "Optimizing investment and transportation decisions for the European natural gas supply chain," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 337(C).
    8. Devine, Mel & Russo, Marianna, 2018. "LNG and gas storage optimisation and valuation: lessons from the integrated Irish and UK markets," Papers WP606, Economic and Social Research Institute (ESRI).
    9. Jiang, Tao & Zhang, Rufeng & Li, Xue & Chen, Houhe & Li, Guoqing, 2021. "Integrated energy system security region: Concepts, methods, and implementations," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    10. Yassine Rqiq & Jesus Beyza & Jose M. Yusta & Ricardo Bolado-Lavin, 2020. "Assessing the Impact of Investments in Cross-Border Pipelines on the Security of Gas Supply in the EU," Energies, MDPI, vol. 13(11), pages 1-23, June.
    11. Raheli, Enrica & Wu, Qiuwei & Zhang, Menglin & Wen, Changyun, 2021. "Optimal coordinated operation of integrated natural gas and electric power systems: A review of modeling and solution methods," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 145(C).
    12. Qiao, Zheng & Guo, Qinglai & Sun, Hongbin & Sheng, Tongtian, 2018. "Multi-time period optimized configuration and scheduling of gas storage in gas-fired power plants," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 226(C), pages 924-934.
    13. Kwabena Addo Pambour & Rostand Tresor Sopgwi & Bri-Mathias Hodge & Carlo Brancucci, 2018. "The Value of Day-Ahead Coordination of Power and Natural Gas Network Operations," Energies, MDPI, vol. 11(7), pages 1-23, June.
    14. Chen, Yuwei & Guo, Qinglai & Sun, Hongbin & Pan, Zhaoguang & Chen, Binbin, 2021. "Generalized phasor modeling of dynamic gas flow for integrated electricity-gas dispatch," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 283(C).
    15. Aunedi, Marko & Pantaleo, Antonio Marco & Kuriyan, Kamal & Strbac, Goran & Shah, Nilay, 2020. "Modelling of national and local interactions between heat and electricity networks in low-carbon energy systems," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 276(C).
    16. Xu, Bin & Lin, Boqiang, 2018. "Do we really understand the development of China's new energy industry?," Energy Economics, Elsevier, vol. 74(C), pages 733-745.
    17. Xuejie Li & Yuan Xue & Yuxing Li & Qingshan Feng, 2022. "An Optimization Method for a Compressor Standby Scheme Based on Reliability Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(21), pages 1-16, November.
    18. Qu, Kaiping & Shi, Shouyuan & Yu, Tao & Wang, Wenrui, 2019. "A convex decentralized optimization for environmental-economic power and gas system considering diversified emission control," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 240(C), pages 630-645.
    19. Ahmed I. Omar & Ziad M. Ali & Mostafa Al-Gabalawy & Shady H. E. Abdel Aleem & Mujahed Al-Dhaifallah, 2020. "Multi-Objective Environmental Economic Dispatch of an Electricity System Considering Integrated Natural Gas Units and Variable Renewable Energy Sources," Mathematics, MDPI, vol. 8(7), pages 1-37, July.
    20. Brown, Maxwell & Siddiqui, Sauleh & Avraam, Charalampos & Bistline, John & Decarolis, Joseph & Eshraghi, Hadi & Giarola, Sara & Hansen, Matthew & Johnston, Peter & Khanal, Saroj & Molar-Cruz, Anahi, 2021. "North American energy system responses to natural gas price shocks," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 149(C).

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:appene:v:251:y:2019:i:c:38. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Catherine Liu (email available below). General contact details of provider: http://www.elsevier.com/wps/find/journaldescription.cws_home/405891/description#description .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.