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Balancing future variable wind and solar power production in Central-West Europe with Norwegian hydropower

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  • Graabak, I.
  • Korpås, M.
  • Jaehnert, S.
  • Belsnes, M.

Abstract

Norwegian hydropower has an excellent potential to balance power production in a future Central-West European power system with large shares of variable wind and solar resources. The assessment of the realistic potential for Norwegian hydropower to deliver flexibility is based on two pillars, adequate hydropower modelling and the sufficient geographical area covered in the model. Analyses are done with state-of-the-art models including a detailed description of cascaded water-courses with more than thousand reservoirs. Interoperability between hydropower and renewable energy sources is ensured as the entire European electricity generation from renewables with high geographic and temporal resolution is included in the study. To properly account for the full uncertainty of weather variables, many historic years of climate data are applied. The results show that without more flexibility in generation or demand, power prices become very volatile and show expedient periods with capacity deficit and curtailment of demand. Prices vary significantly both from hour-to-hour and from year-to-year. Increases in flexible hydropower provide large benefits to the system: significantly decreasing peak prices and reducing the involuntary shedding of demand. As short-term effects become increasingly important due to large-scale integration of renewable energy sources the correct modelling of flexible hydropower is highly important.

Suggested Citation

  • Graabak, I. & Korpås, M. & Jaehnert, S. & Belsnes, M., 2019. "Balancing future variable wind and solar power production in Central-West Europe with Norwegian hydropower," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 168(C), pages 870-882.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:energy:v:168:y:2019:i:c:p:870-882
    DOI: 10.1016/j.energy.2018.11.068
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    7. Haddeland, I. & Hole, J. & Holmqvist, E. & Koestler, V. & Sidelnikova, M. & Veie, C.A. & Wold, M., 2022. "Effects of climate on renewable energy sources and electricity supply in Norway," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 196(C), pages 625-637.
    8. Madhusudhan Pandey & Dietmar Winkler & Kaspar Vereide & Roshan Sharma & Bernt Lie, 2022. "Mechanistic Model of an Air Cushion Surge Tank for Hydro Power Plants," Energies, MDPI, vol. 15(8), pages 1-15, April.
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    10. Federica Cucchiella & Alessia Condemi & Marianna Rotilio & Valeria Annibaldi, 2021. "Energy Transitions in Western European Countries: Regulation Comparative Analysis," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(13), pages 1-23, July.
    11. Hunt, Julian David & Nascimento, Andreas & Caten, Carla Schwengber ten & Tomé, Fernanda Munari Caputo & Schneider, Paulo Smith & Thomazoni, André Luis Ribeiro & Castro, Nivalde José de & Brandão, Robe, 2022. "Energy crisis in Brazil: Impact of hydropower reservoir level on the river flow," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 239(PA).
    12. Dewangan, Chaman Lal & Singh, S.N. & Chakrabarti, S., 2020. "Combining forecasts of day-ahead solar power," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 202(C).
    13. Jouttijärvi, Sami & Lobaccaro, Gabriele & Kamppinen, Aleksi & Miettunen, Kati, 2022. "Benefits of bifacial solar cells combined with low voltage power grids at high latitudes," Renewable and Sustainable Energy Reviews, Elsevier, vol. 161(C).
    14. Dimanchev, Emil G. & Hodge, Joshua L. & Parsons, John E., 2021. "The role of hydropower reservoirs in deep decarbonization policy," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 155(C).
    15. Daneshvar, Mohammadreza & Mohammadi-Ivatloo, Behnam & Zare, Kazem & Asadi, Somayeh, 2020. "Two-stage stochastic programming model for optimal scheduling of the wind-thermal-hydropower-pumped storage system considering the flexibility assessment," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 193(C).
    16. Madhusudhan Pandey & Dietmar Winkler & Roshan Sharma & Bernt Lie, 2021. "Using MPC to Balance Intermittent Wind and Solar Power with Hydro Power in Microgrids," Energies, MDPI, vol. 14(4), pages 1-28, February.
    17. Seljom, Pernille & Rosenberg, Eva & Schäffer, Linn Emelie & Fodstad, Marte, 2020. "Bidirectional linkage between a long-term energy system and a short-term power market model," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 198(C).
    18. Schillinger, Moritz & Weigt, Hannes, 2019. "Bidding into balancing markets in a hydro-dominated electricity system," Working papers 2019/13, Faculty of Business and Economics - University of Basel.

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