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Methodology to estimate the output of a dual solar-wind renewable energy system in Japan

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  • Esteban, Miguel
  • Zhang, Qi
  • Utama, Agya
  • Tezuka, Tetsuo
  • Ishihara, Keiichi N.

Abstract

The potentially damaging effects of climate change make it imperative to develop zero-carbon energy systems and societies based on renewable energy sources that do not negatively affect the environment. However, these systems are often criticized for their intermittency, and the present paper proposes a method to analyze the true minimum capacity factor that can be expected from such a system based on a historical hourly estimation of the electricity produced by a given solar-wind generating mix. A simulation was carried out to show how much energy could be produced for a sample future group of scenarios encompassing a variety of solar and wind mixes, and the results show that, with a 1:2 mix of solar to wind energy, the system will always operate at least at 10% capacity from 10:00 to 16:00, as calculated using the meteorological conditions of the year 2001. This study also analyzes the land requirements necessary to implement such a solar-wind energy system, highlighting the vast areas that would be necessary to be covered with wind turbines and solar panels if such a system were to supply the majority of the electricity demand in Japan.

Suggested Citation

  • Esteban, Miguel & Zhang, Qi & Utama, Agya & Tezuka, Tetsuo & Ishihara, Keiichi N., 2010. "Methodology to estimate the output of a dual solar-wind renewable energy system in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 38(12), pages 7793-7802, December.
    • Handle: RePEc:eee:enepol:v:38:y:2010:i:12:p:7793-7802
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    References listed on IDEAS

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    1. Esteban, Miguel & Zhang, Qi & Utama, Agya, 2012. "Estimation of the energy storage requirement of a future 100% renewable energy system in Japan," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 47(C), pages 22-31.
    2. Esteban, Miguel & Portugal-Pereira, Joana & Mclellan, Benjamin C. & Bricker, Jeremy & Farzaneh, Hooman & Djalilova, Nigora & Ishihara, Keiichi N. & Takagi, Hiroshi & Roeber, Volker, 2018. "100% renewable energy system in Japan: Smoothening and ancillary services," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 224(C), pages 698-707.
    3. Bricker, Jeremy D. & Esteban, Miguel & Takagi, Hiroshi & Roeber, Volker, 2017. "Economic feasibility of tidal stream and wave power in post-Fukushima Japan," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 114(PA), pages 32-45.
    4. Esteban, Miguel & Leary, David, 2012. "Current developments and future prospects of offshore wind and ocean energy," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 90(1), pages 128-136.
    5. Esteban, Miguel & Portugal-Pereira, Joana, 2014. "Post-disaster resilience of a 100% renewable energy system in Japan," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 756-764.
    6. Knuepfer, K. & Rogalski, N. & Knuepfer, A. & Esteban, M. & Shibayama, T., 2022. "A reliable energy system for Japan with merit order dispatch, high variable renewable share and no nuclear power," Applied Energy, Elsevier, vol. 328(C).
    7. Fragaki, Aikaterini & Markvart, Tom & Laskos, Georgios, 2019. "All UK electricity supplied by wind and photovoltaics – The 30–30 rule," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 169(C), pages 228-237.
    8. Esteban, Miguel & Leary, David & Zhang, Qi & Utama, Agya & Tezuka, Tetsuo & Ishihara, Keiichi N., 2011. "Job retention in the British offshore sector through greening of the North Sea energy industry," Energy Policy, Elsevier, vol. 39(3), pages 1543-1551, March.
    9. Acuña, Luceny Guzmán & Padilla, Ricardo Vasquez & Mercado, Alcides Santander, 2017. "Measuring reliability of hybrid photovoltaic-wind energy systems: A new indicator," Renewable Energy, Elsevier, vol. 106(C), pages 68-77.

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    Renewables Wind Solar;

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