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Bootstrap refinements for QML estimators of the GARCH(1,1) parameters

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  • Corradi, Valentina
  • Iglesias, Emma M.

Abstract

This paper reconsiders a block bootstrap procedure for Quasi Maximum Likelihood estimation of GARCH models, based on the resampling of the likelihood function, as proposed by Gonçalves and White [2004. Maximum likelihood and the bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models. Journal of Econometrics 119, 199-219]. First, we provide necessary conditions and sufficient conditions, in terms of moments of the innovation process, for the existence of the Edgeworth expansion of the GARCH(1,1) estimator, up to the k-th term. Second, we provide sufficient conditions for higher order refinements for equally tailed and symmetric test statistics. In particular, the bootstrap estimator based on resampling the likelihood has the same higher order improvements in terms of error in the rejection probabilities as those in Andrews [2002. Higher-order improvements of a computationally attractive k-step bootstrap for extremum estimators. Econometrica 70, 119-162].

Suggested Citation

  • Corradi, Valentina & Iglesias, Emma M., 2008. "Bootstrap refinements for QML estimators of the GARCH(1,1) parameters," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 144(2), pages 500-510, June.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:econom:v:144:y:2008:i:2:p:500-510
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    1. Joel L. Horowitz, 2003. "Bootstrap Methods for Markov Processes," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 71(4), pages 1049-1082, July.
    2. Ling, Shiqing & McAleer, Michael, 2003. "Asymptotic Theory For A Vector Arma-Garch Model," Econometric Theory, Cambridge University Press, vol. 19(02), pages 280-310, April.
    3. Donald W. K. Andrews, 2002. "Higher-Order Improvements of a Computationally Attractive "k"-Step Bootstrap for Extremum Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 70(1), pages 119-162, January.
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    5. Goncalves, Silvia & Kilian, Lutz, 2004. "Bootstrapping autoregressions with conditional heteroskedasticity of unknown form," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 123(1), pages 89-120, November.
    6. Goncalves, Silvia & White, Halbert, 2004. "Maximum likelihood and the bootstrap for nonlinear dynamic models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 119(1), pages 199-219, March.
    7. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    8. Hall, Peter & Horowitz, Joel L, 1996. "Bootstrap Critical Values for Tests Based on Generalized-Method-of-Moments Estimators," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 64(4), pages 891-916, July.
    9. Pascual, Lorenzo & Romo, Juan & Ruiz, Esther, 2006. "Bootstrap prediction for returns and volatilities in GARCH models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 50(9), pages 2293-2312, May.
    10. Hidalgo, Javier & Zaffaroni, Paolo, 2007. "A goodness-of-fit test for ARCH([infinity]) models," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 141(2), pages 835-875, December.
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    1. repec:bpj:jecome:v:7:y:2018:i:1:p:38:n:2 is not listed on IDEAS
    2. Stelios Arvanitis & Antonis Demos, "undated". "A Class of Indirect Inference Estimators: Higher Order Asymptotics and Approximate Bias Correction (Revised)," DEOS Working Papers 1411, Athens University of Economics and Business, revised 23 Sep 2014.
    3. Arvanitis Stelios & Demos Antonis, 2018. "On the Validity of Edgeworth Expansions and Moment Approximations for Three Indirect Inference Estimators," Journal of Econometric Methods, De Gruyter, vol. 7(1), pages 1-38, January.
    4. Gloria Gonzalez-Rivera & Joao Henrique Mazzeu & Esther Ruiz & Helena Veiga, 2017. "A Bootstrap Approach for Generalized Autocontour Testing. Implications for VIX Forecast Densities," Working Papers 201709, University of California at Riverside, Department of Economics.
    5. Stelios Arvanitis & Antonis Demos, "undated". "On the Validity of Edgeworth Expansions and Moment Approximations for Three Indirect Estimators (Extended Revised Appendix)," DEOS Working Papers 1330, Athens University of Economics and Business, revised 28 Jun 2013.
    6. Fresoli, Diego E. & Ruiz, Esther, 2016. "The uncertainty of conditional returns, volatilities and correlations in DCC models," Computational Statistics & Data Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 100(C), pages 170-185.
    7. Corradi, Valentina & Fernandez, Andres & Swanson, Norman R., 2009. "Information in the Revision Process of Real-Time Datasets," Journal of Business & Economic Statistics, American Statistical Association, vol. 27(4), pages 455-467.
    8. Christian M. Dahl & Emma M. Iglesias, 2008. "The limiting properties of the QMLE in a general class of asymmetric volatility models," CREATES Research Papers 2008-38, Department of Economics and Business Economics, Aarhus University.
    9. Peter Malec, 2016. "A Semiparametric Intraday GARCH Model," Cambridge Working Papers in Economics 1633, Faculty of Economics, University of Cambridge.
    10. Antonis Demos & Stelios Arvanitis, 2012. "Stochastic Expansions and Moment Approximations for Three Indirect Estimators Revised (Extended Appendix)," DEOS Working Papers 1215, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    11. Antonis Demos & Stelios Arvanitis, 2010. "A New Class of Indirect Estimators and Bias Correction," DEOS Working Papers 1023, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    12. Antonis Demos & Dimitra Kyriakopoulou, 2018. "Finite Sample Theory and Bias Correction of Maximum Likelihood Estimators in the EGARCH Model," DEOS Working Papers 1802, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    13. Moon, Seongman & Velasco, Carlos, 2013. "Tests for m-dependence based on sample splitting methods," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 173(2), pages 143-159.
    14. Shimizu Kenichi, 2013. "The bootstrap does not alwayswork for heteroscedasticmodels," Statistics & Risk Modeling, De Gruyter, vol. 30(3), pages 189-204, August.
    15. Gonçalves Mazzeu, Joao Henrique & González-Rivera, Gloria & Ruiz, Esther & Veiga, Helena, 2016. "A Bootstrap Approach for Generalized Autocontour Testing," DES - Working Papers. Statistics and Econometrics. WS 23457, Universidad Carlos III de Madrid. Departamento de Estadística.
    16. Stelios Arvanitis & Antonis Demos, 2012. "Valid Locally Uniform Edgeworth Expansions Under Weak Dependence and Sequences of Smooth Transformations," DEOS Working Papers 1229, Athens University of Economics and Business, revised 24 Aug 2012.
    17. Antonis Demos & Dimitra Kyriakopoulou, 2010. "Bias Correction of ML and QML Estimators in the EGARCH(1,1) Model," DEOS Working Papers 1108, Athens University of Economics and Business.
    18. repec:aue:wpaper:1214 is not listed on IDEAS

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