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Assessing desertification risk using system stability condition analysis

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  • Ibáñez, Javier
  • Valderrama, Jaime Martínez
  • Puigdefábregas, Juan

Abstract

This paper describes a procedure for evaluating the desertification risk in threatened areas. The procedure is based on an eight-equation dynamic model of a generic human–resource system that can be applied to different desertification syndromes. For each application, interest focuses on finding all the possible long-term final states of the system and on defining the conditions that mark out sustainability and long-term desertification by means of unambiguous specific parameter relations. The procedure is applied to three typified cases in Spain: (A) rainfed crops in areas with high soil erosion risk; (B) irrigated intensive agricultural systems; and (C) commercial rangelands. Results show that, in case A, high profit scenarios are responsible for the final extension of desertification but do not determine the specific threshold between sustainability and desertification. They do, however, in cases B and C.

Suggested Citation

  • Ibáñez, Javier & Valderrama, Jaime Martínez & Puigdefábregas, Juan, 2008. "Assessing desertification risk using system stability condition analysis," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 213(2), pages 180-190.
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:ecomod:v:213:y:2008:i:2:p:180-190
    DOI: 10.1016/j.ecolmodel.2007.11.017
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    1. Ibáñez, Javier & Martínez, Jaime & Schnabel, Susanne, 2007. "Desertification due to overgrazing in a dynamic commercial livestock–grass–soil system," Ecological Modelling, Elsevier, vol. 205(3), pages 277-288.
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    3. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Andrea Colantoni & Enrico Maria Mosconi & Stefano Poponi & Simona Fortunati & Luca Salvati & Filippo Gambella, 2020. "From Historical Narratives to Circular Economy: De-Complexifying the “Desertification” Debate," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(15), pages 1-18, July.
    4. Rares Halbac-Cotoara-Zamfir & Daniela Smiraglia & Giovanni Quaranta & Rosanna Salvia & Luca Salvati & Antonio Giménez-Morera, 2020. "Land Degradation and Mitigation Policies in the Mediterranean Region: A Brief Commentary," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(20), pages 1-17, October.
    5. Letizia Pace & Vito Imbrenda & Maria Lanfredi & Pavel Cudlín & Tiziana Simoniello & Luca Salvati & Rosa Coluzzi, 2023. "Delineating the Intrinsic, Long-Term Path of Land Degradation: A Spatially Explicit Transition Matrix for Italy, 1960–2010," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 20(3), pages 1-18, January.
    6. Yan Xu & Zhaoyang Cai & Kaige Wang & Yuwei Zhang & Fengrong Zhang, 2022. "Evaluation for Appropriate Tillage of Sandy Land in Arid Sandy Area Based on Limitation Factor Exclusion Method," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(6), pages 1-12, May.
    7. Jiuyi Li, 2022. "An Assessment of Ecological Protection Importance Based on Ecosystems Services and Vulnerabilities in Tibet, China," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 14(19), pages 1-16, October.
    8. Luca Salvati & Marco Zitti & Margherita Carlucci, 2014. "Territorial Systems, Regional Disparities and Sustainability: Economic Structure and Soil Degradation in Italy," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 6(5), pages 1-19, May.
    9. Jaime Martínez-Valderrama & Javier Ibáñez Puerta, 2023. "System Dynamics Tools to Study Mediterranean Rangeland’s Sustainability," Land, MDPI, vol. 12(1), pages 1-25, January.
    10. Salvati, Luca & Carlucci, Margherita, 2010. "Estimating land degradation risk for agriculture in Italy using an indirect approach," Ecological Economics, Elsevier, vol. 69(3), pages 511-518, January.
    11. Margherita Carlucci & Rosanna Salvia & Giovanni Quaranta & Luca Salvati & Vito Imbrenda, 2022. "Official statistics, spatio-temporal dynamics and local-scale monitoring: toward integrated environmental-economic accounting for land degradation," Letters in Spatial and Resource Sciences, Springer, vol. 15(3), pages 469-491, December.
    12. Javier Ibáñez & Rolando Gartzia & Francisco Javier Alcalá & Jaime Martínez-Valderrama, 2022. "The Importance of Prevention in Tackling Desertification: An Approach to Anticipate Risks of Degradation in Coastal Aquifers," Land, MDPI, vol. 11(10), pages 1-18, September.
    13. Gianluca Egidi & Ilaria Zambon & Ilaria Tombolin & Luca Salvati & Sirio Cividino & Samaneh Seifollahi-Aghmiuni & Zahra Kalantari, 2020. "Unraveling Latent Aspects of Urban Expansion: Desertification Risk Reveals More," IJERPH, MDPI, vol. 17(11), pages 1-15, June.
    14. Gianluca Egidi & Luca Salvati & Pavel Cudlin & Rosanna Salvia & Manuela Romagnoli, 2020. "A New ‘Lexicon’ of Land Degradation: Toward a Holistic Thinking for Complex Socioeconomic Issues," Sustainability, MDPI, vol. 12(10), pages 1-19, May.
    15. Luca Salvati, 2014. "Toward a ‘Sustainable’ land degradation? Vulnerability degree and component balance in a rapidly changing environment," Environment, Development and Sustainability: A Multidisciplinary Approach to the Theory and Practice of Sustainable Development, Springer, vol. 16(1), pages 239-254, February.

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