IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v201y2025ip2s096007792501241x.html

MDHGFN: Multiscale Dual Hypergraph Fusion Spatiotemporal Network for traffic flow prediction

Author

Listed:
  • Xian, Jiajun
  • Ye, Yixuan
  • Zhang, Wei
  • Chen, Zishen
  • Huang, Jiaqiang
  • Lin, Zichun
  • Zhou, Can
  • LIU, Hao
  • Yang, Dan
  • Meng, Nan
  • Liu, Ming
  • Zhou, Teng

Abstract

Traffic flow prediction is a fundamental challenge in the development of intelligent transportation systems. However, existing spatiotemporal prediction frameworks typically rely on either predefined low-order graphs or single-scale hypergraphs to model urban spatial relationships, which often fail to effectively capture the ubiquitous multiscale high-order spatial characteristics of traffic networks, thereby limiting the model’s prediction accuracy and generalization capability. To address this, we propose a high-order spatial-aware traffic flow prediction framework—the Multiscale Dual Hypergraph Fusion Spatiotemporal Network (MDHGFN). Specifically, we first introduce a multiscale dual hypergraph construction method, which systematically models high-order spatial features of traffic across three scales: microscopic individual travel intent, mesoscopic community commuting patterns, and macroscopic regional flow propagation. Building upon this foundation, we design a comprehensive prediction framework integrating both spatial-aware and temporal-aware blocks. The spatial-aware block employs hypergraph convolution and dynamic graph convolution to extract dual hypergraph features progressively, incorporates a gating mechanism to fuse high-order local spatial information from multiscale dual hypergraphs, and further utilizes spatial multi-head attention to capture global spatial dependencies. The temporal-aware block effectively extracts both short-term fluctuations and long-term trends in traffic flows through dynamic temporal dilated causal convolution and temporal multi-head attention. Finally, the output layer aggregates spatiotemporal features from stacked spatiotemporal-aware blocks to generate accurate future traffic flow predictions. Extensive comparative experiments on four publicly available real-world traffic flow datasets demonstrate that the proposed model significantly outperforms 14 state-of-the-art baseline models across multiple evaluation metrics.

Suggested Citation

  • Xian, Jiajun & Ye, Yixuan & Zhang, Wei & Chen, Zishen & Huang, Jiaqiang & Lin, Zichun & Zhou, Can & LIU, Hao & Yang, Dan & Meng, Nan & Liu, Ming & Zhou, Teng, 2025. "MDHGFN: Multiscale Dual Hypergraph Fusion Spatiotemporal Network for traffic flow prediction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 201(P2).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:201:y:2025:i:p2:s096007792501241x
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2025.117228
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S096007792501241X
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2025.117228?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to

    for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Yuan, Shijiao & Chen, Qiang, 2025. "Harmony in heterogeneous traffic flow: A lattice hydrodynamic model with perception diversity and predictive effect coordinated by bilaterally controlled CAVs," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 196(C).
    2. Wang, Wei & Cai, Meng & Zheng, Muhua, 2018. "Social contagions on correlated multiplex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 499(C), pages 121-128.
    3. Song, Yuxin & Duan, Huiming & Cheng, Yunlong, 2024. "A novel fractional-order grey Euler prediction model and its application in short-term traffic flow," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 189(P2).
    4. Wang, Ting & Ngoduy, Dong & Li, Ye & Lyu, Hao & Zou, Guojian & Dantsuji, Takao, 2024. "Koopman theory meets graph convolutional network: Learning the complex dynamics of non-stationary highway traffic flow for spatiotemporal prediction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).
    5. Wang, Huiwen & Yi, Wen & Zhen, Lu, 2024. "Optimal policy for scheduling automated guided vehicles in large-scale intelligent transportation systems," Transportation Research Part A: Policy and Practice, Elsevier, vol. 179(C).
    6. Serdar Çolak & Antonio Lima & Marta C. González, 2016. "Understanding congested travel in urban areas," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 7(1), pages 1-8, April.
    7. Chen, Zhengganzhe & Zhang, Bin & Du, Chenglong & Meng, Wei & Meng, Anbo, 2024. "A novel dynamic spatio-temporal graph convolutional network for wind speed interval prediction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 294(C).
    8. Hu, Junjie & Hu, Cheng & Yang, Jiayu & Bai, Jun & Lee, Jaeyoung Jay, 2024. "Do traffic flow states follow Markov properties? A high-order spatiotemporal traffic state reconstruction approach for traffic prediction and imputation," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 183(C).
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Matteo Böhm & Mirco Nanni & Luca Pappalardo, 2022. "Gross polluters and vehicle emissions reduction," Nature Sustainability, Nature, vol. 5(8), pages 699-707, August.
    2. Chow, Sheung Chi & Vieito, João Paulo & Wong, Wing Keung, 2019. "Do both demand-following and supply-leading theories hold true in developing countries?," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 513(C), pages 536-554.
    3. Boon, Marko A.A. & van Leeuwaarden, Johan S.H., 2018. "Networks of fixed-cycle intersections," Transportation Research Part B: Methodological, Elsevier, vol. 117(PA), pages 254-271.
    4. Zhang, Yaming & Su, Yanyuan & Weigang, Li & Liu, Haiou, 2019. "Interacting model of rumor propagation and behavior spreading in multiplex networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 121(C), pages 168-177.
    5. Jinxiao Duan & Guanwen Zeng & Nimrod Serok & Daqing Li & Efrat Blumenfeld Lieberthal & Hai-Jun Huang & Shlomo Havlin, 2023. "Spatiotemporal dynamics of traffic bottlenecks yields an early signal of heavy congestions," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 14(1), pages 1-11, December.
    6. Yi, Yinxue & Zhang, Zufan & Gan, Chenquan, 2018. "The effect of social tie on information diffusion in complex networks," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 509(C), pages 783-794.
    7. Amitrajeet A. Batabyal & Hamid Beladi, 2022. "Commuting to work in cities: Bus, car, or train?," Regional Science Policy & Practice, Wiley Blackwell, vol. 14(3), pages 599-609, June.
    8. Vinayak Dixit & Divya Jayakumar Nair & Sai Chand & Michael W Levin, 2020. "A simple crowdsourced delay-based traffic signal control," PLOS ONE, Public Library of Science, vol. 15(4), pages 1-12, April.
    9. Chen, Ning & Zhu, Xuzhen & Chen, Yanyan, 2019. "Information spreading on complex networks with general group distribution," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 523(C), pages 671-676.
    10. Chen, Feng & Deng, Hongyu & Zhang, Xiaoying, 2024. "IG-ENT:A innovative ensemble approach for the flow prediction of main steam system in thermal power plant," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 313(C).
    11. Leibowicz, Benjamin D., 2020. "Urban land use and transportation planning for climate change mitigation: A theoretical framework," European Journal of Operational Research, Elsevier, vol. 284(2), pages 604-616.
    12. Zou, Yang & Xiong, Zhongyang & Zhang, Pu & Wang, Wei, 2018. "Social contagions on multiplex networks with different reliability," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 506(C), pages 728-735.
    13. Hu, Junjie & Lee, Jaeyoung Jay, 2025. "Car following dynamics in mixed traffic flow of autonomous and human-driven vehicles: Complex networks approach," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 665(C).
    14. Liu, Huizhou & Huang, Juntao & Hu, Jinqiu & Zhang, Junfeng & Huang, Mengxing, 2025. "Enhancing wind power prediction accuracy: A novel method integrating seasonal temporal factors and advanced spatio-temporal feature extraction," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 336(C).
    15. Sheng Liu & Auyon Siddiq & Jingwei Zhang, 2025. "Planning Bike Lanes with Data: Ridership, Congestion, and Path Selection," Management Science, INFORMS, vol. 71(9), pages 7631-7654, September.
    16. Shi, Shuyang & Wang, Lin & Wang, Xiaofan, 2022. "Uncovering the spatiotemporal motif patterns in urban mobility networks by non-negative tensor decomposition," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 606(C).
    17. Wang, Shuliang & Chen, Chen & Zhang, Jianhua & Gu, Xifeng & Huang, Xiaodi, 2022. "Vulnerability assessment of urban road traffic systems based on traffic flow," International Journal of Critical Infrastructure Protection, Elsevier, vol. 38(C).
    18. Mi, Lihua & Han, Yan & Long, Lizhi & Chen, Hui & Cai, C.S., 2025. "A physics-informed temporal convolutional network-temporal fusion transformer hybrid model for probabilistic wind speed predictions with quantile regression," Energy, Elsevier, vol. 326(C).
    19. Wang, Juquan & Ma, Jing & Han, Dun, 2025. "Online contagion with second-neighbor interaction on signed social networks," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 200(P3).
    20. Wang, Ting & Ngoduy, Dong & Li, Ye & Lyu, Hao & Zou, Guojian & Dantsuji, Takao, 2024. "Koopman theory meets graph convolutional network: Learning the complex dynamics of non-stationary highway traffic flow for spatiotemporal prediction," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 187(C).

    More about this item

    Keywords

    ;
    ;
    ;

    Statistics

    Access and download statistics

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:201:y:2025:i:p2:s096007792501241x. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.