IDEAS home Printed from https://ideas.repec.org/a/eee/chsofr/v170y2023ics0960077923001613.html
   My bibliography  Save this article

Scientific progress in information theory quantifiers

Author

Listed:
  • Martins, Adriel M.F.
  • Fernandes, Leonardo H.S.
  • Nascimento, Abraão D.C.

Abstract

The Bandt and Pompe method (BPM) has been successfully applied to estimate the information theory quantifiers. The most significant limitation of the BPM is that this approach is based on point estimation. This research provides scientific progress into the several applications of the information theory quantifiers. In this way, we propose a new statistic confidence interval estimation method for the Permutation Entropy, Fisher Information Measure, and Macroeconophysics Indicator of Efficiency (MIEE). Therefore, we examine quarterly Gross Domestic Product (GDP) time series for 25 countries members of the Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD). The periods cover more than 59 years, from Q1-1960 to Q3-2019, with 238 data points. For each GDP time series, we employ the non-parametric method Local Block Bootstrap to provide a stylized fact about an empirical distribution for these data taking into account the information theory quantifiers. Based on the values of the empirical distribution of the information theory quantifiers, we construct the Shannon-Fisher causality plane (SFCP), which allows us to quantify the disorder and evaluate randomness present in the time series of quarterly GDP in each country. In addition, we use information theory quantifiers to rank the most efficient countries in allocating the resources arising from economic growth to generate a virtuous cycle of growth. Also, we apply the Principal Component Analysis (PCA) to check the results of the empirical distribution of the MIEE. We find the PCA promotes the same result as the MIEE. Our results suggest an alternative form of clustering using information theory quantifiers linked to the similarity of countries’ GDPs and the mutual influences of one country’s economic growth on the others.

Suggested Citation

  • Martins, Adriel M.F. & Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Nascimento, Abraão D.C., 2023. "Scientific progress in information theory quantifiers," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 170(C).
  • Handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:170:y:2023:i:c:s0960077923001613
    DOI: 10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113260
    as

    Download full text from publisher

    File URL: http://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S0960077923001613
    Download Restriction: Full text for ScienceDirect subscribers only

    File URL: https://libkey.io/10.1016/j.chaos.2023.113260?utm_source=ideas
    LibKey link: if access is restricted and if your library uses this service, LibKey will redirect you to where you can use your library subscription to access this item
    ---><---

    As the access to this document is restricted, you may want to search for a different version of it.

    References listed on IDEAS

    as
    1. Romer, Paul M, 1986. "Increasing Returns and Long-run Growth," Journal of Political Economy, University of Chicago Press, vol. 94(5), pages 1002-1037, October.
    2. Soares, Abner D. & Moura Jr., Newton J. & Ribeiro, Marcelo B., 2016. "Tsallis statistics in the income distribution of Brazil," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 88(C), pages 158-171.
    3. Danielsson, J. & de Haan, L. & Peng, L. & de Vries, C. G., 2001. "Using a Bootstrap Method to Choose the Sample Fraction in Tail Index Estimation," Journal of Multivariate Analysis, Elsevier, vol. 76(2), pages 226-248, February.
    4. Robert M. Solow, 1956. "A Contribution to the Theory of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 70(1), pages 65-94.
    5. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araujo, Fernando H.A. & Tabak, Benjamin M., 2021. "Insights from the (in)efficiency of Chinese sectoral indices during COVID-19," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 578(C).
    6. Arif Dowla & Efstathios Paparoditis & Dimitris Politis, 2013. "Local block bootstrap inference for trending time series," Metrika: International Journal for Theoretical and Applied Statistics, Springer, vol. 76(6), pages 733-764, August.
    7. T. W. Swan, 1956. "ECONOMIC GROWTH and CAPITAL ACCUMULATION," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 32(2), pages 334-361, November.
    8. Aghion, Philippe & Howitt, Peter, 1992. "A Model of Growth through Creative Destruction," Econometrica, Econometric Society, vol. 60(2), pages 323-351, March.
    9. Bollerslev, Tim, 1986. "Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroskedasticity," Journal of Econometrics, Elsevier, vol. 31(3), pages 307-327, April.
    10. Francis X. Diebold & Kamil Yilmaz, 2009. "Measuring Financial Asset Return and Volatility Spillovers, with Application to Global Equity Markets," Economic Journal, Royal Economic Society, vol. 119(534), pages 158-171, January.
    11. Spichak, David & Kupetsky, Audrey & Aragoneses, Andrés, 2021. "Characterizing complexity of non-invertible chaotic maps in the Shannon–Fisher information plane with ordinal patterns," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 142(C).
    12. N. Gregory Mankiw & David Romer & David N. Weil, 1992. "A Contribution to the Empirics of Economic Growth," The Quarterly Journal of Economics, President and Fellows of Harvard College, vol. 107(2), pages 407-437.
    13. Robert J. Barro, 2001. "Human Capital and Growth," American Economic Review, American Economic Association, vol. 91(2), pages 12-17, May.
    14. Sensoy, Ahmet & Sobaci, Cihat & Sensoy, Sadri & Alali, Fatih, 2014. "Effective transfer entropy approach to information flow between exchange rates and stock markets," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 68(C), pages 180-185.
    15. Lucas, Robert Jr., 1988. "On the mechanics of economic development," Journal of Monetary Economics, Elsevier, vol. 22(1), pages 3-42, July.
    16. Samuel V. Scarpino & Giovanni Petri, 2019. "On the predictability of infectious disease outbreaks," Nature Communications, Nature, vol. 10(1), pages 1-8, December.
    17. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M. & Leite, Urbanno P.S. & de Lima, Neílson F. & Stosic, Tatijana & Ferreira, Tiago A.E., 2020. "Multifractal behavior in the dynamics of Brazilian inflation indices," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 550(C).
    18. Brandmaier, Andreas M., 2015. "pdc: An R Package for Complexity-Based Clustering of Time Series," Journal of Statistical Software, Foundation for Open Access Statistics, vol. 67(i05).
    19. Agliari, Anna & Böhm, Volker & Pecora, Nicolò, 2020. "Endogenous cycles from income diversity, capital ownership, and differential savings," Chaos, Solitons & Fractals, Elsevier, vol. 130(C).
    20. Ribeiro, Haroldo V. & Zunino, Luciano & Mendes, Renio S. & Lenzi, Ervin K., 2012. "Complexity–entropy causality plane: A useful approach for distinguishing songs," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 391(7), pages 2421-2428.
    Full references (including those not matched with items on IDEAS)

    Most related items

    These are the items that most often cite the same works as this one and are cited by the same works as this one.
    1. Fernandes, Leonardo H.S. & de Araújo, Fernando H.A. & Silva, Igor E.M. & Neto, Jusie S.P., 2021. "Macroeconophysics indicator of economic efficiency," Physica A: Statistical Mechanics and its Applications, Elsevier, vol. 573(C).
    2. Sefa Awaworyi Churchill & Mehmet Ugur & Siew Ling Yew, 2017. "Does Government Size Affect Per-Capita Income Growth? A Hierarchical Meta-Regression Analysis," The Economic Record, The Economic Society of Australia, vol. 93(300), pages 142-171, March.
    3. Doré, Natalia I. & Teixeira, Aurora A.C., 2023. "The role of human capital, structural change, and institutional quality on Brazil's economic growth over the last two hundred years (1822–2019)," Structural Change and Economic Dynamics, Elsevier, vol. 66(C), pages 1-12.
    4. Åsa Johansson, 2016. "Public Finance, Economic Growth and Inequality: A Survey of the Evidence," OECD Economics Department Working Papers 1346, OECD Publishing.
    5. Dakpogan, Arnaud & Smit, Eon, 2018. "The effect of electricity losses on GDP in Benin," MPRA Paper 89545, University Library of Munich, Germany.
    6. Turnovsky, S., 2000. "Growth in an Open Economy: some Recent Developments," Papers 5, Warwick - Development Economics Research Centre.
    7. Mariusz Próchniak & Bartosz Witkowski, 2006. "Modelowanie realnej konwergencji w skali międzynarodowej," Gospodarka Narodowa. The Polish Journal of Economics, Warsaw School of Economics, issue 10, pages 1-31.
    8. Peter Howitt, 2007. "Innovation, Competition and Growth: A Schumpeterian Perspective on Canada’s Economy," C.D. Howe Institute Commentary, C.D. Howe Institute, issue 246, February.
    9. Ikonen, Pasi, 2010. "Effect of finance on growth through more efficient utilization of technological innovations," Bank of Finland Research Discussion Papers 21/2010, Bank of Finland.
    10. repec:ebl:ecbull:v:2:y:2002:i:1:p:1-15 is not listed on IDEAS
    11. Igor Kotlán & Zuzana Machová, 2012. "Vliv zdanění korporací na ekonomický růst: selhání daňové kvóty? [The Influence of Corporate Taxation on Economic Growth: The Failure of Tax Quota?]," Politická ekonomie, Prague University of Economics and Business, vol. 2012(6), pages 743-763.
    12. Durlauf, Steven N. & Quah, Danny T., 1999. "The new empirics of economic growth," Handbook of Macroeconomics, in: J. B. Taylor & M. Woodford (ed.), Handbook of Macroeconomics, edition 1, volume 1, chapter 4, pages 235-308, Elsevier.
    13. Xavier Sala-i-Martin, 2002. "15 Years of New Growth Economics : What Have we Learnt?," Journal Economía Chilena (The Chilean Economy), Central Bank of Chile, vol. 5(2), pages 5-15, August.
    14. repec:zbw:bofrdp:2010_021 is not listed on IDEAS
    15. Palakiyèm Kpemoua, 2016. "Levels Of Education And Economic Performances Of Togo [Niveaux D’Education Et Performances Economiques Du Togo]," Working Papers halshs-01506650, HAL.
    16. Nicholas M. Odhiambo, 2022. "Does Foreign Direct Investment Spur Economic Growth? New Empirical Evidence From Sub-Saharan African Countries," Economic Annals, Faculty of Economics and Business, University of Belgrade, vol. 67(233), pages 61-84, April – J.
    17. Michael Peneder & Karl Aiginger & Gernot Hutschenreiter & Markus Marterbauer, 2001. "Structural Change and Economic Growth," WIFO Studies, WIFO, number 20668, February.
    18. Aghion, Philippe, 2002. "Les défis d’une nouvelle théorie de la croissance," L'Actualité Economique, Société Canadienne de Science Economique, vol. 78(4), pages 459-486, Décembre.
    19. Cem Ertur & Wilfried Koch, 2007. "Growth, technological interdependence and spatial externalities: theory and evidence," Journal of Applied Econometrics, John Wiley & Sons, Ltd., vol. 22(6), pages 1033-1062.
    20. Borut Vojinović & Mariusz Próchniak, 2009. "Divergence Period in the European Convergence Process," Transition Studies Review, Springer;Central Eastern European University Network (CEEUN), vol. 15(4), pages 685-700, February.
    21. Aykut Kibritçioglu, 2002. "On the Smithian origins of "new" trade and growth theories," Economics Bulletin, AccessEcon, vol. 2(1), pages 1-15.
    22. repec:rre:publsh:v:34:y:2004:i:1:p:72-94 is not listed on IDEAS
    23. repec:nbp:nbpbik:v:47:y:2016:i:6:p:463-494 is not listed on IDEAS
    24. Nowak-Lehmann D., Felicitas, 2000. "Was there endogenous growth in Chile (1960 - 1998)? A test of the AK-model," University of Göttingen Working Papers in Economics 7, University of Goettingen, Department of Economics.

    Corrections

    All material on this site has been provided by the respective publishers and authors. You can help correct errors and omissions. When requesting a correction, please mention this item's handle: RePEc:eee:chsofr:v:170:y:2023:i:c:s0960077923001613. See general information about how to correct material in RePEc.

    If you have authored this item and are not yet registered with RePEc, we encourage you to do it here. This allows to link your profile to this item. It also allows you to accept potential citations to this item that we are uncertain about.

    If CitEc recognized a bibliographic reference but did not link an item in RePEc to it, you can help with this form .

    If you know of missing items citing this one, you can help us creating those links by adding the relevant references in the same way as above, for each refering item. If you are a registered author of this item, you may also want to check the "citations" tab in your RePEc Author Service profile, as there may be some citations waiting for confirmation.

    For technical questions regarding this item, or to correct its authors, title, abstract, bibliographic or download information, contact: Thayer, Thomas R. (email available below). General contact details of provider: https://www.journals.elsevier.com/chaos-solitons-and-fractals .

    Please note that corrections may take a couple of weeks to filter through the various RePEc services.

    IDEAS is a RePEc service. RePEc uses bibliographic data supplied by the respective publishers.